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Orioles vs. Blue Jays,
9-11-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#907 Baltimore
Orioles
#908 Toronto
Blue Jays

Monday, September 11, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Baltimore Orioles

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Toronto Blue Jays

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Baltimore Orioles (71-71 SU, 70-68-4 O/U) v. Toronto Blue Jays (66-77 SU, 65-71-7 O/U) at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario

Monday, September 11th, 2017 at 7:07 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Ubaldo Jimenez (R) 5-9, 6.80 ERA, 1.60 WHIP (BAL) v. Marco Estrada (R) 7-8, 5.00 ERA, 1.42 WHIP (TOR)

Money Line: Baltimore Orioles +109 | Toronto Blue Jays -119

Over/Under: 10

The Toronto Blue Jays are hosting the Baltimore Orioles in this AL East showdown. The Orioles are fighting for a spot in the playoffs. They’re just 2.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the American League Wild Card race. Meanwhile, the Toronto Blue Jays are further down in the Wild Card standings. They’re 8.0 games back, so the Jays need to go on a serious run to have a chance at the postseason. Which club will come out on top in this battle of the birds?

O’s drop another one in Cleveland

The Baltimore Orioles came up short in a 4-2 loss to the Indians in Cleveland on Saturday. It was the third consecutive loss for the Orioles. Meanwhile, it was Cleveland’s 17th consecutive win. Baltimore’s lineup couldn’t get anything going against Cleveland’s pitching staff. They only had five hits in the loss. It was an unusually bad day at the plate for the Orioles. Baltimore’s lineup has hit .265 this year, which is the fourth best batting average in Major League Baseball.

The O’s are sending Ubaldo Jimenez out to the hill on Monday night. Jimenez has really struggled in 2017. He looked awful in his last start against the Seattle Mariners. Jimenez gave up 6 hits, a walk, and 6 runs in only 2 2/3 innings. Jimenez has lost two consecutive decisions. He hasn’t won a game in over a month. Jimenez is hoping to snap his losing streak as he takes the mound against the Jays on Monday.

Jays top TIgers

The Toronto Blue Jays came up with an impressive 8-2 victory over the Detroit Tigers on Sunday afternoon. It was Toronto’s second The Jays had a terrific day at the plate. They finished the game with 16 hits. Toronto’s lineup hasn’t had a great season. In fact, they have the second-worst batting average in the majors. The Blue Jays are only hitting .240 in 2017.

Marco Estrada will get the nod for the Jays in this matchup with the Orioles. Estrada hasn’t had a great season, and he’s a game below .500. The right-handed veteran was stellar in his last start against the Red Sox in Boston. Estrada pitched seven scoreless innings, allowing only three hits. Unfortunately for Estrada, Toronto’s lineup didn’t hold up their end of the bargain, and his terrific start resulted in a no-decision. Estrada is hoping that he can get back to .500 after this showdown in Toronto.

Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are:

  •  1-4 in their last 5 overall.
  • 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • 3-9 in Jimenez’s last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 1-4 in Jimenez’s last 5 road starts.

The Toronto Blue Jays are:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • 5-1 in Estrada’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • 4-1 in Estrada’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • 7-3 in Estrada’s last 10 Monday starts.

Ubaldo Jimenez has been terrible recently. He had an 8.22 ERA in 5 starts last month. Jimenez has lost five of his last six decisions. Meanwhile, Marco Estrada has won three of his last four decisions. Estrada has a 2-0 record and a 3.16 ERA in four starts against the Orioles. I think Estrada will pick up his third win against the O’s in this one. I like the Blue Jays to beat the Orioles on Monday night.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -119

Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.

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