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Mets vs. Rockies,
8-3-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 New York
Mets
#956 Colorado
Rockies

Thursday, August 3, 2017 at 3:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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New York Mets (48-56 SU, 43-61 RL, 61-32-11 O/U) vs Colorado Rockies (61-46 SU, 58-49 RL, 46-55-6 O/U)

When: 3:10 PM EDT, Thursday, August 3, 2017

Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado

Lines: Colorado -155/ New York +145

Total: 12.5

The National League East meets the National League West this afternoon as the new York Mets grapple with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado in game three of their three-game series. The Over is 5-1 the last six meetings between these teams. Pitching Probables: The Mets will send out Rafael Montero (1-7, 5.56 ERA), while the Rockies will be sending out German Marquez (9-4, 4.08 ERA).

Mets Take Tough Game One Loss

The New York Mets are well out of the playoff race right now, but still, they would like to finish the season strong and then come back next year when they field a healthier team. The Mets are currently on a long road trip and after winning the first two games of the trip in San Diego, they have gone just 1-5 in their last six after falling 5-4 to the Rockies in game one of this series. The Mets had a 2-0 lead heading to the bottom of the 6th, but they allowed three runs in that inning. The Mets then went into the bottom of the 8th with a 4-3, but the Rockies scored one in the 8th and one in the bottom of the 9th to walk away with the win. It was a tough loss for the Mets and the pitching continues to be a problem for them as they have a 5.71 ERA in their last five games. The strength of this team has been their starting pitching the last few years, but their starters now have a 6.32 ERA in their last 10 games. It has been a lost season for New York. Toeing the slab for the Mets in this one will be Rafael Montero and he has gone 1-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 21 games on the year overall, including 1-4 with a 5.70 in seven games as a starter. Montero is 2-8 with a 5.06 ERA in 19 starts in his career overall and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one career start against the Rockies. That start was back in 2014 and it was at Citi Field.

The Mets have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.75 rpg, while also ranking 19th in hitting at .251 and 7th in homers with 153. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 4.90, while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.47.

Rockies Grab Top Spot In Wildcard Standings

Many keep waiting for the Rockies to fade, but it is apparent that they are not going away right now. They have been struggling some on the mound, but they have a decent bullpen that has been upgraded with the addition of Pat Neshek from the Phillies. The offense is there for them as always and they have been playing very well at home of late. This is a team that will stay in the race for a wild card spot the rest of the way. The Rockies had a nice come-from-behind 5-4 win in game one of this series and they really needed that win as they were coming home off a road trip, in which they went just 2-4 on. The win also allowed them to take over the top spot in the National League Wildcard standings and with Arizona playing in Chicago, they have a chance of expanding on that lead. The Rockies are 32-19 at home for the year. Taking the hill for the Rockies in this one will be German Marquez and he has gone 9-4 with a 4.08 ERA in 17 starts on the year, including 3-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last three starts and 5-2 with a 4.29 ERA in eight starts here at home. Marquez has gone 10-5 with a 4.28 ERA in 23 games (20 starts) in his career overall and 4-0 with a 2.03 ERA in eight career day starts, plus he is 6-2 with a 3.90 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) here at Coors in his career. This will be his first meeting with the Mets.

Colorado has been strong on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.32 rpg, while also ranking 3rd in hitting at .275 and 18th in homers with 126. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 24th in the league in ERA at 4.68, while also ranking 21st in WHIP at 1.40.

Trends

New York is:

  • 6-20 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record
  • 5-17 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

Colorado is:

  • 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • 6-0 in their last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Rockies have been playing very well at home and they really stole one in game one of this series, which put them in the top spot of the National League Wildcard standings. New York starters have a 6.32 ERA in their last 10 games and Rafael Montero has been a mess when starting this year as he has gone 1-4 with a 5.70 ERA in his seven starts so far, while he is 2-8 with a 5.06 ERA in 19 career starts overall and will now take on a Colorado team that averages 6.29 rpg at home. German Marquez has pitched well of late as he is 3-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last three starts and he is 5-2 with a 4.29 ERA at home, plus he is 4-00 with a 2.03 ERA in eight career day starts. He will take on a Mets’ offense that has struggled some of late as they have averaged just 4.10 rpg in their last 10 games. This one has the Rockies written all over it.

Pick: Colorado -155

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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