Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals
When and Where: Monday, Sept. 10, Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Mo., 8:15 p.m. EDT.
Lucas Giolito looks to record his fifth consecutive road win Monday night when the Chicago White Sox open a three-game series versus the Kansas City Royals.
Giolito out to get back over .500 for ChiSox
Giolito (10-10, 5.85 ERA) has been effective outside of Chicago of late, going 4-0 with a 3.09 ERA in his last five starts. But the right-hander is coming off a lousy outing last time out.
He failed to get out of the second inning against Detroit on Tuesday, yielding five runs and four hits with two walks while retiring just four batters in an 8-3 loss. It was the first time in five starts Giolito allowed more than three runs as he dropped to 6-5 against AL Central rivals.
Giolito’s road surge has also extended to facing division foes as he enters this contest 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA in eight such starts. One of those victories came against the Royals on April 26 when he held them to two runs and six hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 6-3 victory.
The righty is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts versus Kansas City on the year, with his best outing the most recent one as he scattered two hits and three walks in 6 1-3 shutout innings of a 10-1 romp July 15. Giolito is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA in five lifetime starts against the Royals, holding opposing hitters to a .191 average in those games.
Giolito has caused plenty of problems for Alex Gordon, who is 1 for 12 in their matchups. Whit Merrifield has also failed to solve the righty, striking out four times while going hitless in eight at-bats.
Junis looks to match career high with ninth win
While Jakob Junis (8-12, 4.32 ERA) has endured a tough season, he can still match his rookie total of nine wins set last season with his next victory.
The right-hander has won back-to-back starts for the first time since opening the season with victories in his first two starts. Junis stifled the Indians in Cleveland last Monday, conceding just two hits in seven shutout innings of a 6-1 triumph.
He has won his last three decisions against division rivals, a run started with a victory at Chicago on Aug. 1 when he was reached for four runs and six hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 10-5 Royals victory. Junis has split two starts this year versus the White Sox, who thumped him for five homers that accounted for six runs over 5 2-3 innings in that 6-3 loss to Giolito in April.
Junis ended an eight-start winless drought at home last time out with a six-hitter against Detroit and is 4-7 with a 4.52 ERA in 14 starts at Kauffman Stadium. All three of the righty’s starts against Chicago have come this season, and he has posted a 6.48 ERA.
The Royals are:
- 2-7 in Junis’ last nine home starts.
- 4-12 in Junis’ last 16 starts.
- 17-38 in their last 55 during game 1 of a series.
- The under is 6-0 in their last six Monday games.
- The under is 5-1-2 in Junis’ last eight home starts vs. sub-.500 teams.
- The under is 4-1-1 in their last six home games vs. the White Sox.
The White Sox are:
- 5-0 in Giolito’s last five road starts.
- 7-0 in Giolito’s last seven road starts vs. sub-.500 teams.
- 5-0 in Giolito’s last five starts vs. the Royals.
- The under is 11-2-3 in Giolito’s last 16 road starts.
- The under is 7-2 in their last nine Monday games.
- The under is 4-1 in their last five road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Giolito has not allowed more than three runs in any of his five career starts versus the Royals and has looked sharp in the last two this season. One of the keys has been his ability to work out of trouble against Kansas City — the righty has a 1.44 WHIP on the season, but that ratio drops to 1.17 against the Royals.
Prediction: Pick: White Sox +115
Full-Game Total Pick
Between Giolito’s mastery of Kansas City on the season and Junis’ last two starts being so effective, the under is the better play here. The only fear is the Royals starter grooving pitches like he did in the loss in April.
Prediction: Pick: UNDER 8.5 runs
Full-Game Prop Bet
This is again riding the trend of both pitchers to keep both the scoring chances and runs down. The teams did clear 27 in two of the last three games in the most recent series, so this likely will come down to the wire.
Prediction: Pick: UNDER 27 Runs+Hits+Errors (-105)
First Five Innings Side Pick
While the safer play is taking the White Sox and one-half run at -130, Giolito’s track record against the Royals this year creates justifiable confidence in taking Chicago and the money line straight up for the first five innings.
Prediction: Pick: White Sox +115
First Five Innings Total Bet
The teams have combined to come in under 4.5 runs in four of their last six games. The Royals have come in under five runs in five of Junis’ last six starts, and the hedge is Giolito’s track record against the Royals will trump the fact the White Sox have gone over five runs in five of his last six outings.
Prediction: Pick: UNDER 4.5 runs (-110)
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
There has been a first-inning run in all three of Giolito’s starts against the Royals, and there was a run in the opening frame in the other two of Junis’ three starts versus Chicago when not going head-to-head against Giolito.
Prediction: Pick: YES to 1st-inning run (-110)