Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2963 New York Yankees vs.
#2964 Seattle Mariners
Monday, August 8, 2022 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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A pair of American League teams on the right side of the playoff cut line open up a series on the diamond in the Pacific Northwest. The New York Yankees are on the road as they play the first game of a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners Monday night. New York finished a three-game series on the road against St. Louis hoping to avoid a sweep Sunday afternoon. They were beaten 1-0 by the Cardinals in the middle game of the set Saturday night. Seattle split a doubleheader with the Angels Saturday, winning the opener 2-1 and losing the nightcap by a 7-1 count. They close the four-game set at home Sunday.

The Mariners took two of three meetings in the Big Apple in the first series between the teams this season August 1-3.

New York Yankees Trying to Get Back on Track

New York suffered their fourth straight loss as they were unable to generate any offense in Saturday’s loss to St. Louis. The Yankees entered Sunday holding a 10.5-game lead on the Blue Jays for the top spot in the AL East and were half a game up on the Astros for home-field advantage in the AL playoffs. On Saturday, New York’s bats were held in check as they finished with just two singles: one by Aaron Judge and one by Kyle Higashioka, while going zero for two with runners in scoring position. Domingo German (1-2) was the tough luck loser as he allowed one run on four hits with no walks and three strikeouts over five innings before turning things over to the bullpen.

Jameson Taillon is on the mound for the Bronx Bombers as he makes his 22nd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 10-2 with a 3.96 ERA, a 1.161 WHIP, 21 walks and 98 strikeouts over 113.2 innings of work. Taillon didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Tuesday at home against the Mariners. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing six runs (five earned) on two hits with four walks and six strikeouts in a game the Yankees eventually dropped by an 8-6 score. In his last three starts, Taillon has no record with a 4.72 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, nine walks and 16 strikeouts over 13.1 innings of work. Taillon makes his fourth career start against the Mariners in this one. He comes in 2-0 with a 3.57 ERA, a 0.962 WHIP, five walks and 21 strikeouts over 17.2 innings of work in those contests. Taillon is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA, a 0.846 WHIP, one walk and 15 strikeouts over 13 innings in two career starts at T-Mobile Park.

Seattle Mariners Battling to Hang On to Playoff Spot

Seattle split a doubleheader with the Angels Saturday, winning the opener and losing the nightcap at home. The Mariners entered Sunday second in the AL West, 12 games behind the Astros for the division lead. In the AL wild-card picture, they were tied with Tampa Bay for the final two wild card spots in the American League. They were one game ahead of the Orioles to remain on the right side of the cut line. In the opener, Ty France’s 14th homer of the year in the third inning, a two-run shot, was one of four hits for Seattle in the game but stood up for the margin of victory. George Kirby (3-3) earned the win as he threw six innings, allowing one run on six hits with no walks and eight strikeouts. Erik Swanson worked the ninth, striking out one, for his third save. In the nightcap, Sam Haggerty and Luis Torrens (run, RBI) each had two hits though it wasn’t enough in the loss. Torrens hit a solo homer, his first of the year, to account for the Mariners’ offense. Chris Flexen (7-9) was roughed up and took the loss as he allowed five runs on six hits with two walks and five strikeouts over six innings of work.

Logan Gilbert is on the hill for the Mariners in the opener as he makes his 23rd start of the season in this contest. He is 10-4 with a 3.09 ERA, a 1.184 WHIP, 36 walks and 120 strikeouts over 128.1 innings of work this year. Gilbert didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Yankees Tuesday night on the road. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing six runs on seven hits with four walks and two strikeouts in a game the Mariners won 8-6. In his last three starts, Gilbert is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, seven walks and 16 strikeouts over 17.1 innings of work. Gilbert makes his third career start against the Yankees in this contest. He comes in 1-0 with a 4.38 ERA, a 0.973 WHIP, four walks and 10 strikeouts over 12.1 innings of work against them. Gilbert is 5-6 with a 3.97 ERA, a 1.136 WHIP, 19 walks and 122 strikeouts over 118 innings in 22 career starts at T-Mobile Park.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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We saw these two pitchers lock up in the Bronx last week and neither starter was sharp as the teams combined for 14 runs in the contest. Taillon has tailed off since the start of July, going 1-1 with a 5.76 ERA with 10 walks, 29 strikeouts and allowing eight homers over 29.2 innings in six starts. Those struggles, coupled with German being up and down plus Luis Severino being on the shelf, prompted the Yankees to make a move for Frankie Montas after missing out on Castillo. Gilbert has had his issues since the start of July as well, posting a 4.66 ERA over 33.2 innings in six starts. In the end, as much as the Mariners had momentum after taking two of three in the Bronx, the fact remains that their inconsistent offense proves to be too much to overcome. The Yankees get the win in the opener of this set.

Prediction: New York Yankees -107

Full-Game Total Pick

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New York entered Sunday with the under posting a 51-54-3 mark in their contests this season. The Yankees are second in the league in runs per game this season with 5.28 per contest though that number decreases slightly to an average of 5.19 runs per game on the road. New York’s average total this season has been 8.67 runs per game and their road total average comes in at a slightly higher 8.82 runs per contest. Seattle entered Sunday having seen the under post a 54-51-4 mark in their first 109 games. The Mariners entered Sunday’s game 23rd in the majors with 4.03 runs per contest and that drops slightly to 3.89 runs per game at T-Mobile Park, which is 25th in the majors. Seattle has an average total of 7.92 runs per contest and that number falls to 7.59 runs per contest at home on the year. We saw two overs and a push in regard to the total in the Bronx last week. Seeing how things have gone in the Pacific Northwest, don’t expect those kinds of big offensive numbers. This game ends up falling short of the total.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.