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Mets vs. Nationals,
8-27-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#959 New York
Mets
#960 Washington
Nationals

Sunday, August 27, 2017 at 1:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Washington Nationals

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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New York Mets (56-71 SU, 55-72 RL, 69-47-11 O/U) vs Washington Nationals (76-50 SU, 63-63 RL, 57-63-6 O/U)

When: 1:35 PM EDT, Sunday, August 27, 2017

Where: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

Lines: Washington -157/ New York +147

Total: 9

A pair of National League East foes will square off this afternoon as the New York Mets tangle with the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. in game three of their four-game series. This is game one of a doubleheader. Pitching Probables: Tommy Milone (1-3, 8.12 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Nationals and he will be opposed by Erick Fedde (0-1, 10.61 ERA).

Mets Get Another Strong Start From deGrom

The New York Mets have had very little to cheer about with their pitching this year and most of that is due to the fact that their staff has really been hit hard by the injury bug and that has meant many starters who would not be in their normally have been getting starts and that has also led to a tied bullpen, which has really struggled. Their lone bright spot on the mound this year has been Jacob deGrom and he had another strong start in their 4-2 win over the Nats on Friday night. He allowed just one ERs on five hits and one walk while striking out 10 in 6.2 innings of work. That was against the 2nd best offense in the league. deGrom is now 14-7 with a 3.39 ERA on the year and they Mets are now 28-32 out on the road, but they did lose Yoenis Cespedes in the win. Tommy Milone will get the ball for the Mets in this one and he has gone 1-3 with a 8.12 ERA in 10 games (seven starts) on the year, including 0-3 with a 10.26 ERA in four starts with the Mets. He started the year at Milwaukee. Milone has gone 4-6 with a 5.93 ERA in 19 games (16 starts) during the month of August and 14-14 with a 4.46 ERA in 47 games (42 starts) in the daytime, while against the Nationals in his career he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one start. That lone start was back in 2014.

The Mets have been a bit below average on offense this year as they come in ranked 18th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.61 rpg, while also ranking 23rd in hitting at .247 and 4th in homers with 188. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 26th in the league in ERA at 4.80 while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.45.

Bullpen Struggles In Game One Loss

The National have had bullpen problems all year and they felt that they cleaned it up when they traded for Sean Doolittle, Ryan Madson, and Brandon Kintzler, but it hasn’t been the case. Madson is is on the DL and, while the Pen has looked a bit better of late with a 3.26 ERA in their last 10 games, it is still prone to some bad nights. It had one of those nights in game one of this series as they allowed three runs over the final two innings of the 4-2 loss. Matt Grace and Joe Blanton combined to allow three ERs on five hits and one walk in three innings of work, They wasted a good effort from A.J. Cole, who allowed just one ER on four hits and four walks in 6.0 innings of work. He took the loss in the game and is now 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA on the year. The Nats are not happy about their issues in the pen, but they have to be encouraged about the start from Cole. The Nats have now gone 35-26 here at home for the year. Toeing the rubber for the Nationals in this one will be Erick Fedde and he has gone 0-1 with a 10.61 ERA in two starts in this his first year in the league. Fedde was 17-13 with a 3.37 ERA in 66 games (49 starts) in the minors in his career (three seasons), including 4-5 with a 3.69 ERA in 29 games (13 starts) combined between Syracuse (AAA) and Harrisburg (AA) this year.

Washington has been a very good offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.26 rpg, while also ranking 3rd in hitting at .269 and 10th in homers with 179. On the mound they have been solid so far this year as they come in ranked 6th in the league in ERA at 3.91, while also ranking 5th in WHIP at 1.24.

Trends

New York is:

  • 3-9 in their last 12 games on grass
  • 13-38 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record

Washington is:

  • 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record

The Nationals are still looking for their consistency to return as they have been a very mediocre team over the last month or so. The Mets are just looking to build confidence for next year. The Mets will send out Tommy Milone and he has really been horrible this year and I look for him to struggle some in this game, even though the Nationals have struggled at the plate of late. They really miss Bryce Harper. The Nats will trot out Erick Fedde and he has not been that good for Washington so far, but he has some good stuff and should be able to come up with a decent effort against a struggling Mets offense. Look for Washington to take this one.

Pick: Washington

Both of these offenses have really been struggling of late as the Mets have averaged just 3.80 rpg in their last 10 games, while the Nationals have put up just 3.70 rpg in their last 10 games. well, that is about to change, at least for this game as both of these pitchers have struggled so far. Erick Fedde has made two starts in his MLB career and has a 10.61 ERA in those games, with those games averaging 14.5 rpg. The Mets will trot out Tommy Milone and he has an 8.12 ERA on the year, including a 5.17 ERA on the road. His seven starts this year have averaged 12.86 rpg, while his three road starts have averaged 11.33 rpg. I know the Mets are without Yoenis Cespedes and the Nats are still without Bryce Harper, but still, these offenses should do enough damage against this weak pitching to get the Over here.

Pick: Over 9

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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