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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks,
9-11-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#903 Colorado
Rockies
#904 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Monday, September 11, 2017 at 9:50pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Colorado Rockies (77-65 SU, 72-70 RL, 59-77-6 O/U) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (82-60 SU, 79-63 RL, 65-70-7 O/U)

When: 9:40 PM EDT, Monday, September 11, 2017

Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona

Lines: Arizona -185/ Colorado +171

Total: 9

Tonight an important matchup within the National League West will take place as the Colorado Rockies battle the Arizona Diamondbacks in game one of their four-game series from Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Diamondbacks lead the season series 9-6. Pitching Probables: Kyle Freeland (11-10, 3.99 ERA) will get the nod for the Rockies and the Diamondbacks will counter with Zack Greinke (16-6, 3.01 ERA).

The Rockies Are Taking It To The Dodgers

The Colorado Rockies needed to put together some wins and they caught the Dodgers at a very good time. The Dodgers have been slumping and the Rockies have taken advantage as they won the first three games of the series and have outscored the Dodgers 21-10 in the process. The Rockies have won five of their last six games to open up a three-game lead over both the Brewers and the Cardinals in the race for the 2nd wild card slot in the National League. The offense is there for this team, but in order to keep their spot, they will need their pitching to improve as they have allowed 5.5 rpg over their last 10 games. The Rockies have gone 36-35 on the road and have averaged 4.31 rpg and have allowed 4.27 rpg in those games. Kyle Freeland gets the nod for the Rockies in this one and he has gone 11-10 with a 3.99 ERA in 27 games (26 starts) in this his first year in the league, including 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts and 5-3 with a 4.39 ERA in 12 games (11 starts) on the road. Freeland has gone 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 13 day starts, while against the Diamondbacks he has gone 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in one start here at Chase Field.

Colorado has been strong on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.11 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .272 and 21st in homers with 167. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in ERA at 4.62, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.39.

Padres End D-Backs’ Long Winning Streak

The Arizona Diamondbacks had a nice little 13 game winning streak going, but then the Padres came to town and ended it by taking the first two games of that series. It is normal that when a team loses a game that breaks a long winning streak then they will duplicate that result in the next game. A big part of their winning streak was their pitching as they allowed just 27 total runs during their winning streak, but the offensively challenged Padres scored a total of 18 runs in their two wins over the D-Backs. Sometimes those things happen. The Diamondbacks still are atop the National League wild card standings and they still have a five game lead over the Rockies, who are in 2nd place and an eight game lead over both the Cardinals and Brewers, who are in 3rd, so they are in great shape for making the postseason. The Diamondbacks have gone 45-25 at home for the year and they have averaged 5.63 rpg and have allowed 4.17 rpg in those games. The Diamondbacks will trot out ace Zack Greinke and he has gone 16-6 with a 3.01 ERA in 28 starts on the year, including 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts and 13-1 with a 2.31 ERA in 16 starts here at home. Greinke has gone 34-14 with a 2.83 ERA in 71 games (68 starts) during Sept/ Oct and 50-31 with a 3.55 ERA in 121 games (111 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 24-8 with a 3.37 ERA in 39 career starts here at Chase Field, while against the Rockies overall he has gone 9-5 with a 4.00 ERA in 24 games (23 starts).

The Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team thus far as they come in ranked 7th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.98 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .255 and 14th in homers with 190. On the mound,, they have been very strong in the early going as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.63, while also ranking 6th in WHIP at 1.26.

Trends

Colorado is:

  • 1-4 in Freeland’s last five starts on grass
  • 0-5 their last five games in this series

Arizona is:

  • 11-1 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • 12-2 in their last 14 vs. the National League West

The Rockies had a solid series in Los Angeles against the slumping Dodgers, while the Diamondbacks just lost two in a row at home against the Padres. Kyle Freeland has been the best starter for the Rockies this year, but he is going up against Zack Greinke, who has gone a very impressive 13-1 with a 2.31 ERA here at home for the year. The Diamondbacks have gone 14-2 in Greinke’s 16 home starts this year and they have gone 45-25 at home for the year overall, while the Rockies have gone a mediocre 36-35 on the road. The Diamondbacks are the better team and they have the better starter on the mound for this one, plus they average 5.63 rpg at home, while the Rockies put up 4.31 rpg on the road. Take Arizona in this one.

Pick: Arizona -185

The Rockies have been a solid offensive team this year, while the Diamondbacks have been a very good offensive team as well, especially here at home. This is a huge series for both teams and both have their best starters on the mound for this one. Kyle Freeland has struggled of late and he has a 4.39 ERA on the road, but he also allowed just one ER in 6.0 innings of work in his lone start in this park. That game ended 3-1. Zack Greinke has a 2.31 ERA here at home for the year and a 3.37 ERA in 39 career starts in this park and the Rockies average just 4.43 rpg on the road. The Under is 3-0-1 the last four games between these teams here in Arizona. Take the low road in this one.

Pick: Under

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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