Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4973 Detroit Tigers vs.
#4974 Kansas City Royals
Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

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This Sunday, the Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals will play the final game of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 2:10 PM EST inside Kauffman Stadium. The last time these two matched up, the Royals ended up stealing two of three games from the Tigers.

The Detroit Tigers are coming into this one after losing their previous series to the Los Angeles Angels. The Tigers finished that series strong, but they were shut out in the first game. They will have to stay solid at the plate if they want to challenge the Royals on the road.

The Kansas City Royals are entering this one after losing their previous series to the Cleveland Guardians. They looked great on the mound in the final game of that series, though. They only allowed one earned run, as their pitching rotation was on fire.

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Can the Tigers Hit?

The Detroit Tigers are currently in dead last place in the AL Central, as their poor play has put them 19.0 games back from the first-place Cleveland Guardians. The Tigers are also 24.0 games back from the Seattle Mariners for the third and final AL Wild Card spot. In the last 10, the Tigers are 4-6.

At the plate, the Tigers are scoring 3.43 runs per game and they are hitting .230 as a team. This is the least amount of runs scored per game and the 25th lowest overall team batting average. They have struggled to consistently make contact with the ball, as this has made it much more difficult to score. The Tigers are being forced to string together base hits to score, as they also have very little power inside of their lineup. They are only hitting .65 home runs per game, which is the lowest average in the MLB. I also expect the Detroit Tigers to stay conservative once they have reached base safely. They have only stolen 38 bases this season, which is the second least in the league. They can't risk losing these base runners, as they have been rare for the Tigers this season.

According to MLB.com, the Tigers will be starting Tyler Alexander on the mound. He is 3-9 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 4.1 innings, but he gave up 10 hits and six earned runs. The Angels lit him up, as he has also struggled on the road this season. He is 1-6 with a 7.31 ERA outside of his home ballpark, as he has struggled inside his opponent's stadiums. The Tigers bullpen has been solid, though. They currently have the ninth lowest bullpen ERA in the MLB. As a team, they are allowing 4.59 runs per game, which is the 20th most.

Can the Royals Fight Back?

The Kansas City Royals are currently 3-7 in their last 10, as their poor play has almost taken them completely out of the AL Wild Card race. They are 22.5 games back from the Seattle Mariners for the third and final AL Wild Card spot. Kansas City is also stuck in fourth place in the AL Central, as they are still 17.5 games back from the first-place Cleveland Guardians.

At the plate, the Royals are scoring 4.02 runs per game and they are hitting .244 as a team. This is the 24th least amount of runs scored per game and the 14th highest overall team batting average. Kansas City can successfully reach base safely, but they have continued to strand base runners in scoring position. The Royals have realized that they don't have very much home run power littered throughout their lineup. They are only averaging .89 bombs per game, which is the 26th least amount of home runs hit per game. I also expect the Royals to stay aggressive once they have successfully reached base safely. They have already stolen 92 bases this season, which is the fourth most in the league. They will do whatever it takes to push their base runners closer to home plate.

According to MLB.com, the Royals will be starting Brady Singer on the mound. He has been solid this season, as he is 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings, but he gave up nine hits and three earned runs. Luckily, Singer has been a man on a mission at home this season. He is 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA inside Kauffman Stadium. The Kansas City bullpen is also allowing the most runs per game, as they have the highest bullpen ERA in the league. As a team, the Royals are allowing 5.18 runs per game, which is the 26th most in the MLB.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be hammering the Kansas City Royals money line against the Tigers in this one. They're at home and they have one of their best pitchers on the mound, as I don't see the Tigers scoring enough runs to keep this game close. The Royals are starting Brady Singer on the mound, as he will be looking to bounce back from his last start. Luckily, he has been a completely different pitcher at home this season. Inside Kauffman Stadium he is 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA. The Tigers have also struggled at the plate all season, and that trend will continue in this one. They are scoring the least amount of runs per game and they have the 25th lowest overall team batting average. They will struggle to consistently reach base safely, which will make it much more difficult to score. I also see the Royals having success at the plate, as the Tigers will be starting Tyler Alexander on the mound. He has been horrible on the road this season and he has a 5.23 ERA. The Royals will string together a few hits against him and they will slowly pull away.

The Royals have the advantage on the mound and they will hit well in this game. Take Kansas City money line.

Prediction: Kansas City Royals -145

Full-Game Total Pick

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This total just feels too low to me. I will be hammering the over 7 runs, as I see both of these teams eventually cashing in at the plate. The Tigers will be starting Tyler Alexander on the mound and he has continued to struggle all season. He also struggled in his last start, as the Angels lit him up. He only pitched for 4.1 innings and he gave up six earned runs. The Royals will now hit him early and often, as they will do their part in pushing this total over 7. The Tigers are also allowing the 26th most runs per game as a team, as they have continued to struggle on the mound all season. The Royals also have the 14th highest overall team batting average, as I see them consistently making contact with the ball. Now, I also see the Tigers providing us with some insurance runs, as the Kansas City bullpen has been horrible this season. Brady Singer might look great in this game, but once he exits, the Royals' bullpen will give up some runs.

Take the over 7 runs and trust both of these teams at the plate.

Prediction: Over 7
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!