Colorado Rockies (69-59; 52-70-6 O/U) vs. Atlanta Braves (57-69; 65-57-4 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, August 27, 2017 at 1:35pm EST
Line: Colorado -125/Atlanta +100
The Atlanta Braves and the Colorado Rockies will wrap up a three game series Sunday afternoon from SunTrust Park. The Rockies will give the nod to 25-year old right-hander Jon Gray, and the Braves will turn to 26-year old right-hander Mike Foltynewicz. The Braves lead the season series 3-2.
Gray Eyes Sixth Consecutive Quality Start
Jon Gray will get the call for the 14th time of the season, aiming for his third straight Quality Start. Gray was outstanding in his previous start, holding the Royals to only two runs in 6.2 innings, however he was charged with the loss. The 6-foot-4 right-hander is having a stellar month, and now features a 4.54 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP accompanied with a 5-3 record in 69.1 innings of work. He took on the Braves earlier this month and limited them to two runs in six innings, and has now conceded only three runs in 20 innings to go with a 2-0 record in three career starts against Atlanta. Matt Kemp is 2 for 12 with three RBI’s against Gray, while Freddie Freeman is 2 for 8, and Ender Inciarte is 2 for 10. Charlie Blackmon continues to produce at a high level, driving in six runs along with 13 hits over his last eight games. The career .305 hitter is having an outstanding season, sporting a .337 average with 30 home runs and 80 RBI’s. Blackmon is 6 for 19 with three RBI’s against the Braves this season.
The Rockies dangerous lineup is averaging 5.17 runs per game, good for fourth in the Majors, and feature a .274 team batting average. The Colorado pitching is carrying a 4.63 team ERA, positioning them 21st overall.
Foltynewicz Roughed Up for Third Straight Start
Mike Foltynewicz will take the mound for the 26th time of the season, looking to get back on track after three rough outings. Foltynewicz allowed six runs in 5.2 innings to the Mariners in his latest start, and was tagged with the loss to drop his record to 10-9. The young right-hander is having an awful month which has inflated his ERA to 4.95 to go with a 1.52 WHIP in 132.2 innings logged. He faced the Rockies earlier this month and was rocked, serving up eight runs in 3.1 innings, and now possesses an 0-3 record with a 5.87 ERA in 23 career innings. Nolan Arenado is 1 for 9 against Foltynewicz, while Carlos Gonzalez is 3 for 9 with four RBI’s, and DJ LeMahieu is a sizzling 10 for 12 with three RBI’s. Freddie Freeman continues to rack up the hits, collecting 13 hits along with five RBI’s over his last eight games, and owns a .353 average this month. The 27-year old first baseman is having an outstanding season, sporting a .326 average with 22 home runs and 53 RBI’s. Freeman is 5 for 19 with one RBI against the Rockies this season.
The Braves are now averaging 4.59 runs per game, ranking them 20th overall, and own a .262 team batting average. The Atlanta pitching is struggling, now posting a 4.79 team ERA, placing them 25th in the Majors.
The Colorado Rockies are:
- 6-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts on four days of rest.
- 16-5 in their last 21 games against the Braves.
The Atlanta Braves are:
- 0-4 in Foltynewicz’s last 4 starts against the Rockies.
- 1-4 in Foltynewicz’s last 5 starts overall.
- 6-15 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter.
I am siding with the Rockies in this contest. The Rockies just scored eight runs in 3.1 innings against Foltynewicz less than two weeks ago, and he has now allowed 20 runs over his last three starts (11.2 innings), so I expect Colorado to put some crooked numbers on the board. Furthermore, Gray limited the Braves to two runs in 6.2 innings earlier this month, and the Braves have only scored three runs in 20 innings against him.