Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Boston Red Sox -120 vs.
#966 Toronto Blue Jays 10.5
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 7:07pm EDT
Written by Ricky Dimon



#965 Boston
#966 Toronto


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The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox will continue a three-game series when they clash at the Rogers Centre in Toronto on Wednesday night.

Stick a fork in ’em

Red Sox have already been eliminated from contention for the American League East title and are watching their slim hopes for a wild-card berth fade away as they stumble down the stretch. The defending World Series champions hope to avoid a fifth consecutive defeat on Wednesday. Boston has scored only nine runs during its four-game slide despite the fifth home run in seven contests by reigning AL MVP Mookie Betts, who has eight RBIs in that span. Rafael Devers recorded his major league-leading 50th double in the series opener, the youngest Red Sox player to reach that mark and first since Dustin Pedroia in 2008.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.60 ERA) is taking the mound for Boston on Wednesday. Chacin was picked up by the Red Sox following his release from Milwaukee and served as the opener in his Boston debut against the Yankees last Friday, striking out four batters and not allowing a run or a hit in his 2.0-inning stint. The 31-year-old Venezuelan, who went 0-7 over his last 12 starts with the Brewers, also tossed a scoreless inning of relief against the Yankees on Sunday.

Trent warfare

While Boston fell nine games behind Oakland for the second wild card with 17 to play, Toronto halted a season-worst seven-game losing streak with its first victory in September. Rowdy Tellez continued to torment the Red Sox with a tie-breaking two-run homer in the 4-3 win over Boston–his sixth against them in 10 games this season. Catcher Reese McGuire has multiple hits in four of the last seven games.

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Trent Thornton (4-9, 5.23 ERA) will oppose Chacin on Wednesday. The right-hander extended his winless drought to six starts in last time out at Tampa Bay, limiting the Rays to three runs (one earned) and four hits over 4.2 innings–the third straight outing he failed to pitch beyond five innings. After a solid first start against Boston on June 21, the 25-year-old rookie was pummeled by the Red Sox in two subsequent outings as he gave up a combined 12 runs and 16 hits over only 4.0 innings.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Betts is 5-for-8 and Devers is 3-for-5 with a home run against Thornton. Shortstop Xander Bogaerts sat out Tuesday but should be well-rested for Wednesday. He needs one double to give the team two players with 50 for the first time in club history. Boston is 40-12 in its last 52 on the road against opponents with home winning percentages under .400 and 20-6 in its last 26 at Toronto. The Blue Jays are 0-7 in their last seven against right-handed starters, 0-5 in their last five against the American League East, 0-6 in Thornton’s last six starts, and 15-37 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Boston outfielder Andrew Benintendi is 1-for-19 in his last six games. Fortunately for the Red Sox, Chacin has at least been serviceable of late. The under is 7-1 in Boston’s last eight overall and 5-2 in its last seven against the American League East. It is also 5-2-1 in the Blue Jays’ last eight overall, 8-3-3 in their last 14 at home, 4-1 in their last five against starters with WHIPs under 1.15, 9-4-1 in their last 14 against right-handed starters, and 5-2 in their last seven against the American League East. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Prior to joining the Winners & Whiners Staff, he worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.