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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks,
8-31-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Los Angeles
Dodgers
#954 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Thursday, August 31, 2017 at 3:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers
K. MAEDA

91 - 39

12
W's
5
L's
3.85
ERA
1.1
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks
Z. GREINKE

74 - 58

15
W's
6
L's
3.14
ERA
1.08
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Los Angeles Dodgers (91-39; 60-66-4 O/U)  vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (74-58; 59-66-7 O/U)

MLB: Thursday, August 31, 2017 at 3:40pm EST

Line: Arizona -116/Los Angeles +106

Total: 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Los Angeles Dodgers as the NL West rivals wrap up a divisional series Thursday afternoon from Chase Field. The Dodgers will give the nod to 29-year old right-hander Kenta Maeda, and 33-year old right-hander Zack Greinke will take the mound for the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers own a 7-6 lead in the season series.

Maeda Aims for First Win against D-Backs this Season

Kenta Maeda will take the mound for the 24th time of the season, aiming for his fourth win of the month. Maeda was outstanding in his previous outing, limiting the Brewers to one run on one hit in six innings, and earned the win to bring his record to 12-5. The second-year right-hander is having a terrific second half and now features a 3.76 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in 117.1 innings logged. The Diamondbacks have given him some trouble this season as he has conceded 11 runs in 14 innings across three starts, and now possesses a 3-2 record with a 4.18 ERA in nine career starts against Arizona. Jake Lamb is 9 for 22 with six RBI’s against Maeda, while Paul Goldschmidt is 4 for 23, and David Peralta is 3 for 14. Justin Turner has enjoyed success against the Arizona pitching this season, hitting .340 with nine RBI’s and a 1.086 OPS. The 32-year old third baseman is having a fantastic season, sporting a .328 average with 17 home runs and 58 RBI’s. Turner has driven in 17 runs this month.

The Dodgers deep lineup is averaging 5.01 runs per game, ranking them sixth in the Majors, and feature a .256 team batting average. The Los Angeles pitching continues to dominate, sporting a Major League best 3.13 team ERA.

Greinke Looks to Improve to 13-1 at Chase Field

Zack Greinke is back on the hill for the 27th time of the season, aiming for win number 16. Greinke recorded the Quality Start last time out, allowing three runs (two earned) in six innings to the Giants and collected the win. The 6-foot-2 right-hander is having a tremendous season, now featuring a 3.14 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP accompanied with a 15-6 record in 166.1 innings logged. He has conceded eight runs in 11.2 innings in two starts against L.A. this season, and owns a 3-4 record with a 4.31 ERA in nine career starts against the division rivals. Corey Seager is 6 for 11 with four RBI’s against Greinke, while Justin Turner is 6 for 16 with five RBI’s, and Cody Bellinger is 2 for 3. J.D. Martinez is swinging a red-hot bat, smashing five home runs along with nine RBI’s over his last nine games. The 30-year old slugger has been outstanding since coming over in a trade with Detroit and is now hitting .277 with 29 home runs and 68 RBI’s. Martinez is 4 for 14 with two RBI’s against the Dodgers this season.

The Diamondbacks are averaging a solid 4.86 runs per game, ranking them 10th in the Majors, and are hitting .253 as a team. The Arizona pitching features an outstanding 3.67 team ERA, good for third in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Los Angeles Dodgers are:

  • 1-5 in Maeda’s last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are:

  • 8-1 in Greinke’s last 9 starts on five days of rest.
  • 15-5 in Greinke’s last 20 starts overall.
  • 19-7 in Greinke’s last 26 home starts.
  • 5-0 in their last 5 games overall heading into Wednesday’s action.

I am siding with the Diamondbacks in this matchup. Greinke limited the Dodgers to three runs in 6.1 innings in the latest meeting, and he is very tough to beat at home as he features a 12-1 record with a stifling 2.36 ERA in his 15 starts at Chase Field this season. Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have been able to score 11 runs in 14 innings against Maeda this season, and his ERA on the road is at 4.61, so I believe the Diamondbacks are a strong play in this one.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -116

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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