Milwaukee Brewers (73-68, O/U 60-74) vs. Chicago Cubs (77-64, O/U 66-68)
MLB: Sunday, September 10, 2017 Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois 2:20 pm ET
Lines: Chicago Cubs -160/Milwaukee +145
The Milwaukee Brewers are pushing the Chicago Cubs for the NL Central lead. They sit just three games behind the Cubs after crushing them, 15-2 on Saturday. They’ll send ace Zach Davies (16-8, 3.77 ERA) to the mound in the series finale against Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.29 ERA) on Sunday.
Brewers score eight times in third inning
Milwaukee scored eight runs in the third inning to key a 15-2 win over the Cubs on Saturday. Infielder Hernan Perez led the wy with two hits, including a home and five RBIs. Shortstop Orlando Arcia added a dinger and three RBIs. Chase Anderson gave up just one hit and noe runs with five strikeouts to earn his ninth win with a 2.93 ERA.
Zach Davies has had quite the season for the Brew Crew and he’s been even better lately. In his last five starts, Davies has recorded a 1.11 ERA, allowing two or less runs in each outing. He’s also had quality starts in eight of his last 10 outings. However, in his last eight starts against the Cubs, Davies is an ordinary 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA.
Montgomery gets pounded on Saturday
Mike Montgomery has three saves this season and has a 3.64 ERA this season. But on Saturday, Montgomery was crushed in two innings, giving up four runs and walking four. He’s been great against teams not named Milwaukee this season, owning a 2.80 ERA in 2017. But against the Brewers, Montgomery has a 10.13 ERA and a 1:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
In the infamous third inning, Milwaukee scored eight off Montgomery and right-hander Justin Grimm in that frame. The Cubs will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound to help hold off the Brewers. He’s 2-1 with a 2.36 ERA in nine starts since coming back from the disabled list on July 24. He now has five straight quality starts after giving up two runs and five hits over 6.2 innings against Pittsburgh on Tuesday. Hendricks is 6-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 13 starts against the Brewers.
- 10-4 in Davies’ last 14 road starts.
- 7-1 last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- 1-5 last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
This is a huge game for the Brewers. A win and they knock the lead down to two games. A loss and it expands to four. After losing three straight to Cincinnati, the Brewers not have a chance to sweep the Cubs. With Davies on the mound, they will get that accomplished.
These two teams have gone under in six of their last seven gaems before Saturday’s 15-2 offensive explosion by the Brewers. These are two quality pitchers and both usually pitch in low-scoring games. In fact, the Cubs are 20-6-1 Under in Hendricks’ last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 24-5-1 Under their last 30 road games.