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Cardinals vs. Brewers,
8-3-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#951 St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals
#952 Milwaukee
Brewers

Thursday, August 3, 2017 at 2:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Milwaukee Brewers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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St Louis Cardinals (52-54 SU, 48-58 RL, 52-48-6 O/U) vs Milwaukee Brewers (56-52 SU, 60-48 RL, 52-52-4 O/U)

When: 2:10 PM EDT, Thursday, August 3, 2017

Where: Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Lines: St Louis -113/ Milwaukee +103

Total: 9

Thursday afternoon MLB action and a pair of National League Central foes will square off as the St Louis Cardinals battle it out with the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in the final game of their three-game series. The Cardinals are 39-16 the last 55 games here in Milwaukee, but they did lose game one by a 3-2 score.  Pitching Probables: Michael Wacha (8-4, 3.71 ERA) gets the nod for the Cardinals in this one and he will be opposed by  Matt Garza (4-5, 3.83 ERA).

The Cardinals Need More Offense

The St Louis Cardinals are still alive for a division title and a wildcard berth, berth, but if they hope to stay in the race, then they will need to find a bit more offense. The Cardinals lost game one of this series by a score of 3-2 and they have now averaged just 3.30 rpg in their last 10 games. The Pitching has kept them in games this year, but the offense just hasn’t helped out. In game one of this series, the Cards fell behind 3-0 after the first inning and shut the Brewers down the rest of the game, but the offense just couldn’t bail them out. The Cards didn’t try and upgrade their offense at the trade deadline, which will hurt them as they push for a playoff spot. St Louis is now 21-28 on the road. Toeing the rubber for the Cardinals in this one will be Michael Wacha and he has gone 8-4 with a 3.71 ERA in 19 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA in his last three starts and 1-3 with a 5.49 ERA in seven starts on the road. Wacha has gone 5-0 with a 2.34 ERA in 14 games (eight starts) during the month of August in his career and 19-7 with a 3.07 ERA in 37 games (34 starts) in the daytime, while against the Brewers he has gone 4-0 with a 4.81 ERA in nine games (eight starts), including 1-0 with a 5.91 ERA in three games (two starts) here at Miller Park.

The Cardinals have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 21st in the league in scoring, putting up 4.44 rpg, while also ranking 14th in hitting at .255 and 21st in homers with 123. On the mound, they have been solid as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.82, while also ranking 9th in WHIP at 1.27.

Brewers Make Three-Run First Hold Up

The Milwaukee Brewers have been a decent team on the mound this year, but they have struggled a little of late as they have a 5.22 ERA in their last 10 games. In game one of this series they put up a three-spot in the bottom of the first and that was all the scoring they needed in the game as they held the Cardinals to two runs the rest of the way. Jimmy Nelson got the start in the game and he allowed just two ERs on six hits in six innings of work to improve to 9-5 with a 3.37 ERA on the year. The pen then allowed just one hit and one walk the rest of the way. That pen has been struggling as they have a 7.64 ERA in the last 10 games, but the pen was strong on this night. The Brewers are still 2.5 games out of first in the NL Central and they are 30-26 at home for the year. Matt Garza will get the call for the Brewers in this one and he will be making his first start since July 21st as he had been on the DL with a leg injury. He has gone 4-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 15 starts on the year, including 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in his last three starts and 3-2 with a 3.78 ERA in nine starts here at home. Garza has gone 16-19 with a 4.03 ERA in 50 starts during the month of August and 37-39 with a 3.62 ERA in 105 games (103 starts) during the daytime, plus he is 17-17 with a 3.69 ERA in 49 games (48 starts) here at Miller Park, while against the Cardinals he has gone 6-5 with a 4.18 ERA in 15 starts overall.

The Brewers have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.72 rpg, while also ranking 20th in hitting at .250 and 5th in homers with 156. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 9th in the league in ERA at 4.17, while also ranking 16th in WHIP at 1.36.

Trends

St Louis is:

  • The Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 road games
  • The Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter

Milwaukee is:

  • The Under is 8-0 in their last eight vs. the National League Central
  • The Under is 21-7-1 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter

This series is very important for both teams and both are fighting for a playoff spot. These teams are pretty evenly matched at the moment and the one thing that both have in common is the fact that they can’t score right now. The Cardinals come in having averaged just 3.30 rpg in their last 10 games, while the Brewers have averaged just 3.13 rpg over their last 16 games. That will make for some low scoring games for these teams and game one saw just five runs being scored. The Under is 13-3 in Milwaukee’s last 16 games and more than eight runs have been scored in that stretch just three times.  Both starters are in good form as Wacha has a 2.14 ERA in his last three starts, while Garza has a 1.65 ERA in his last three. This looks like another low scoring game between these teams.

Pick: Under 8.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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