Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#961 Los Angeles Dodgers vs.
#962 Arizona Diamondbacks
Tuesday, September 13, 2022 at 9:40pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

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This Tuesday the (96-43) Los Angeles Dodgers and the (66-73) Arizona Diamondbacks will play game two of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 9:40 PM EST inside Chase Field. The last time that these two teams matched up, the Dodgers ended up taking all four games on the road.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are entering this one after winning their previous series the against the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers looked great in the final two games of that series, as they scored 19 combined runs. They will be looking to stay hot in this one.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming into this one after losing their previous series to the Colorado Rockies. The did close that series out strong, though. The Diamondbacks scored 12 runs in game three to avoid the sweep.

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Can the Dodgers Keep Winning?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are now 6-4 in their last 10 games played and they have now won two in a row. They still sit upon the top of the NL standings, as the Dodgers have a firm grasp on the number one seed. They are currently in first place in the NL West, as well. They have a 20.0 game lead over the San Diego Padres, as they been solid against their division opponents this season.

At the plate, the Dodgers are scoring 5.48 runs per game and they are hitting .261 as a team. This is the third highest overall team batting average and the most runs scored per game, as they have been consistently making contact with the ball all season. They continue to consistently reach base safely and they have also been very clutch when they have men in scoring position. The Dodgers have shown that they have a ton of home run power hidden inside of their lineup, as well. They are hitting 1.38 bombs per game, which is the fourth most in the MLB. They can score multiple different ways and they have multiple guys that can change this game with one swing of the bat. Watch for Mookie Betts, as he leads the team with 33 home runs. I also expect the Dodgers to stay aggressive once they have reached base safely. They have already taken 88 bases this season, which is the sixth most.

According to MLB.com, the Dodgers will be starting Clayton Kershaw on the mound. The left-hander is currently 7-3 with a2.62 ERA and a .97 WHIP. In his last start, Kershaw pitched for 6.0 innings and only gave ip five hits and two earned runs. Unfortunately, he has had some issues on the road, though. Outside of Dodgers stadium he is 5-3 with a 2.44 ERA. The Dodgers bullpen has has the third lowest bullpen ERA in the MLB, as they are only allowing 3.03 runs per game. As a team, Los Angeles is allowing 3.23 runs per game, which is also the lowest average in the league.

Can the Diamondbacks Bounce Back?

Arizona struggled against the Rockies in their last series, as they are now 5-5 in their last 10. They are also still in the Wild Card hunt, as they are only 10.0 games back from the Padres for that third and final NL Wild card spot. The Diamondbacks are also stuck in fourth place in the NL West, as they are still 30 games back from there first place Los Angeles Dodgers.

At the plate, the Diamondbacks are scoring 4.59 runs per game and they are hitting .233 as a team. This is the 10th most runs scored per game, but only the 23rd highest overall team batting average. They have struggled to consistently reach base this season, which has made it much more difficult to score. Luckily, Arizona realized that they have a ton of power inside of their batting lineup. They are averaging 1.12 home runs per game, which is the 14th most in the MLB. They can score multiple different ways and they will continue to attack. The Diamondbacks will also stay aggressive once they have reached base safely, as they have already stolen 81 bases this season. This is the 11th most, as they will continue to risk their base runners once they have reached base safely.

According to MLB.com, Merrill Kelly will be getting the start on the mound in this one. He is currently 12-5 with with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings, but he gave up three hits and four earned runs. He also gave up three home runs in that one, as he continued to leave the ball over the middle of the plate. He has also had issues at home, as he is 4-4 with a 2.92 ERA inside Chase Field. The Diamondback's bullpen has also struggled this season, as they currently have the 26th highest bullpen ERA. As a team, the Diamondbacks are allowing 4.68 runs per game, which is the 22nd most.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be hammering the Dodgers run line (-1.5) in this matchup with the Diamondbacks, as I just don't see Kelly pitching deep into this game. The Dodgers are one of the most well rounded teams in baseball this season and I don't see them cooling off at the plate now. Los Angeles also looked incredible at the plate to finish their last series against the Padres. They were lighting up the scoreboard, as I see that trend continuing in this one. The Dodgers are scoring the most runs per game and they have the third highest overall team batting average. They will consistently reach base throughout this game and give themselves multiple chances to score. The Diamondbacks will also be starting Merrill Kelly in this one, as he is only 4-4 at home this season. He has continued to struggle inside Chase Field and the Dodgers are going to take advantage. I also see Arizona's bullpen struggling in this one once Kelly leaves the game. They are allowing the 26th most runs in the league and this Dodgers lineup is one of the deepest that I have ever seen. The Dodgers will consistently score throughout this game and the Diamondbacks won't be able to keep up. Kershaw looked great in his last start and he will be able to dominate the D-backs in this one.

Hammer the Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) and trust their hitting.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be taking the under 8 runs in this matchup between the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks. I like both of the starting pitchers on the mound, as I see this game staying very low-scoring. The Dodgers have been extremely tough to score on this season and they will be starting Clayton Kershaw in this one. Kershaw has been solid this season, as he is 7-3 with a 2.62 ERA this season. He has had a few issues on the road this season, but I still don't see him giving up many runs in this one. The Dodgers are allowing the least amount of runs per game as a team and they have the third lowest overall bullpen ERA. They will be able to keep the Diamondbacks off the scoreboard for the majority of this game. They struggled against the Rockies in their last series and they have the 23rd lowest overall team batting average. They won't consistently reach base, as they won't score enough runs to push this total over 8. Now, the Dodgers will have success at the plate, but Kelly should still limit them for multiple innings to start this game. Kelly has a 2.94 ERA this season, as he has been solid against winning teams this season. He will stay solid in this one and the total will remain under 8 runs.

Hammer the Under 8 and trust both starting pitchers in this one.

Prediction: Under 8
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!