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Padres vs. Diamondbacks,
9-10-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#963 San Diego
Padres
#964 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 4:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Diego Padres (64-78 SU, 77-65 RL, 72-62-8 O/U) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (82-59 SU, 79-62 RL, 64-70-7 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, September 10, 2017, Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona, 4:10 pm ET

Lines: Arizona -225, San Diego +207; Over/Under: 9

A pair of NL West rivals finish up a weekend set in the desert. The San Diego Padres play the last contest of their three game set against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday afternoon. San Diego picked up the win in the opening game of the series as they prevailed 10-6 Friday night. The pitching matchup for Saturday’s middle game of the set saw Jhoulys Chacin pitch for the Padres against Arizona’s Zack Godley. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 8:10 pm ET.

San Diego Padres Hope to Play Spoiler

San Diego has nothing to play for but try to be a thorn in the sides of playoff contending teams. The Padres are out of the playoff race, sitting 12.5 games behind the Rockies for the second wild card spot in the National League. San Diego took an 8-0 lead after four innings but had to hang on as the Diamondbacks charged back. Manuel Margot (run, four RBI) and Erick Aybar (two runs, RBI) each had three hits for the Padres in the game. Jose Pirela and Jordan Lyles each drove in a pair of runs while Yangervis Solarte had the other RBI in the game. Lyles (1-2) picked up the win after throwing five plus innings: he allowed four runs on six hits with no walks and six strikeouts.

Luis Perdomo takes the hill for the 26th time this season for the Padres. He is 7-9 with a 4.62 ERA, a 1.525 WHIP, 54 walks and 104 strikeouts over 140.1 innings of action this season. Perdomo took a tough loss in his last outing, which came Monday night at home against the Cardinals. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on seven hits with three walks and six strikeouts in a game the Padres dropped 2-0. Perdomo is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA, a 1.56 WHIP, seven walks and 11 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. He is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.454 WHIP over nine appearances, five starts, over 32.1 innings in his career against the Diamondbacks. Perdomo is 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA and a 1.725 WHIP over 13.1 innings over four career appearances, two starts, at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Ready for Postseason

Arizona had their 13 game win streak snapped with their loss in the opener. The Diamondbacks have established a six game lead over the Rockies for the first wild card spot, which means home field for the wild card game. Ketel Marte (run) and Jake Lamb (run, RBI) each had two hits in the loss for Arizona. J.D. Martinez (his 19th with Arizona, 35th overall) and Reymond Fuentes (his third) each homered for the Diamondbacks. Patrick Corbin (13-12) took the loss on the mound as he allowed eight runs on 11 hits with three walks and three strikeouts over 4.1 innings of work.

Robbie Ray gets the ball for his 24th start of the year for the Diamondbacks in this one. He is 12-5 with a 2.80 ERA, a 1.152 WHIP, 62 walks and 184 strikeouts over 138 innings of work. Ray picked up his third straight win in his last start, which came Monday on the road against the Dodgers. He threw 7.2 innings, allowing no runs on three hits with no walks and 14 strikeouts in a 13-0 Arizona victory. Ray is 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA, a 0.67 WHIP, four walks and 33 strikeouts over 19.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his eighth career start against the Padres in this contest: he is 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.039 WHIP over 42.1 innings of work in those contests.

Trends:

San Diego

  • Padres are 2-8 in Perdomo’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record
  • Padres are 2-8 in Perdomo’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest
  • Padres are 1-7 in Perdomo’s last 8 starts vs. National League West

Arizona

  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series
  • Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Diamondbacks were on a blistering roll before getting slowed in the opening game of the series. Arizona has established their playoff position thanks to the hot streak as they distanced themselves from the Rockies. San Diego is playing for pride and to stick it to their division opponents as far as the postseason goes. Perdomo has pitched well in his last three starts but hasn’t gotten a ton of help. Ray is pitching extremely well of late and that trend continues against the offensively challenged Padres. Arizona gets the win to close the series.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -225

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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