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Tigers vs. Blue Jays,
9-10-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Detroit
Tigers
#966 Toronto
Blue Jays

Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Tigers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Toronto Blue Jays

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Detroit Tigers (60-80 SU, 66-740 RL, 75-59-6 O/U) vs Toronto Blue Jays (64-77 SU, 64-77 RL, 65-69-7 O/U)

When: 1:05 PM EDT, Sunday, September 10, 2017

Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario

Lines: Toronto -185/ Detroit +171

Total: 9.5

MLB action on Sunday afternoon and the American League Central will square off with the American League East as the Detroit Tigers tangle with the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario in game three of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 7.07 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers and he will be opposed by J.A. Happ (7-10, 3.85 ERA).

Buck Farmer Has Solid Outing In Game One

The Detroit Tigers have had a very bad season once again and once again their pitching has been the culprit. They continue to have struggles with their starting pitching, but they got a solid outing from Buck Farmer in game one of this series. He has not been a good starter in his career, but he allowed just one ER on five hits in 5.0 innings of a 5-4 win. He is now 4-2 with a 6.32 ERA on the year and despite the win, he is still just 4-7 with an 8.10 ERA in 15 career starts overall. He will not be their savior. The Tigers are still 20 games under .500 for the year and well out of the race for a playoff spot. They have gone 28-42 on the road and have averaged 4.20 rpg and have allowed 5.40 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Tigers in this one will be Anibal Sanchez and he has gone 3-3 with a 7.07 ERA in 23 games on the year overall, including 3-3 with a 6.35 ERA in 12 games as a starter and 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in his last three starts. Sanchez has gone 14-15 with a 3.32 ERA in 46 games (44 starts) during Sept/ Oct and 30-30 with a 4.38 ERA in 100 games (92 starts) in the daytime, while against the Blue Jays in his career he has gone 3-3 with a 5.04 ERA in 11 games (nine starts), including 0-2 with a 7.98 ERA in three starts here at the Rogers Centre.  

The Tigers have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.71 rpg, while also ranking 8th in hitting at .261 and 21st in homers with 166. On the mound they have been poor so far this year as they come in ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 5.20, while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.47.

It Has Been A Lost Season For The Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays had some high hopes this year as they had a solid offense on paper and some very good pitching, but things just haven’t panned out the way they expected and it has kept them in the last place in the American League East for much of the year. Their offense has been a big reason for that as it shows that they have really missed Edwin Encarnacion, who is now in Cleveland. After the 5-4 loss to the Tigers in game one of this series, they have now averaged just 4.00 rpg and have hit just 2.06 rpg in their last 10 games. They will really need to get a big bat or two in the offseason or hope that Bautista and Donaldson bounce back from rough seasons.The Jays have gone 35-35 here at home and have averaged 4.04 rpg and have allowed 4.91 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Blue Jays in this one will be J.A. Happ and he has gone 7-10 with a 3.85 ERA in 21 starts on the year, including 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in his last three starts and 3-6 with a 3.77 ERA in 11 starts here at home. Happ has gone 17-11 with a 3.24 ERA in 45 games (42 starts) during Sept/ Oct and 33-20 with a 3.99 ERA in 89 games (79 starts) during the daytime, plus he is 26-19 with a 3.32 ERA in 56 games (53 starts) here at the Rogers Centre in his career, while against the Tigers he has gone 2-1 with a 4.10 ERA in seven games (six starts).  

Toronto has been a poor offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.25 rpg, while also ranking 29th in hitting at .239 and 11th in homers with 194. On the mound they have been below average so far this year as they come in ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.50, while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.40.

Trends

Detroit is:

  • 3-12 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record
  • 6-21 in Sanchez’s last 27 starts with four days of rest

Toronto is:

  • 11-4 in Happ’s last 15 starts during game three of a series
  • 14-6 in Happ’s last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record

Neither team has a shot at the postseason this year and that can always make for tough handicapping at this time of the year. Still, the Jays have a huge edge on the mound with Happ over Sanchez. J.A Happ has gone just 7-10 on the year, but he has a 3.85 ERA in those games, plus he has a solid 3.77 ERA at home. Anibal Sanchez has been horrible as a starter the last few years and he is 3-3 with a 6.35 ERA as a starter this year while going 0-2 with a 7.98 ERA in three career starts here at the Rogers Centre. Detroit has the edge on offense, but the Jays have an even bigger edge on the mound and that is where they will win this one.

Pick: Toronto -185

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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