Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76; 58-79-6 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (74-68; 61-74-7 O/U)
MLB: Monday, September 11, 2017 at 7:40pm EST
Line: Milwaukee -160/Pittsburgh +144
The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Pittsburgh Pirates as the division rivals begin a three game series Monday night from Miller Park. The Pirates will give the nod to 25-year old left-hander Steven Brault, and the Brewers will send 24-year old right-hander Brandon Woodruff to the mound. The Pirates own an 8-5 lead in the season series.
Brault Targets First Win of Season
Steven Brault will make his eighth appearance and second start of the season, aiming for his first victory. Brault was decent in his first start of the year five days ago, conceding three runs in five innings to the Cubs and finished with the no decision in a game the Pirates won. Overall, the rookie left-hander has had trouble this season, allowing 15 runs (12 earned) in 18.2 innings, resulting in a 5.79 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP. Brault has yet to allow a home run this season. Andrew McCutchen has been very quiet as of late, collecting only one RBI over his last 11 games. The career .290 hitter is having a decent season, hitting .273 with 23 home runs and 75 RBI’s. McCutchen has been productive against Milwaukee this season, recording a total of nine RBI’s.
The Pirates are currently scoring an average of 4.15 runs per game, ranking them 28th overall, and are hitting .245 as a team. The Pittsburgh pitching owns a 4.28 team ERA, placing them 13th in the Major Leagues.
Woodruff Shines in No Decision vs Nationals
Brandon Woodruff will get the nod for the fifth time of the season, looking to improve his record to 2-1. Woodruff was outstanding in his previous performance, limiting the Nationals to only one run over seven strong innings, however, he received little run support and took the loss. The rookie right-hander has pitched well in each of his four starts and has allowed only four runs in 23.2 innings, resulting in a 1.52 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. Woodruff has only conceded one home run in his four starts. Travis Shaw has fared well against the Pirates pitching this season, belting five home runs along with nine RBI’s. The 27-year old first baseman is having a strong season, sporting a .275 average with 28 home runs and 88 RBI’s. Shaw has collected five RBI’s over his last six games. The Brewers are still alive in the Wildcard chase, sitting three games back of the Rockies.
The Brewers are now averaging 4.54 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the Majors, and feature a .248 team batting average. The Milwaukee pitching is sporting a solid 4.06 team ERA, good for eighth in the Major Leagues.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are:
- under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games in Milwaukee.
- under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- under is 3-0-1 in Brault’s last 4 starts overall.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- under is 4-0 in Woodruff’s last 4 starts overall.
- under is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games against the Pirates.
- under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 Monday games.
I am taking the under in this contest. Woodruff just limited the potent Nationals lineup to one run in seven innings last time out and has only conceded four runs in 23.2 innings this season. The Pirates continue to struggle to score runs, averaging only 3.6 runs over their last ten games. Milwaukee is not very productive against left-handers, and they have scored four or fewer runs in six out of their last eight games.