Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#909 Los Angeles Angels vs.
#910 Cleveland Guardians
Monday, September 12, 2022 at 6:10pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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A pair of American League teams on opposite sides of the playoff cut line open up an early week series on the diamond on the shores of Lake Erie. The Los Angeles Angels are on the road as they travel to face the Cleveland Guardians in the first game of a three-game series Monday evening. Los Angeles played the rubber game of a three-game road series against Houston Sunday afternoon. The Angels picked up a 6-1 victory in the middle game of the set Saturday afternoon. Cleveland finished up a three-game series with Minnesota on the road Sunday afternoon looking for a sweep. The Guardians knocked off the Twins 6-4 in the middle game of the series Saturday night. In the first series between the teams this season, the Angels swept a four-game set at home April 25-28.

Angels Try to Maintain Success vs. Guardians

Los Angeles evened their series with the Astros and snapped a two-game skid as they earned the win behind their ace Saturday night. The Angels entered Sunday third in the AL West, 28 games behind the Astros for the division lead. They were 17 games behind the Mariners for the final wild-card spot in the AL playoff picture. On Saturday, Los Angeles got three hits from Taylor Ward (run, RBI) while Mike Trout (two runs, three RBI) and Mike Ford (run, RBI) each added two. Trout homered for the sixth straight game as he hammered his 34th long ball of the season. The offensive support was enough for Shohei Ohtani (12-8) to earn the win as he threw five innings, allowing one run on six hits with two walks and seven strikeouts.

Reid Detmers is slated to be on the mound for the Angels to make his 22nd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 5-5 with a 3.67 ERA, a 1.194 WHIP, 41 walks and 105 strikeouts over 108 innings of work this season. Detmers took the loss in his last start, which came September 2 at home against the Astros. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing four runs on seven hits with two walks and six strikeouts in a 4-2 Angels defeat. In his last three starts, Detmers is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA, a 2.00 WHIP, seven walks and 14 strikeouts over 14 innings of work. Detmers makes his third career start against the Guardians in this contest. He comes in 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, four walks and eight strikeouts over 8.1 innings against them. Detmers lost his lone career start at Progressive Field, which came on August 21, 2021. He threw 3.2 innings, allowing three runs on seven hits with three walks and four strikeouts in a 5-1 Angels defeat.

Cleveland Guardians Trying to Build on AL Central Edge

Cleveland won their second straight and fourth in the last five games as they took care of business in the middle game of their road set with the Twins Saturday night. The Guardians entered Sunday holding a 1.5-game lead on the White Sox for the division lead so they look to build on that here. On Saturday, Cleveland got three of their seven hits from Jose Ramirez (two runs, RBI) while Eddie Rosario hit his ninth homer of the season. Triston McKenzie (10-11) was stellar in picking up the win as he threw seven scoreless innings, allowing six hits with two walks and five strikeouts. After Bryan Shaw was roughed up in the ninth, Emmanuel Clase retired Max Kepler with runners on first and third to record his 33rd save of the year.

Konnor Pilkington is on the bump as he makes his 14th appearance and 10th start of the season for the Guardians in this contest. He comes in 1-2 with a 3.99 ERA, a 1.606 WHIP, 27 walks and 41 strikeouts over 47.1 innings of work this season. Pilkington didn’t factor in the decision in his last outing, which came in relief at home against the Mariners on September 4. He threw two innings, allowing no runs on no hits with three walks and one strikeout in a game the Guardians eventually dropped 6-3 in 11 innings. In his last three outings, Pilkington is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, seven walks and seven strikeouts over 12 innings of action. This marks his first career start against the Angels in this, his 14th career major league appearance and 10th start. Pilkington is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, 17 walks and 28 strikeouts over 28.2 innings in eight career appearances, five starts, at Progressive Field. In the minors this season, Pilkington is 2-4 with a 5.66 ERA, 1.552 WHIP, 21 walks and 49 strikeouts over 47.2 innings in 11 appearances, 10 starts, at Triple-A Columbus of the International League.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


This one features a pair of guys that haven’t thrown a whole lot at the major league level of late. Detmers hasn’t pitched in 10 days while Pilkington has thrown just two innings since late July in the majors. The difference between these teams is simply motivation: the Angels are going nowhere again this season while the Guardians are still trying to hold off the White Sox and Twins for the AL Central crown. Cleveland has 17 of their final 24 games at home this season and that’s something they have to take advantage of down the stretch. The Angels have Trout and Ohtani though there isn’t much else going for them. Throw that in with the fact that Cleveland knows they need wins to stay in front in the AL Central race and you have to back the Guardians here.

Prediction: Cleveland Guardians -118

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Los Angeles entered Sunday with the under having posted a 68-57-14 mark in their games this season. The Angels are 26th in runs per game with 3.83 per contest, a number that slips slightly to 3.62 runs a night on the road. Los Angeles has an average total of 7.97 runs per game, a number that slips down to 7.55 runs a contest on the road. Cleveland has seen the over post a 62-69-6 mark going into Sunday’s contest. The Guardians are 22nd in runs per game with 4.17 per contest, though that number slips slightly to 3.87 runs per game at home this season. Cleveland has an average total of 8.16 runs per contest, a number that drops down to 7.93 runs per game at Progressive Field. You can’t have faith in either starting pitcher in this one so look for this game to go over the mark.

Prediction: Over

Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.