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Twins vs. Brewers,
8-9-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#977 Minnesota
Twins
#978 Milwaukee
Brewers

Wednesday, August 9, 2017 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Minnesota Twins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Milwaukee Brewers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

Minnesota Twins (54-56 SU, 53-57 RL, 47-54-9 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (59-55 SU, 64-50 RL, 52-56-6 O/U)

MLB: Wednesday, August 9, 2017, Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, 8:10 pm ET

Lines: Milwaukee -153, Minnesota +143; Over/Under: 10

It’s the third game of a four game, two city interleague set in the Midwest. The Minnesota Twins open up the road portion of this series with a contest against the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday night. Minnesota took the opening game of the series at home on Monday night, 5-4. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s game, which closed the Target Field portion of the series, saw Matt Garza go for Milwaukee against Minnesota’s Adalberto Mejia. First pitch in the game was set for 8:10 pm ET.

Minnesota Twins Still in AL Wild Card Chase

Minnesota rallied from a 4-1 deficit to get the win on of all things, a balk that forced in the winning run Monday night. The win pushed the Twins within 2.5 games of the second wild card spot that the Royals and Rays entered Tuesday tied for. Minnesota finished with eight hits in the game with Jorge Polanco (two RBI) accounting for half of them by himself. Eddie Rosario doubled in the tying run and scored the winner on the balk to offset a 1 for 13 night by the Twins with runners in scoring position. Ervin Santana recorded a no-decision after throwing six innings: he allowed four runs (two earned) on six hits with one walk and six strikeouts. Buddy Boshers (1-0) got the win by getting the last out of the seventh while Matt Belisle worked the ninth for his second save of the year.

Bartolo Colon makes his 18th start of the season overall and his fifth for the Twins in this contest. He has struggled, going 3-9 with a 7.32 ERA, a 1.683 WHIP, 22 walks and 53 strikeouts over 87.1 innings of work this season. Colon won for the first time in nine starts in his last start, which came at home against the Rangers Friday. He allowed four runs on nine hits with one walks and five strikeouts while going the distance in an 8-4 Minnesota victory. Colon is 1-0 with a 4.43 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, two walks and eight strikeouts over 20.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his 11th career start against the Brewers in this contest. Colon is 4-3 with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.719 WHIP over 57 innings in those contests. He is 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.656 WHIP over 32 innings in his five career starts at Miller Park.

Milwaukee Brewers Look to Regroup in NL Central

Milwaukee let a three-run lead slip away Monday and it cost them a game in the standings. The Brewers entered Tuesday 1.5 games behind the Cubs in the NL Central with the loss. Ryan Braun (run) had three hits to lead Milwaukee while Keon Broxton (run, two RBI) added a pair of hits. He hit his 15th homer of the season in the third inning. Brent Suter recorded a no-decision after allowing three runs on five hits with two walks and two strikeouts over four innings. Oliver Drake (3-4) took the loss after allowing two runs on two hits with two walks and no strikeouts plus the pivotal balk in 1.1 innings of work.

Brandon Woodruff takes the ball and makes his second major league start in this contest for the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 1.421 WHIP in the majors this season. Woodruff picked up the win in his major league debut, which came Friday night against Tampa Bay on the road. He threw 6.1 scoreless frames, allowing seven hits with a walk and six strikeouts as Milwaukee claimed a 2-0 victory. Woodruff, being his limited major league experience, makes his debut appearance against the Twins in this contest. This also marks his first major league start at Miller Park. Woodruff was 6-5 with a 4.46 ERA, a 1.349 WHIP, 24 walks and 70 strikeouts over 72.2 innings in 15 starts for Triple-A Colorado Springs of the Pacific Coast League prior to being called up to the big league club.

Trends:

Minnesota

  • No Key Trends

Milwaukee

  • Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games
  • Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series
  • Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

Talk about a vast disparity in experience in this contest: Colon makes his 527th major league appearance and 518th start of his two decade career in this contest. To put that in perspective, Colon has more major league starts than Woodruff has innings as a professional. While Colon has scuffled all season long, he’s been better since coming over to the Twins and is coming off a complete game victory. Woodruff may well pan out in the long run but in the short run, you have to give the Twins the edge here.

Pick: Minnesota Twins +143

It’s rather surprising that we’re here in early August and both teams are still in the thick of the playoff picture. The Twins seemingly waved the white flag when they dealt Jaime Garcia and Brandon Kintzler at the trade deadline while Milwaukee was quiet for the most part. The Brewers’ big move was to pick up Jeremy Jeffress again from the Rangers to add an arm to the bullpen. Milwaukee could have used a starter though they’ll have to hope that Woodruff and company can shoulder the load the rest of the way.

The over is 2-0-2 in the Twins’ last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record, 2-0-2 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record, 7-1-3 in their last 11 vs. National League Central opponents and 6-2-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 on the year. Milwaukee has seen the over go 11-2-3 in their last 16 vs. American League Central foes and 24-8-4 in their last 36 interleague home games against a right-handed starter. Look for this one to go over the total as Colon has struggled this season while Woodruff has much to prove at the big league level, even after his debut.

Over 10

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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