Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3905 San Francisco Giants vs.
#3906 Arizona Diamondbacks
Thursday, August 5, 2021 at 3:40pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of NL West rivals at opposite ends of the standings close out an early week series on the diamond in the Valley of the Sun. The San Francisco Giants are on the road as they finish a four-game series on the road with the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday afternoon. San Francisco slugged their way to an 11-8 victory in the series opener on Monday night. Arizona bounced back to even the series on Tuesday night by winning a low-scoring 3-1 contest. Which team leaves town with momentum from a win on getaway day? This article was published before the conclusion of the third game of the series from Chase Field Wednesday night.

San Francisco Giants Continuing to Hold NL West Lead

San Francisco saw their three-game win streak snapped as they were knocked off Tuesday night in the second game of this series. The Giants entered Wednesday holding a 3.5-game advantage over the Dodgers for the top spot in the NL West race. On Tuesday, San Francisco got two hits each from Donovan Solano and Wilmer Flores while Curt Casali accounted for their run with his fifth homer of the season. Johnny Cueto (7-6) took the loss on the mound as he threw five innings, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with four walks and seven strikeouts before departing after 100 pitches.

Alex Wood gets the call for the Giants in this contest as he makes his 19th start of the season. He comes in 9-3 with a 3.83 ERA, a 1.186 WHIP, 31 walks and 105 strikeouts over 98.2 innings of action on the year. Wood didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Saturday at home against the Astros. He threw five innings, allowing five runs (four earned) on six hits with one walk and three strikeouts in a game the Giants went on to win 8-6. On the road this season, Wood is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA, a 1.259 WHIP, 10 walks and 37 strikeouts over 37.1 innings in seven starts. Wood makes his 22nd career appearance and 14th start against the Diamondbacks in this contest. He comes in 7-4 with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.095 WHIP, 22 walks and 78 strikeouts over 84 innings of work against them. Wood is 3-2 with a 4.43 ERA, a 1.377 WHIP, 10 walks and 40 strikeouts over 40.2 innings in 12 career appearances, seven starts, at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Looking to Play Spoiler

Arizona snapped a three-game skid as they won for just the third time in eight games by prevailing Tuesday night at home. The Diamondbacks entered Wednesday in the basement of the NL West, 33.5 games behind the Giants for the division lead. In the NL wild-card picture, the team stands a distant 27.5 games behind the Padres for the second wild-card spot. On Tuesday night, the Diamondbacks used a three-run second inning to take control and let their pitching do the rest. Christian Walker (run) and Nick Ahmed (run, RBI) each had two hits in the game while Asdrubal Cabrera drove in a pair of runs for Arizona. Madison Bumgarner (6-6) made it stand up as he threw seven innings, allowing one run on six hits with one walk and four strikeouts. Tyler Clippard worked a scoreless ninth, allowing one hit while striking out one, for his second save.

Merrill Kelly takes the hill for the Diamondbacks as he makes his 23rd starts of the season in this contest. He comes in 7-8 with a 4.38 ERA, a 1.229 WHIP, 30 walks and 111 strikeouts over 129.1 innings of work on the year. Kelly took the loss in his last start, which came on the road against the Dodgers on Saturday. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing four runs (three earned) on eight hits with two walks and six strikeouts in an 8-3 Diamondbacks loss. Pitching at home on the year, Kelly is 4-3 with a 3.76 ERA, a 1.183 WHIP, 14 walks and 58 strikeouts over 69.1 innings in 11 starts. Kelly makes his eighth career start against the Giants in this contest. He is 3-2 with a 3.55 ERA, a 1.263 WHIP, nine walks and 37 strikeouts over 38 innings of work against them. Kelly is 12-9 with a 3.50 ERA, a 1.162 WHIP, 35 walks and 162 strikeouts over 177.1 innings in 29 career starts at Chase Field.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The teams split the first two games of the series but the fact remains that the Giants are a first-place team while the Diamondbacks own the worst record in the National League. Kelly has pitched decent ball since the All-Star break, going 2-1 with a 3.98 ERA in his three starts but the Diamondbacks have had major issues when it comes to run prevention this season. Wood has been terrific for the Giants and has had success against Arizona in his career. Seeing how the Giants added at the trade deadline while the Diamondbacks were sellers, it’s hard to see the hosts generating much in the way of offense. Give the edge to the visitors as they leave town with a victory.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants -160

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


San Francisco is eighth in the majors offensively as they average 4.88 runs per game on the year. The Giants are sixth when it comes to generating offense on the road as they put up 4.85 runs a night this season. That bodes well against an Arizona team that is last in the majors by giving up 5.71 runs a game. The Diamondbacks aren’t much better at home as they are second-worst by allowing 5.72 runs per game at Chase Field. That should prime San Francisco for putting up six or seven runs. While the Giants are third in runs allowed per game (3.76) and second when it comes to run prevention on the road (3.51), you have to think that Arizona might be able to scratch out a couple of runs to help this one edge over the mark.

Prediction: Over 9.5

Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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