Miami Marlins (68-73; 70-62-9 O/U) vs. Atlanta Braves (62-78; 72-63-5 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:35pm EST
Line: Atlanta -126/Miami +116
The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins will conclude a four game divisional series Sunday afternoon from SunTrust Park. The Marlins will give the nod to 30-year old right-hander Odrisamer Despaigne, and the Braves will send 42-year old right-hander R.A. Dickey to the mound. The Braves lead the season series 8-5.
Despaigne Silences Nationals, Remains Winless
Odrisamer Despaigne will make his 14th appearance and fourth start of the season, still searching for his first win. Despaigne was outstanding in his previous performance, limiting the Nationals to one run over seven innings but received no run support and took the loss. The third-year right-hander has been shaky at times however he does own a solid 3.57 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in 35.1 innings of work. He has yet to face the Braves this season and has allowed two runs in 5.2 career head-to-head innings against Atlanta. Christian Yelich along with several Marlins hitters are having trouble driving in runs as of late. Yelich has only driven in four runs over his last 15 games however he is hitting a solid .333 this month, and now owns a .289 average with 16 home runs and 72 RBI’s on the season. The 25-year old centerfielder has collected a hit in 17 of 49 at bats with seven RBI’s against the Braves this season.
The Marlins are now scoring an average of 4.59 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the Majors, and feature a .263 batting average. The Miami pitching owns a 4.64 team ERA, positioning them 20th overall.
Dickey Roughed Up by Rangers
R.A. Dickey will take the mound for the 28th time of the season, looking to bounce back from a tough outing. Dickey conceded seven runs (six earned) in 4.1 innings to the Rangers in his latest start, and was tagged with the loss to drop his record to 9-9. Overall, the veteran knuckleballer is having a decent season, posting a 4.14 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 165.1 innings of work. He has allowed six runs in 13 innings against Miami this season, and now features a dominant 11-3 record with a 3.03 ERA in 104 career innings against the Marlins. Marcell Ozuna is 2 for 6 against Dickey, while Giancarlo Stanton is 9 for 26 with four RBI’s, and Christian Yelich is 1 for 4. Matt Kemp is swinging a hot bat, belting three homers along with six RBI’s over his last six games. The 32-year old left fielder is having a decent season, currently hitting .283 with 18 home runs and 58 RBI’s. Kemp is only 5 for 25 with one RBI against the Marlins this season.
The Braves are scoring an average of 4.61 runs per game, ranking them 17th overall, and are hitting .263 as a team. The Atlanta pitching is carrying a poor 4.61 team ERA, positioning them 19th in the Major Leagues.
The Miami Marlins are:
- 2-10 in their last 12 games overall.
- 2-8 in their last 10 games against a right-handed starter.
- 1-5 in their last 6 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Atlanta Braves are:
- 6-1 in Dickey’s last 7 home starts against a team with a losing record.
- 6-2 in Dickey’s last 8 starts against a team with a losing record.
I am siding with the Braves in this contest. Dickey usually pitches well against the Marlins as he held them to three runs in both meetings this season, and features an 11-3 record with a 3.03 career ERA against Miami, so I am confident backing him. Furthermore, Despaigne does not have a whole lot of experience and I can’t see him silencing the Braves. The Marlins are in an offensive slump, scoring three or fewer runs in seven out of their last ten games, so I believe the Braves are the play in this one.