Tigers vs. Indians, 9-13-2017 - Pick and Prediction

Game Snapshot

#915 Detroit Tigers
vs.
#916 Cleveland Indians

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Tigers (60-83; 77-60-6 O/U)  vs. Cleveland Indians (88-56; 55-78-10 O/U)

MLB: Wednesday, September 13, 2017 at 12:10pm EST

Line: Cleveland -285/Detroit +255

Total: 9.5

The Cleveland Indians and the Detroit Tigers will conclude a three game divisional series Wednesday night from Progressive Field. The Tigers will give the nod to 26-year old right-hander Buck Farmer, and the Indians will send 26-year old right-hander Mike Clevinger to the hill. The Indians own an 11-6 lead in the season series.

Farmer Eyes Third Win in Last Four Starts

Buck Farmer will make his eighth start of the season, aiming for win number five. Farmer was solid in his latest effort, holding the Blue Jays to only two runs (one earned) in five innings and came away with the victory. The young right-hander has been very shaky this season, posting a 6.32 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP accompanied with a 4-2 record in 31.1 innings pitched. He faced Cleveland earlier this month and was bounced around, conceding five runs in three innings, and has now served up 17 runs with an 0-3 record in 18 career innings against the Indians. Miguel Cabrera has not been able to get in a groove at the plate all season, posting very low numbers for his standards. The career .317 hitter owns a weak .248 average with 15 home runs and 59 RBI’s on the season. Cabrera has collected a hit in 9 of 50 at bats with nine RBI’s against the Indians this season.

The Tigers are currently averaging 4.65 runs per game, ranking them 15th overall, and are hitting .260 as a team. The Detroit pitching continues to struggle, posting a Major League worst 5.27 team ERA.

Clevinger Looks to Keep Shutout Streak Alive

Mike Clevinger will get the nod for the 23rd time of the season, looking to continue his recent dominance. Clevinger kept his shutout strike alive in his previous start, hurling six scoreless innings to the Orioles and recorded the win to improve his record to 9-5. The young right-hander has not allowed a single run in three consecutive starts, and now features a 3.30 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 106.1 innings of work. He has completely silenced the Tigers this season, holding them to one run in 18 innings spread across three starts to go with a 3-0 record, and has conceded a total of six runs in 22 career innings against Detroit. Miguel Cabrera is 2 for 10 with five RBI’s against Clevinger, while Nick Castellanos is 0 for 7, and Ian Kinsler is 1 for 6. Edwin Encarnacion is swinging a red hot bat, smashing three homers along with 10 RBI’s this month. The 34-year old DH is having a solid season, currently hitting .254 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s. Encarnacion is 17 for 59 with nine RBI’s against the Tigers this season. The Indians are riding an incredible 19 game winning streak heading into Tuesday’s action.

The Indians deep lineup is averaging 5.09 runs per game, good for sixth in the Majors, and feature a .263 team batting average. The Cleveland pitching is carrying a 3.41 team ERA, ranking them second in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Detroit Tigers are:

  • 0-5 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
  • 6-19 in their last 24 games against a right-handed starter.
  • 9-26 in their last 34 games overall.

The Cleveland Indians are:

  • 28-11 in their last 39 games against the Tigers.
  • 19-0 in their last 19 games overall heading into Tuesday’s action.
  • 22-6 in their last 28 home games.

I am taking the Indians on the run  line in this one. Clevinger is on an incredible stretch on the mound, going three connective starts (18 innings) without allowing a single run, and he has limited the Tigers to one run in 18 innings this season. Furthermore, the Indians just scored five runs against Farmer earlier this month, and the Indians bats are red hot. Also, 17 of the Indians’ wins during their long winning streak have come by at least two runs, so I am confident they can take this one by two runs as well.

Pick: Cleveland Indians -1.5

Clevinger has been flawless as he has not allowed a run in three straight starts and Farmer looked much better in his previous start. I can’t see the Tigers thin lineup doing much against Clevinger who is shutting down all his opponents, and the under is 13-5-1 in his last 19 starts. Farmer will give up runs, but I expect Clevinger to shut down the Tigers which will allow the under to hit, plus the under is 16-7-1 in the Indians last 24 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Pick: Under 9.5

5

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.