Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#971 Kansas City Royals 10.5 vs.
#972 Chicago White Sox -155
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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#971 Kansas City
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A series between a pair of AL Central rivals continues in the Windy City on the diamond. The Kansas City Royals are on the road as they play the middle game of a three-game set with the Chicago White Sox Wednesday night. Kansas City missed a chance at a sweep of the Marlins on the road over the weekend, losing the finale 9-0 Sunday afternoon. Chicago salvaged the finale of their three-game set at home against the Angels over the weekend, winning 5-1 Sunday. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s series opener saw Jakob Junis take the mound for the Royals against the White Sox’ Ivan Nova. First pitch in the contest was scheduled for 8:10 pm ET.

Kansas City Royals Look to Pick Up Road Win

Kansas City won a set on the road over the weekend but they were hammered in the finale of the set Sunday afternoon by Miami. The Royals entered Tuesday fourth in the AL Central, 35.5 games behind the Twins: they have been eliminated from playoff contention. Kansas City finished with four hits in the loss with no player having more than one. The Royals had just two at-bats with runners in scoring position in the loss. Mike Montgomery (2-6) took the loss on the mound as he allowed five runs on eight hits with no walks and two strikeouts over four innings.

Glenn Sparkman takes the mound for his 28th appearance, 20th start, of the season for the Royals. He comes in 3-11 with a 5.97 ERA, a 1.496 WHIP, 34 walks and 68 strikeouts over 117.2 innings of work on the year. Sparkman took the loss in his last start, which came at home against the Tigers on Thursday. He threw four innings, allowing four runs on seven hits with no walks and two strikeouts in a 6-4 Royals loss. Sparkman is 0-3 with a 10.66 ERA, a 2.05 WHIP, four walks and seven strikeouts over 12.2 innings in his last three starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.91 ERA, a 1.108 WHIP, three walks and 13 strikeouts over 21.2 innings in six career appearances, three starts, against the White Sox. Sparkman has no record with an 11.25 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, no walks and one strikeout over four innings in three career appearances, one start, at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Hope to Pick Up Victory at Home

Chicago had dropped two straight and three of their previous four before knocking off the Angels in the finale of their set Sunday afternoon. The White Sox entered Tuesday third in the AL Central, 25 games behind the Twins: they have been eliminated from playoff contention. Chicago got homers from Jose Abreu (his 31st) and Danny Mendick (his first) in the contest. Dylan Cease didn’t factor in the decision as he threw 3.1 innings, allowing one run on four hits with five walks and four strikeouts. Josh Osich (2-0) earned the win in relief as he threw 2.2 scoreless innings: he allowed one hit with no walks and two strikeouts.

Reynaldo Lopez takes the ball and logs his 30th start of the season for the White Sox in this contest. He comes in 9-12 with a 5.17 ERA, a 1.426 WHIP, 60 walks and 149 strikeouts over 162 innings of work this season. Lopez picked up the win in his last start, which came on the road against the Indians Thursday. He went the distance, allowing one run on one hit with three walks and 11 strikeouts in a 7-1 White Sox victory. Lopez is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, six walks and 17 strikeouts over 14.2 innings of work in his last three starts. He is 4-2 with a 4.71 ERA, a 1.476 WHIP, 15 walks and 43 strikeouts over 63 innings in 11 career starts against the Royals. Lopez is 9-10 with a 4.06 ERA, a 1.226 WHIP, 70 walks and 176 strikeouts over 206.1 innings in 34 career starts at Guaranteed Rate Field.

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Both teams are looking to the future as they have long been eliminated from playoff contention. Sparkman has pitched well against the White Sox in his career but he has struggled in his last three starts this season. Lopez bounced back from pitching just two-thirds of an inning in a loss to Atlanta by going the distance and stifling the Indians. He’s had decent success against the Royals in his career and the White Sox are at home here. Chicago is 34-37 at home while the Royals are 24-47 on the road this year: give the White Sox the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: Chicago White Sox -155

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Both teams have left plenty to be desired when it comes to putting runs on the board this season. Entering Tuesday’s action, the Royals are 28th in the majors in both runs per game (4.26) and homers (144) on the year. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 27th in both categories as they average 4.26 runs per contest and hit 152 homers on the season. The pitching staffs are below average as well: the White Sox are 23rd in the majors with a 4.96 team ERA while the Royals stand 26th in that department with a 5.12 team mark. Which team gets the upper hand in this contest?

The under is 6-1 in the Royals’ last 7 Wednesday games, 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Chicago has seen the under go 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-0 in Lopez’s last four starts at home. The teams have stayed under the total in five of their last six meetings: given the way both teams have struggled to put runs on the board and the strong start that Lopez is coming in off of, you have to think that one falls under the total, even with Sparkman’s recent issues.

Prediction: Under 10.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.