Seattle Mariners (55-53; 51-53-4 O/U) vs. Kansas City Royals (55-50; 46-54-5 O/U)
MLB: Thursday, August 3, 2017 at 8:15pm EST
Line: Kansas City -127/Seattle +117
The Kansas City Royals will host the Seattle Mariners as the clubs open a four game series starting Thursday night from Kauffman Stadium. The Mariners will send 31-year old right-hander Yovani Gallardo to the hill, and the Royals will give the start to 29-year old right-hander Trevor Cahill. The Royals recorded a three game sweep over the Mariners last month.
Gallardo Shines in Win Over Mets
Yovani Gallardo will get the call for the 21st time of the year, aiming for his second straight win. Gallardo was terrific in his previous start, limiting the Mets to one run in 5.1 innings and collected the win to bring his record to 5-7. The veteran right-hander has looked much better as of late, however he is still carrying a weak 5.34 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in 97.2 innings of work. He faced the Royals last month and allowed one run in three innings and now sits at 1-1 with a 3.79 ERA in 19 career innings. Mike Moustakas is 3 for 6 with three RBI’s against Gallardo, while Eric Hosmer is 1 for 5, and Melky Cabrera is 5 for 11. Nelson Cruz is showing signs of heating up again, collecting five RBI’s over his last four games after a quiet stretch at the plate. The 37-year old DH is having a tremendous season, posting a .275 average with 22 home runs and an AL leading 80 RBI’s. Cruz is a solid 4 for 7 with four RBI’s against the Royals this season.
The Mariners are currently averaging 4.76 runs per game, ranking them 11th overall, and feature a .259 team batting average. The Seattle pitching has been average, recording a 4.40 team ERA, positioning them 15th in the Majors.
Cahill Roughed Up in Royals Debut
Trevor Cahill will make his 13th start and second as a member of the Royals, looking to rebound from a rough outing. Cahill conceded five runs in four innings to the Red Sox in his Royals debut and escaped with the no decision. The veteran right-hander has been hit-hard in two straight starts, and now owns a 4.15 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP to go with a 4-3 record in 65 innings pitched on the season. He has pitched well in his career against the Mariners, posting a 5-4 record with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career starts. Robinson Cano is 7 for 14 with four RBI’s against Cahill, while Nelson Cruz is 4 for 23, and Kyle Seager is 4 for 8 with two RBI’s. Mike Moustakas is one of the hottest Royals hitters right now, recording 14 RBI’s along with five home runs over his last 12 games. The 28-year old third baseman is having an outstanding season, hitting .274 with a career-high 30 home runs and 69 RBI’s. Moustakas has enjoyed success against Seattle this season, going 5 for 13 with three homers and five RBI’s.
The Royals are currently averaging 4.35 runs per game, ranking them 23rd overall, and are hitting .254 as a team. The Kansas City pitching is their greatest strength, sporting a 4.17 team ERA, placing them 10th in the Major Leagues.
The Seattle Mariners are:
- 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- 6-1 in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record.
- 4-0 in their last 4 games overall heading into Wednesday’s action.
The Kansas City Royals are:
- 1-6 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.
I am siding with the Mariners in this contest. Gallardo is looking better as of late, posting a terrific 2.37 ERA over his last five outings (19 innings), so I am confident backing him. Furthermore, Cahill is struggling in a big way, posting a weak 5.70 ERA over his last five starts and the Mariners lineup is hitting a combined .329 against him, so they should come through with enough runs to come away with the road win. Seattle has won seven out of their last eight road games, giving me more confidence they are the play in this one.