Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#957 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals -160 vs.
#958 Colorado Rockies 13.5
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#957 St. Louis Cardinals
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The St. Louis Cardinals will head on the road to Coors Field on Wednesday night for the second game of their National League showdown versus the Colorado Rockies.

St. Louis has seized control of the National League Central race as of late, building a healthy four-game advantage over the division-rival Chicago Cubs with just under three weeks left in the regular-season schedule. However, they still have their hands full down the stretch of the season. After their three-game series versus Colorado, St. Louis will face the Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals, Chicago Cubs, Arizona Diamondbacks and the Cubs again to close out the season. That will mark a brutal stretch of five straight series versus teams contending for a postseason spot, including two against the second-place Cubs. Can the Cardinals stay on the winning track at Coors Field or will they get caught looking ahead on Wednesday night?

Rockies trying to play spoiler down the stretch

There are under 20 games left in the regular season and the Rockies are sitting at 60-84, trying to avoid a 100-loss campaign. Colorado will have the opportunity to play the role of spoiler down the stretch, as only six of their remaining games come against teams not vying for a playoff spot. The Rockies will also continue to get an early look at their potential pitching rotation for 2020, as Jeff Hoffman, Peter Lambert and Tim Melville continue their bids for a future roster spot.

Right-hander Antonio Senzatela is scheduled to toe the rubber for the Rockies in Game 2 on Wednesday evening. The 24-year-old is 8-10 with a 7.19 ERA in 21 starts this season, but he’s struggled mightily since the All-Star Break, posting an ugly 17.08 ERA to go along with a 1-4 record in five starts. Senzatela is fresh off allowing five earned runs in three innings of work on the road versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies’ right-hander has lost each of his last four outings and he’s allowed at least five earned runs in six consecutive starts.

Senzatela has yet to face the Cardinals in 2019, but he’s had trouble against them in the past, going 1-2 with a 4.84 ERA in four career outings versus the Red Birds. According to Baseball Savant, current Cardinals are batting .333 in 95 plate appearances off the Rockies’ right-hander heading into this game.

Ozuna wants to resign with Cardinals

The Cardinals have plenty of young, talented outfielders waiting in the wings, but veteran slugger Marcell Ozuna plans to have a spot on the roster next season. Ozuna, who turns 29 in November, will be entering free agency for the first time and should have plenty of suitors, including the Cardinals. When questioned about a possible return to St. Louis next season, Ozuna told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, “That’s my priority. My agents just have to do their job.” The Cardinals’ slugger is batting .255 with 26 home runs and 81 RBIs in 112 games so far this year. 

St. Louis is scheduled to send right-hander Dakota Hudson to the hill at Coors Field on Wednesday night. Hudson’s arsenal should play well at the high altitude in Colorado, as he’s one of the best ground ball artists in the big leagues. Hudson’s 57.1 percent ground ball rate leads the major leagues and he enters the week having tossed scoreless outings of six innings or more in four of his last five outings. The 25-year-old is 5-0 with a 1.11 ERA during that span and he’s 8-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star Break. Last time out, the Red Birds’ right-hander blanked the San Francisco Giants, allowing just one hit in six innings of work. 

Hudson is just three starts removed from a two-hit shutout in his only start of the year against the Rockies. According to Baseball Savant, current Rockies are batting just .192 in 30 plate appearances off Hudson heading into Wednesday’s matchup. 

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The Cardinals have dominated this series, winning 43 of the last 60 meetings and they have a good chance of extending that streak on Wednesday. Hudson’s arsenal will play well at Coors Field and he shut them out over six innings of work three starts ago. Senzatela has had a tough time getting back on track since the All-Star Break, allowing 31 runs over his previous five starts, spanning just 16 ⅓ frames. With St. Louis still fighting for the NL Central crown, every game from here on own bears plenty of significance, so expect the Cards to be locked in for this game. Take St. Louis to come out on top at Coors Field on Wednesday.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals

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These two teams have gone over the projected total in four of their last five matchups. The Cardinals have been averaging nearly six runs per game over their last six contests, while slashing .266/.343/.454 as a team during that span. Meanwhile, the Rockies are due for some positive regression after mustering just 10 combined runs over their last five contests. Senzatela has been playing with fire since the All-Star Break, allowing nearly two runs per inning over his last five starts. Take this game to go over the projected total in Coors Field on Wednesday night. 

Prediction: Over
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.