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Reds vs. Mets,
9-10-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#951 Cincinnati
Reds
#952 New York
Mets

Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cincinnati Reds

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Mets

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Cincinnati Reds (61-81; 75-61-6 O/U) vs. New York Mets (62-79; 79-50-12 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:10pm EST

Line: New York -188/Cincinnati +177

Total: 8.5

The New York Mets will take on the Cincinnati Reds as the clubs conclude a four game series Sunday night from Citi Field. The Reds will give the call to 23-year old right-hander Sal Romano, and 29-year old right-hander Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the Mets. The Mets lead the season series 3-2.

Romano Receives Little Run Support in Strong Outing

Sam Romano will make his 13th start of the season, hunting for his fifth win. Romano pitched well in his latest effort, allowing two runs (one earned) in 5.1 innings to the Pirates, and was tagged with the loss. The rookie right-hander has looked good in four straight starts, and is now carrying a 4.62 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP accompanied with a 4-6 record in 64.1 innings pitched. He faced the Mets in late August and notched the Quality Start, allowing three runs in six innings and recorded the win. Adam Duvall is well on his way to his first career 100 RBI season. The 29-year old left fielder is having a tremendous season, hitting .250 with 31 home runs and 94 RBI’s, and has driven in five runs this month. Duvall has collected four RBI’s in five games against the Mets this season.

The Reds are currently scoring an average of 4.75 runs per game, ranking them 13th in the Major Leagues, and are hitting .256 as a team. The Cincinnati pitching is carrying a Major League worst 5.22 team ERA.

Jacob deGrom Looks to Rebound from Disastrous Outing

Jacob deGrom is back on the hill for the 29th time of the season, looking to rebound from a disastrous outing. DeGrom served up nine runs (six earned) in 3.2 innings to the Phillies last time out, and was charged with the loss. The 6-foot-4 right-hander has not pitched well in three out of his last five starts however he still features a 3.65 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP accompanied with a 14-9 record in 182.1 innings of work. He faced the Reds for the first time of the year in late August and allowed four runs (three earned) in six innings and took the loss, and has now conceded a total of five runs (four earned) in 12 career innings against Cincinnati. Juan Lagares has been steadily reaching base, notching a hit in 9 of his last 29 at bats with three RBI’s in that span. The 28-year old centerfielder has been injured for a good portion of the season and is currently hitting .259 with three homers and 14 RBI’s in 75 games. Lagares is 2 for 19 against the Reds this season.

The Mets are scoring an average of 4.62 runs per game, ranking them 16th overall, and are hitting .249 as a team. The New York pitching has had issues all season, posting a 4.86 team ERA, placing them down at 27th in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Cincinnati Reds are:

  • under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall.
  • under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games.
  • under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter.

The New York Mets are:

  • under is 7-2 in deGrom’s last 9 Sunday starts.
  • under is 6-2 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a series.
  • under is 2-0-2 in their last 4 home games against the Reds.

I am taking the under in this contest. Romano has turned it around after a rough start, posting a terrific 2.45 ERA over his last four starts, and he recently recorded a Quality Start against the Mets. Furthermore, deGrom should rebound from his tough outing last time out as he rarely gets shelled in two straight home starts, and he features a solid 3.65 career ERA against the Reds.

Pick: Under

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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