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Red Sox vs. Yankees,
8-31-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Boston
Red Sox
#966 New York
Yankees

Thursday, August 31, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox
E. RODRIGUEZ

75 - 57

4
W's
4
L's
4.23
ERA
1.26
WHIP

New York Yankees
S. GRAY

70 - 60

8
W's
8
L's
3.26
ERA
1.18
WHIP

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Boston Red Sox (75-57 SU, 69-63 RL, 58-68-6 O/U) vs New York Yankees (70-60 SU, 69-61 RL, 67-60-3 O/U)

When: 7:05 PM EDT, Thursday, August 31, 2017

Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York

Lines: NY Yankees -135/Boston +125

Total: 9

Thursday evening MLB action and a pair of heated American League East foes will square off as the Boston Red Sox do battle with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York in game one of their very important four-game series. Pitching Probables: Eduardo Rodriguez (4-4, 4.19 ERA) will take the hill for the Red Sox and he will be opposed by CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.82 ERA).

Chris Sale Sets MLB Record In Win Over The Jays

The Boston Red Sox had a four game slide going, but they are back on track after taking the first two games of their series with the Blue Jays. On Tuesday night they won by a score of 3-0 and getting the start in the game was Chris Sale, who is on pace for the AL Cy Young Award. Sale allowed just three hits and no walks while striking out 11 to improve to 15-6 with a 2.77 ERA on the one. One of those K’s was against Kevin Pillar in the 2nd inning and it was the 1,500th strikeout of his career and he then became the fastest player in MLB history to record his 1,500th strikeout. He did so in 1,290 innings, breaking the old record of 1303 innings, which was set by Kerry Wood. Boston now has their four game lead over the Yankees back in the American League East, which makes this series very important for both squads. Boston has gone 35-32 on the road this year. Taking the hill for the Red Sox will be Eduardo Rodriguez and he has gone 4-4 with a 4.19 ERA in 19 games (18 starts) on the year, including 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts and 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) on the road. Rodriguez has gone 2-5 with a 3.90 ERA in 15 career starts in August and he is 4-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts against the Yankees, including 2-1 with a 1.38 ERA in four starts here at Yankee Stadium.

The Red Sox have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 13th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.80 rpg, while also ranking 8th in hitting at .262 and 27th in homers with 140. On the mound, they have been very strong so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in ERA at 3.73, while also ranking 4th in WHIP at 1.25.

The Yankees Look To Close The Gap In The East

The Yankees have a doubleheader on Wednesday with the Cleveland Indians, so they could be farther out or closer than they are right now, but as of Tuesday night, they are currently four games out of first in the American League East. This is a series they have been pointing to as they have a real shot at closing the gap on the Red Sox in the East. The Yankees have had some offensive woes for most of the 2nd half, but they seem to have corrected that of late as they entered Wednesday’s games having averaged 6.86 rpg in their previous seven games. They will need that offense to show up against the good pitching of the Red Sox and the Yankees have averaged a solid 5.52 rpg in going 37-24 here at home for the year. This should be a dynamite series all the way through, between a couple of teams that just don’t like each other. CC Sabathia will take the mound for the Yankees in this one and he has gone 10-5 with a 3.82 ERA in 21 starts on the year, including 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA in his last three starts and 3-2 with a 5.08 ERA in nine starts here at home. Sabathia has gone 50-21 with a 3.61 ERA in 88 career starts during the month of August and he is 42-33 with a 3.79 ERA in 117 starts here at Yankee Stadium, while against the Red Sox he has gone 16-13 with a 4.19 ERA in 38 starts overall.

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.22 rpg, while also ranking 9th in hitting at .260 and 9th in homers with 187. On the mound, they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.81, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.23.

Trends

Boston is:

  • 2-6 in their last eight Thursday games
  • 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York

New York is:

  • 11-2 in Sabathia’s last 13 starts vs. the American League East
  • 50-24 in Sabathia’s last 74 starts during game one of a series.

The Yankees and Red Sox are set for a big weekend of playoff-like action. The Red Sox came into this series with a four game lead in their division and if they do not play well in this series, then that lead will vanish. The Sox have been a decent road team, but the Yanks have gone 37-24 here at home so far. CC Sabathia does not have great numbers at home, while Eduardo Rodriguez has solid numbers in this park in his career, but we also note that he has a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts overall and the Yankees have been very hot on offense of late, plus I would give the experience factor to Sabathia in what is a huge game. Look for him to have a decent effort in this game, while his offense does the rest against a struggling Rodriguez.  

Pick: New York

This is destined to be a dynamite series. Neither team likes each other and throw in the fact that this series has real meaning this late in the year and we should be treated to a good show. The Red Sox have had their issues on offense of late and CC Sabathia, has pitched well of late as he has a 3.14 ERA in his last three games overall. The Yankee offense has been hot of late and Eduardo Rodriguez has a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts, but he also has a 1.38 ERA in four starts in this park in his career. Rodriguez has a 4.15 ERA on the road and his road starts have averaged just 8.30 rpg. The clincher for this play is the fact that the Under is 10-1-1 in Sabathia’s last 12 starts against the Red Sox, plus we also note that the Under is 11-1 in his last 12 starts on grass and the Under is 23-7-2 in Rodriguez’s last 32 starts overall. Take the low road on this one.

Pick: Under

Confidence: 5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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