Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 Pittsburgh Pirates 8.5 vs.
#960 San Francisco Giants -135
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 9:45pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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#959 Pittsburgh
#960 San Francisco
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Major League Baseball action on Wednesday evening and the National League Central will duke it out with the National League West as the Pittsburgh Pirates grapple with the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. This is game three of a four-game series. These teams have split the first two games of this series.

Pitching Matchup: Getting the call for the Pirates in this one will be Dario Agrazal (4-4, 4.94 ERA) and the Giants will counter with Logan Webb (1-1, 6.5o ERA).

Pirates Are Just Looking To Finish Strong

The Pittsburgh Pirates are not going to the postseason this year, but still, they would like to finish the season strong as to give themselves some confidence heading to next year. That is about all they have to play for at this point, but it hasn’t gone according to plan of late. Pittsburgh did take game one of this series, but they fell in game two by a score of 5-4 and have now dropped six of their last nine games. Despite scoring just one run in their final two games against the Cards, the offense for the Pirates has been hot of late as they have averaged 5.73 rpg over their last 11 games. They will look to keep it rolling against Logan Webb, who has not been great in the early part of his career.

Leading their attack in the loss on Tuesday night was Melky Cabrera and Josh Bell, who each had two RBIs. Bell did go deep with his 37th homer of the year. Mitch Keller continued to struggle in his rookie season as he allowed five ERs on nine hits and no walks with seven strikeouts in 5.0 innings of work to take the loss. He is now 1-4 with an 8.28 ERA on the year. The Pirates are currently 32-41 on the road for the year.

The Pirates will be sending out Dario Agrazal and he has gone 4-4 with a 4.94 ERA in 12 games (11 starts) in this his first year in the league, including 2-1 with a 7.53 ERA in his last three starts and 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA in six starts on the road. He has never faced the Giants. Agrazal was 5-5 with a 4.45 ERA in 16 starts between Altoona (AA) and Indianapolis (AAA) this year.

Pittsburgh has been below average on offense so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.77 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .266 and 25th in homers with 158. On the mound, they have been poor as they rank 24th in the league in ERA at 5.05, while also ranking 26th in WHIP at 1.44 and 11th in K’s with 1283. The pen for the Bucs ranks 22nd in the league with a 4.78 ERA.

Cueto Was Impressive In Return.

The San Francisco Giants had made a valiant run to get back into the postseason race, but they were not able to sustain that and will now enter this contest at 7.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. With just 17 games to go for the G-Men, they virtually have no shot at the postseason. Like the Pirates, the Giants would like to finish the season strong and build up some confidence for next year. Also, like the Pirates, it has not been easy as the Giants have lost 10 of their last 15 games.

They lost game one of this series by a score of 6-4 but bounced back with a 5-4 win on Tuesday night. That wasn’t an easy win as the Giants had a 5-0 lead after the 5th inning and save the Pirates mount a rally with four runs in the top of the 8th, but Shaun Anderson came in to restore order and notched his first career save. Grabbing the win was Johnny Cueto, who was making his return after elbow surgery. He allowed just one hit and one walk while striking out four in 5.0 innings of work in his first start since July 28th of 2018. Leading their attack was Stephen Vogt, who had two hits and drove in four runs. One hit was his 9th round-tripper of the year. Despite scoring nine runs in the first two games of this series, the Giants have averaged just 2.73 rpg over their last 11 games. San Fran is now 31-39 here at home for the year.

Toeing the rubber for the Giants will be Logan Webb and he has gone 1-1 with a 6.40 ERA in four starts in this his first year in the league, including 0-0 with a 1.59 ERA in one start here at home. He has never faced the Pirates. Webb was 2-4 with a 1.85 ERA in 12 games (10 starts) combined for four different teams in the Minors. He has gone through four levels of the Minors this year.

The Giants have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 26th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.30 rpg, while also ranking 26th in hitting at .240 and 26th in homers with 156. On the mound, they have been average as they rank 15th in the league in ERA at 4.43, while also ranking 13th in WHIP at 1.31 and 22nd in K’s with 1208. Their pen ranks 5th in ERA at 3.95.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be going with the Pirates in this one. Logan Webb pitched well in his lone home start, but he has terrible numbers overall and he will be facing a Pittsburgh offense that has scored five or more runs in 11 of their last 13 road games. The Giants have been a mess of late as they have gone just 5-10 in their last 15 games overall and 2-7 in their last nine home games. The offense has struggled all year, but even more so of late as they have averaged just 3.14 rpg over their last 15 games and in six of their last 11 games, they have put up one run or less. Yikes. Neither team will be going to the postseason, but the Pirates are playing a bit better than the Giants of late and they will walk out with a win in this one, even though Dario Agrazal has struggled this year.

Prediction: Pittsburgh -107

Full-Game Total Pick

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I fully expect the Pirates to win the game and I also expect the game to go Over. The Giants do not have a good offense and it has struggled even more of late, but Dario Agrazal has a 7.53 ERA in his last three starts. Those three starts have averaged 15.67 rpg. Logan Webb Pitched well in his lone home games, but the Pirates have averaged 5.73 rpg over their last 11 games and they have scored five runs or more in 11 of their last 14 road games. Oracle Park is not a hitters park, but we will see some hitting in this one. The Over is 35-16-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 54 vs. a team with a losing record and 17-7-4 in San Francisco’s last 28 vs. the National League Central.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.