Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#973 Oakland Athletics 11 vs.
#974 Houston Astros -155
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Scott Reichel

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This Wednesday, there is an AL West matchup between the Oakland Athletics and the Houston Astros. These teams will face off at about 8:10 PM. This is game three of a four-game series, which will take place at Minute Maid Park.

Pitching Matchup: The Athletics will hand the ball to Brett Anderson (11-9, 4.08 ERA) and the Astros will counter with Framber Valdez (4-7, 5.62 ERA).

Athletics Give Astros A Dose Of Karma

The Oakland Athletics got embarrassed in the series opener against the Houston Astros. Despite being a fringe playoff team in the beginning of September, the Astros showed no mercy and beat the Athletics by 15 runs. However, the Athletics simply put that dud of a performance behind them and looked to maintain their slim lead over the Indians in the AL Wild Card race. Yesterday, the Athletics returned the favor to the Astros by beating them by 14 runs. Even though this series so far has been a tale of two games, last night’s performance could give Oakland a much needed motivational boost to help propel this team to a playoff spot in the American League.

The Athletics have won three of their last five games and they have gone 19-11 in their last 30 games which is tied for the sixth-best record in the league during that span. Yesterday, they scored a whopping 21 runs and defeated the Astros on the road by a score of 21-7. Leading their attack was Matt Olsen who had two home runs. This win was a bit surprising for the Athletics as they have struggled against the Astros this season. Specifically, Oakland is just 6-11 against Houston up to this point.

Pitching for the Athletics in this game will be Brett Anderson and he has gone 11-9 with a 4.08 ERA in 28 starts on the year, including a 7-3 record with a 3.99 ERA in 14 starts on the road. Righties are hitting .282 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .214. However, he has been terrible against the Astros this season as he is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA.

The Athletics have been solid on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.17 runs per game, while also ranking 18th in the league with 8.47 hits per game. On the mound, they have been solid as well as they come in ranked 7th in the league in ERA at 4.07. In addition, the bullpen for the Athletics ranks 9th in the league with a 4.10 ERA.

Astros Look To Recapture Best Record In American League

The Houston Astros enter this game with the AL West division all but officially wrapped up. However, the Astros are in the middle of a serious battle with the Yankees for home-field advantage in the playoffs. Entering Wednesday, both teams have the same 95-51 record so it should be a very close race as the regular season comes to a close. As a result, Houston will need to take advantage of every opportunity it has in order to potentially break away from New York. Unfortunately, the Astros did not get the memo yesterday as they got blown out at home. Now, Houston has to look past that game and focus on the remaining games it has.

The Astros have won five of their last six games and they have gone 20-10 in their last 30 games which is tied for the third-best record during that span. Yesterday, they scored seven runs and still lost to the Athletics by a whopping 14 runs at home. Leading their attack was George Springer who hit two home runs. This loss was very surprising for the Astros as they have been great at home this season. Specifically, Houston is 56-18 at home which is the best record in the league.

Pitching for the Astros in this game will be Framber Valdez and he has gone 4-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 24 appearances on the year, including a 3-1 record with a 4.06 ERA in 12 appearances at home. Righties are hitting .278 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .206. However, he has been awful since the All-Star Break as he has a 1-3 record with a 7.97 ERA.

The Astros have been solid on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.72 runs per game, while also ranking 4th in the league with 1.71 home runs per game. On the mound, they have been solid as well as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.68. Meanwhile, the bullpen for the Astros ranks 2nd in the league with a 3.68 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Even though Oakland won yesterday’s game in blowout fashion, I cannot go against the Astros at home in this game. Houston has the best home record in the league and has owned the Athletics all season long. Plus, Anderson is winless against the Astros with a 6.10 ERA this season so I expect him to pitch terribly in this game. This game should be close but I’ll take arguably the best team in baseball. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: Houston Astros

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Based on the starting pitchers for this matchup and the recent results between these two teams, I have to lean to the over. Anderson has been awful against the Astros this season with a 6.10 ERA while Valdez has a 7.97 ERA since the All-Star Break so I do not trust either pitcher in this game. Plus, each of the first two games in this series totaled at least 15 runs so I think this total is way too low. Give me the over.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.