Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3977 San Diego Padres vs.
#3978 Oakland Athletics
Wednesday, August 4, 2021 at 3:37pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The San Diego Padres battle the Oakland Athletics in an interleague showdown Wednesday afternoon from the Coliseum. The Padres will give the nod to Joe Musgrove who is looking to lift his road record to 6-2. Frankie Montas is seeking win number 10 for Oakland. The Padres lead the season series 2-1 after clobbering Oakland 8-1 on Tuesday night.

Musgrove Targets Third Straight Victory

Joe Musgrove will make his 22nd start of the season to conclude the series. Musgrove was flawless in his previous start, registering seven shutout innings against the Rockies, and was rewarded for his efforts with the win to even his record at 7-7. The veteran right-hander is pitching well, allowing two or fewer runs in three out of his last four starts, and features a 2.94 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in 116.1 innings of action. He has contained the A’s in eight career meetings, recording a 3.13 ERA in 23 innings.

San Diego’s chances of winning the NL West are diminishing considering they are seven games out. They hold the Wildcard spot however the Reds are not far behind. The Padres won two of four against the Rockies last weekend and stand at 5-5 in their last 10 overall.

Adam Frazier hasn’t been particularly effective since joining the Padres over a week ago, collecting four hits in 24 at-bats. The 29-year old features a .315 average with 32 RBI's on the year. Frazier is 2 for 10 against the A’s this season. Fernando Tatis Jr. remains out of action.

The Padres are scoring an average of 4.77 runs per game, landing them ninth in the big leagues. The pitching staff is sporting a 3.54 team ERA, good for fifth.

Montas Starts, A's Build Cushion in Wildcard

Frankie Montas will get the nod for the 22nd time of the season, aiming for a second consecutive win. Montas was brilliant last time out, filing seven shutout innings against the Angels in a 4-0 victory. The talented right-hander sported a fantastic 2.30 ERA in July and features a 4.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP accompanied by a 9-8 record in 119 innings of work on the season. Montas limited San Diego to only one run in 6.2 frames in his only career meeting.

Oakland rebounded from a four-game slide by winning four out of their last five clashes heading into Tuesday’s action including a 10-4 win against the Padres. They are 4.5 games out of first and have a cushion ahead of Toronto and Seattle in the Wildcard picture.

Matt Chapman had a solid series against San Diego last week, going 3 for 9 with three RBI’s. The 28-year old third baseman has four RBI’s in his last five games and is up to 47 RBI’s along with a subpar .681 OPS on the season. Chapman is 1 for 5 in his career against Joe Musgrove.

Oakland is averaging 4.38 runs per game, placing them 17th overall. They own a 3.66 team ERA, positioning them ninth in the Majors.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Padres have not looked nearly as threatening recently. They have only won three out of their last eight bouts entering Tuesday and are playing without slugger Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres’ starter Joe Musgrove is solid, however, the right-hander has not fared well on the road, squandering 11 runs in his last three road starts spanning 15 innings.

Furthermore, the Athletics have come away with the victory in four out of their last five clashes. Oakland starter Frankie Montas is locked in, compiling a dazzling 2.30 ERA in his last five starts. San Diego has only won three out of their last seven road games and I anticipate another loss.

Prediction: Oakland Athletics ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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This one should yield plenty of offense. The Athletics were able to collect a total of 14 runs in the two-game series against San Diego last week. The Padres have allowed an average of 4.5 runs in their last 10 games, well above their season average. 

In addition, the Padres should make some noise at the dish. They tallied 11 runs against Oakland in last week’s two meetings and Montas’ stats aren’t as good at home where he owns a 4.39 ERA. The over is 6-1 in the Padres’ last seven games overall and 5-0 in their last five interleague games against a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The Oakland bats should come through and a play on their team total is worth a look. Joe Musgrove owns a 3.46 ERA on the road compared to 2.52 at home. Also, San Diego has surrendered four or more runs in five out of their last eight games. Oakland should rebound after only two runs on Tuesday.

Prediction: Athletics Team Total Over 3.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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Musgrove can be solved early on considering he has tallied a 4.05 ERA in innings 1-3. The same applies to Montas who has recorded a 4.45 ERA in that span. The A’s are especially dangerous in the first three frames where they have accumulated 173 runs.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.