Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#975 Los Angeles Dodgers -180 vs.
#976 Baltimore Orioles 10
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Scott Reichel

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This Wednesday, there is an interleague matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Baltimore Orioles. These teams will face off at about 7:05 PM. This is game two of a three-game series, which will take place at Camden Yards.

Pitching Matchup: The Dodgers will hand the ball to Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.42 ERA) and the Orioles will counter with John Means (10-10, 3.50 ERA).

Dodgers Clinch NL West Title

After a season in which the NL West was pretty much a foregone conclusion, the race is officially over as the Los Angeles Dodgers have wrapped up first place in the NL West division and have become the first team to clinch a playoff spot this season. However, the Dodgers are still battling with the Astros and the Yankees for potential home-field advantage in the World Series so they will not take their foot off the gas anytime soon. The Dodgers are 42 games over .500 and have continued to destroy teams on a regular basis. However, the Dodgers entered the regular season with the expectation of winning a World Series so a division title should not mean too much to the franchise.

The Dodgers have won eight of their last ten games and they have gone 18-12 in their last 30 games. Yesterday, they scored seven runs and beat the Orioles on the road. Leading their attack was Corey Seager who had two home runs. This win was not surprising as the Dodgers have been amazing against poor opposition all season long. Specifically, the Dodgers are 52-22 against teams with losing records which is the third-best record in the league.

Pitching for the Dodgers in this game will be Ross Stripling and he has gone 4-4 with a 3.42 ERA in 28 appearances (13 starts) on the year. He is also 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 17 appearances on the road this season. Righties are hitting .238 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .242. He has also been great since the All-Star Break as he has a 2.25 ERA.

The Dodgers have been solid on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.46 runs per game, while also ranking 3rd in the league with 1.75 home runs per game. On the mound, they have also been amazing as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.43. The bullpen for the Dodgers ranks 5th in the league with a 3.86 ERA.

Baltimore Continues To Play Awful Baseball At Home

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting in last place in the AL East division and are currently in possession of the second-worst record in baseball. The Orioles are also in the midst of a massive losing streak as they have shown no improvement at any point during the course of the season. The main reason for Baltimore’s struggles has been its inability to win games at Camden Yards this season. Specifically, the Orioles are just 22-51 at home which is the second-worst home record in the league. Unfortunately for the Orioles, they now have to face off against one of the best teams in the league in a stadium that they rarely win in anyway.

The Orioles have lost each of their last six games and they have gone 8-22 in their last 30 games which is tied for the worst record in baseball during that span. Yesterday, the Orioles scored just three runs and lost to the Dodgers at home. Leading their attack was DJ Stewart who had a solo home run in the eighth inning. This loss was not surprising for the Orioles as they have been awful against good teams this season. Specifically, the Orioles are just 23-65 against teams with winning records.

Pitching for the Orioles in this game will be John Means and he has gone 10-10 with a 3.50 ERA in 27 games (23 starts) this season, including a 7-5 record with 2.86 ERA in 16 appearances at home. Righties are hitting .251 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .169. However, he has been terrible since the All-Star break as he is 3-6 with a 5.21 ERA.

The Orioles have been below average on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 4.37 runs per game, while also recording the 23rd-most home runs in the league with 1.27 per game. On the mound, they have been even worse as they come into this game ranked last in the league in ERA at 5.77. The bullpen for the Orioles also ranks last in the league with a 5.84 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Even though this game is in Baltimore, the Dodgers are simply the better overall team and should be able to leave on Wednesday with a victory. Stripling has been solid this season and the Dodgers have an elite bullpen so I do not believe that the Orioles will have much success offensively. At the same point, Baltimore has the worst bullpen in baseball so I expect the Dodgers to break this game open in the later innings. Give me the road team in this one.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

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Even though the Dodgers possess an elite lineup, I like the starting pitchers in this matchup and have to lean to the under. Specifically, Stripling has a 2.25 ERA since the All-Star Break while Means has a 2.86 ERA at home this season so I can see both starters pitching well in this game. Plus, Baltimore’s offense has not scored more than four runs in each of its last three games so I do trust this lineup for this game. Give me the under.

Prediction: Under 9.5
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.