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Marlins vs. Phillies,
9-12-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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#953 Miami
Marlins
#954 Philadelphia
Phillies

Tuesday, September 12, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Miami Marlins (68-75 SU, 74-69 RL, 72-62-9 O/U) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (54-89 SU, 77-66 RL, 65-67-11 O/U)

MLB: Tuesday, September 12, 2017 at 7:05 p.m. EST

The Line: Miami Marlins -120/Philadelphia Phillies +110. Total: 9.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will get a three-game series started when they meet at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Tuesday night. Miami is 1-7 in its last eight contests after dropping three of four at Atlanta over the weekend. The Phillies have lost four of their last five.

Stanton setting HR pace

Marlins’ slugger Giancarlo Stanton has 12 home runs in 50 career games at Citizens Bank Park, including two this season. He will try to add to that total when his team visits Philadelphia the opener of this three-game set on Tuesday. Stanton’s 54 home runs lead the majors and are the most since Jose Bautista hit 54 for the Blue Jays in 2010. The four-time all-star and the rest of the Marlins have their thoughts back in Florida as the whole state deals with the destruction from Hurricane Irma, while on the field the team is trying to pull out of a rut. Stanton’s quest for 60 homers or more isn’t leading to a lot of wins of late, as the Marlins are losers of 12 of their last 14 games. Center fielder Christian Yelich is 7-for-14 with four doubles in his last three contests.

Left-hander Dillon Peters (0-1, 2.25 ERA) is taking the mound for Miami on Tuesday. Peters is making his third major-league start and searching for his first win after struggling to get run support in his first two outings. In an impressive MLB debut on Sept. 1, the 25-year-old limited the Phillies to three hits and no runs over seven innings and struck out eight. Peters followed that up by allowing three runs and striking out six in five innings against Washington last Wednesday.

Success against the Marlins

Three of the Marlins’ 12 losses in this stretch of 14 games came at home against the Phillies from Aug. 31 to Sept. 3. Philadelphia, however, did not have any luck maintaining that momentum and limps back home having dropped four of the last five games on its road trip–with three of those losses coming by just one run. Third baseman Maikel Franco is 6-for-12 with two homers and four RBIs in the last three games. Franco went 2-for-3 during Sunday’s 3-2 loss at Washington.

Nick Pivetta (5-10, 6.49 ERA) will oppose Peters on Tuesday. The right-hander is trying to bounce back after getting roughed up by the Mets last Wednesday, when he gave up six runs on 10 hits in five innings. The 24-year-old was nearly as sharp as Peters when the two squared off on Sept. 1, but he was also left out of the decision after allowing one run in six innings of work. Pivetta is 1-1 with a 7.11 ERA in three starts against Miami this season and surrendered the only homer he has allowed to the Marlins against–you guessed it–Stanton.

MLB Trends:

The Miami Marlins are:

  • 2-12 in their last 14 overall
  • 1-6 in their last seven road games
  • 2-9 in their last 11 games against right-handed starters

The Philadelphia Phillies are:

  • 5-0 in their last five games against left-handed starters
  • 4-0 in their last four home games against left-handed starters
  • 5-2-1 Over in Pivetta’s last eight starts

Philadelphia has not been beating many teams of late, but it has done just fine against Miami. Not that they were any kind of contenders in the first place, but the Marlins were officially eliminated from NL East contention when they lost to Atlanta in 11 innings on Sunday. The Marlins are 2-12 in their last 14 overall, 1-6 in their last seven on the road, 2-9 in their last 11 against right-handed starters, 3-13 in their last 16 against the National League East, 1-5 in their last six following a loss, and 1-7 in their last eight against starters with WHIPs over 1.30. Philadelphia is 5-0 in its last five against left-handed starters and 4-0 in its last four at home against left-handed starters. Expect those trends to continue.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +110

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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