Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3963 Seattle Mariners vs.
#3964 Tampa Bay Rays
Wednesday, August 4, 2021 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Seattle Mariners collide with the Tampa Bay Rays in the three-game series finale on Wednesday afternoon. Logan Gilbert is looking to lift his record to 6-2 for the Mariners. Josh Fleming is targeting his third consecutive home win for the Rays. Seattle leads the season series 6-0 including a 4-2 win on Tuesday night.

M's Starter Gilbert Remains Undefeated on the Road

Logan Gilbert will get the nod for the 14th time of the year. Gilbert wasn’t quite at his best in his latest effort, conceding four runs including two homers in 5.2 frames against the Rangers, and was able to come away with the win to improve his record to 5-2. The rookie right-hander is having a promising season, registering a 4.04 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 62.1 innings pitched. He battled the Rays in June and gave up four runs in 5.2 innings in a game Seattle won 6-5.

Seattle has cooled down a bit, losing four out of their last six games overall entering Tuesday’s action. They have lost two consecutive series against the Astros and Rangers. This team has been winning the one-run games but has a negative run differential.

Kyle Seager had a big series against the A’s in June, collecting 5 hits in 13 at-bats with two RBI’s. The veteran third baseman is having a tremendous season, bashing 22 big flys along with 66 RBI’s and a .735 OPS. Seager is hot, launching four homers in his last seven games.

The Mariners are scoring an average of 4.26 runs on the year, placing them 20th in the big leagues. The pitching staff enters with a 4.50 team ERA, landing them 20th overall.

Fleming Defeats Red Sox, Rays Stand in First Place

Kevin Cash will opt with Josh Fleming for the 18th time of the season in the series finale. Fleming was able to work out of trouble in his previous start, holding the Red Sox to three runs on eight hits in five innings, and came away with the victory to lift his record to 8-5. The young lefty posted a terrible 7.31 ERA last month and owns a 4.15 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 82.1 innings of work on the season. He battled Seattle in June and it did not go well, yielding five runs in 6.1 innings.

Tampa Bay made a statement by sweeping the Red Sox last weekend to overtake first place in the competitive AL East. They are concluding a nine-game homestand in this one. They stand at 4-3 through the first seven clashes entering Tuesday.

Nelson Cruz has clubbed two homers since being acquired but overall has not been particularly effective, driving in only three runs in his last 10 games. The veteran slugger has 21 homers, 53 RBI’s, and an .821 OPS. Cruz is a stellar 11 for 26 with six RBI’s against Seattle this season.

The Rays stand fourth in all of baseball with 4.98 runs per game. The pitching staff brings a 3.60 team ERA into this one, good for sixth overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Mariners have not been quite as threatening recently. They have lost four out of their last six games entering Wednesday including a series loss to the last-place Texas Rangers. Mariners' starter Logan Gilbert has hit a rough patch, allowing seven runs in his last two starts spread across only 8.1 innings.

Furthermore, while Rays’ starter Josh Fleming struggled against the Mariners in the first meeting in Seattle, the lefty is outstanding at the Trop where he features a stifling 2.23 ERA on the season. The Rays have won four out of their last five home games entering Tuesday and I anticipate another victory.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays -145

Full-Game Total Pick

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This matchup should yield plenty of runs. The Rays continue to thrive at the dish, averaging a stellar 5.1 runs in their last 10 games including 19 runs in the sweep against the Red Sox last weekend. The over is also 6-0 in the Rays’ last six home games against the Mariners.

In addition, while I expect Fleming to contain the Mariners, he has allowed at least three runs in three straight outings and Seattle has averaged nearly six runs in six games against Tampa this season. The over is also a convincing 6-1 in the Mariners’ last seven games overall.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.