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White Sox vs. Red Sox,
8-3-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#963 Chicago
White Sox
#964 Boston
Red Sox

Thursday, August 3, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Chicago White Sox

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Boston Red Sox

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Chicago White Sox (41-63) vs. Boston Red Sox (59-49)

MLB Baseball:  Thursday, August 3rd, 7:10 pm EST

Miguel Gonzalez (5-9, 4.59 ERA) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (4-3, 4.16 ERA)

Line:  Boston -250/Chicago White Sox +210

Total: 10

The White Sox start a four game series in Boston on Thursday against the Red Sox.  The White Sox have given up on the season, and are a bet against just about every night, while the Red Sox are in the thick of the AL East and the AL Wild Card race.  The White Sox have lost seven of 10 games, while the Red Sox have won three of four including a wild game on Tuesday night.

Boston had a 9-8 lead entering the ninth before the Indians put up two runs against all world closer Craig Kimbrel.  The Red Sox responded in the bottom of the 9th as Christian Vasquez hit a three home run to give the Red Sox the win.  Considering that they and the Indians are in pennant races, it was quite a big early August game.

Gonzalez goes for the White Sox

Miguel Gonzalez gets the call for Chicago on Thursday night, looking for only his 6th win of the year and he’ll be making his 17th start of the year.  He did look better his last two starts, going 1-0 with a no decision and pitching well in both.  He’s gone a total of 13.1 innings over the two starts and allowed only four earned runs.  Nothing to write home about, but for the pitching challenged White Sox, it’s not bad.

It helped break a streak of four straight starts that ended in losses, in which he gave up 16 earned runs over that span.  His numbers aren’t really all that bad this year as his ERA is 4.59, which not great, isn’t terrible either.  His K/BB ratio isn’t great, coming it at 57/37 on the year.  He needs to get more swings and misses.

Rodriguez goes for Boston

Eduardo Rodriguez will be on the hill on Thursday for the Red Sox.  He’ll be making his 14th start and 15th appearance on the year.  He’ll be looking to break a streak of winless starts.  Over his last four starts, he’s gone 0-2 with two no decisions, dropping his record to 4-3.  He began the season 4-1 and looked really good doing it.

In his last four starts, he’s allowed at least three earned runs in all of them and allowed 18 earned runs over all.  In his six previous starts to that, he allowed three earned runs or less each time, and he allowed a total of 11 earned runs in only six starts.  It shows you had badly his dropped off over the last 20 days or so.  The White Sox have a feeble lineup so this may be a spot to get healthy.

MLB Trends:

The Chicago White Sox are:

  • 17-37 in their last 54 overall.
  • 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Boston Red Sox are:

  • 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

I said a few weeks ago that the White Sox might be the worst team to close the season, and with the possible exception of my San Francisco Giants, they look like they may be.  Let’s take Boston in an easy win on Thursday.

Pick: Boston

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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