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Phillies vs. Braves,
8-9-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#957 Philadelphia
Phillies
#958 Atlanta
Braves

Wednesday, August 9, 2017 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Atlanta Braves

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Philadelphia Phillies (40-69; 48-52-9 O/U) vs. Atlanta Braves (51-59; 57-49-4 O/U)

MLB: Wednesday, August 9, 2017 at 7:35pm EST

Line: Atlanta -149/Philadelphia +139

Total: 9.5

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies will wrap a mini two game series Wednesday evening from SunTrust Park. The Phillies will give the nod to 27-year old right-hander Jerad Eickhoff, and 24-year old left-hander Sean Newcomb will take the mound for the Braves. The Phillies have had their way against the Braves this season, winning nine of 11 games.

Eickhoff Looks to Continue Career Success against Phillies

Jerad Eickhoff will get the call for the 20th time of the season, aiming for just his third victory. Eickhoff tallied the Quality Start in his latest effort, allowing three runs in six innings to the Angels and finished with the no decision in a game the Phillies lost 5-4. The young right-hander has pitched well in three straight starts, and now owns a 4.56 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP accompanied with a 3-7 record in 104.2 innings logged. He has battled the Braves three times this season with no wins to show for his efforts and allowed total of eight runs (five earned) in 15 innings. Eickhoff now features a sparkling 1.98 ERA in nine career starts against Atlanta. Freddie Freeman is 6 for 18 with two RBI’s against Eickhoff, while Ender Inciarte is 3 for 19, and Matt Kemp is  2 for 7. Aaron Altherr continues to produce at the plate, driving in another five runs along with two homers over his last seven games. The 26-year old right fielder has been one of the few bright spots on the Phillies this season, currently sporting a .285 average with a team-leading 16 home runs and 49 RBI’s. Altherr has enjoyed success against the Braves this season, belting four home runs along with nine RBI’s.

The low-scoring Phillies are scoring an average of 4.01 runs per game, ranking them down at 28th in the Majors, and are hitting .249 as a team. The Philadelphia pitching has been average, posting a 4.54 team ERA, positioning them 16th in the Major Leagues.

Newcomb Targets First Win Since Late June

Sean Newcomb will get the nod for the 11th time of the season, looking to rebound from a shaky outing. Newcomb conceded four runs (three earned) and walked seven in 4.2 innings to the Dodgers in his previous start, and was charged with the loss. The rookie right-hander has come through with some promising performances this season, and is currently carrying a 4.61 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP to go with a 1-6 record in 52.2 innings pitched. He faced the Phillies in late July and was solid, conceding one run in five innings and finished with the no decision. Nick Markakis has been very productive against the Phillies this season, notching a hit in 15 of 41 at bats with 10 RBI’s. The career .288 hitter is having a strong season. currently hitting .280 with six home runs and 54 RBI’s. Markakis has driven in four runs over his last three games.

The Braves are currently averaging 4.58 runs per game, ranking them 17th in the Majors, and feature a .260 team batting average. The Atlanta pitching is carrying a 4.69 team ERA, placing them down at 25th in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Philadelphia Phillies are:

  • 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Braves heading into Tuesday’s action.
  • 6-0 in their last 6 games against the NL East.

The Atlanta Braves are:

  • 0-6 in Newcomb’s last 6 starts.
  • 1-5 in Newcomb’s last 6 home starts.
  • 1-9 in their last 10 games against a starter with a WHIP great than 1.30.
  • 4-11 in their last 15 games overall.

I am siding with the Phillies in this contest. Eickhoff is looking good as of late, posting a strong 3.18 ERA over his last six starts, and he features a dazzling 1.98 ERA in his nine career starts against the Braves, so I am very confident siding with him. Furthermore, Newcomb is having big trouble with his control, issuing a whopping 15 walks over his last three starts, so I cannot trust him. The Phillies have played great baseball against the Braves this season, and I am confident they can take this one.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +139

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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