Upcoming Free Picks

Mets vs. Cubs,
9-14-2017 - Prediction & Preview

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#959 New York
Mets
#960 Chicago
Cubs

Thursday, September 14, 2017 at 8:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Chicago Cubs

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

New York Mets (63-81 SU, 63-81 RL, 81-51-12 O/U) vs Chicago Cubs (78-66 SU, 60-84 RL, 68-69-7 O/U)

When: 8:05 PM EDT, Thursday, September 14, 2017

Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois

Lines: Chicago -210/ New York +195

Total: 9.5

Thursday evening bases and the National League East will square off with the  National League Central as the New York Mets rumble with the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois in game three of their three game series. The Mets are 11-4 the last 15 in this series overall, but just 3-10 in their last 13 games here in Chicago. Pitching Probables: Seth Lugo (6-4, 4.64 ERA) gets the nod for the Mets and he will be opposed by Mike Montgomery (5-8, 3.64 ERA).  

Gsellman Struggles in Game On Loss

The Mets just want this season to end, so they can get back their pitchers that have helped them over the last few years. The pitching is the real reason why this team will not be heading to the postseason this year. Robert Gsellman has struggled for the team this year and had another bad outing in the Mets’ 8-3 loss to the Cubs in game one of this series. He allowed four ERs on five hits and five walks in just 4.0 innings of to drop to 6-7 with a 5.58 ERA on the year. Just another youngster that was called up a bit earlier than expected due to all the injuries the Mets have suffered this year to their pitching staff. The Mets really have to hope for better health next year. New York has now allowed 18 runs in their last two games after allowed just seven total runs in their previous four games and prior to that, they had allowed 20 runs in their previous three games. Inconsistent. The Mets have gone 30-40 on the road and have averaged 5.00 rpg and have allowed 5.47 rpg in those games. Taking the mound for the Mets in this one will be Seth Lugo and he has gone 6-4 with a 4.64 ERA in 15 games (14 starts) on the year, including 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA in his last three starts and 4-3 with a 5.75 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) on the road. Lugo has gone 11-5 with a 3.96 ERA in 22 career starts overall. He has not started against the Cubs in his career, but he has made two appearances out of the pen against them. He allowed no ERs and just two hits in four innings of work in those appearances.

The Mets have been a bit below average on offense this year as they come in ranked 18th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.62 rpg, while also ranking 21st in hitting at .250 and 6th in homers with 207. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 28th in the league in ERA at 4.89 while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.48.

Cubs Are Not A Lock For The Postseason

Last year, it was all about the Cubs as they ran away with the National League Central title on their way to winning it all and breaking the 108-year-old curse. This year it was expected to be more of the same, but that just hasn’t been the case as they have been very inconsistent at the plate and on the mound and it has been reflected in the fact that they are just 12 games over .500 so far, after finishing 45 games over .500 last year. The Cubs won the Central by 17.5 games a year ago, but as of this writing, they have just a 2.0 game lead over the Cardinals and a 2.5 game lead over the Brewers in the division. The Cubs could very well go from on top of the baseball world to missing the playoffs altogether. The final weeks of the season will be very interesting as they have a three-game set at home against the Cardinals after this series. They then have two in Tampa, before four in both St Louis and Milwaukee, followed three at home against the Reds to close out the year. The Cubs do not have a favorable schedule for winning the division and it will be fun to see how this plays out the rest of the way. The Cubs have gone 41-32 here at home for the year and have averaged 5.12 rpg and have allowed 4.73 rpg in those games. Getting the nod for the Cubs in this one will be Mike Montgomery and he has gone 5-8 with a 3.64 ERA in 39 games overall, including 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA in 12 games as a starter and 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA in his last three starts. Montgomery has gone 9-12 with a 4.35 ERA in 35 career starts overall, while against the Mets in his career he has gone 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA in one start.  

The Cubs have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.97 rpg, while also ranking 18th in hitting at .253 and 9th in homers with 202. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 10th in the league in ERA at 4.08, while also ranking 8th in WHIP at 1.29.

Trends

New York is:

  • 12-41 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record
  • 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

Chicago is:

  • 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a losing record
  • 25-12 in their last 37 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Mets are just playing out the string and would love to play spoiler in this game against the Cubs, who are trying to fend off both the Cardinals and Brewers in their division. The Cubs really need this game as they have a very tough slate of games coming up, with 11 of their next 13 games coming against the Brewers and Cards. This is not a game they can afford to lose. Mike Montgomery has struggled this year, but the Mets have gone just 1-11 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. Seth Lugo has a 5.75 ERA on the road and the Cubs’ offense should have a field day against him here. Too much at stake here for the Cubs to come out flat in this game. They must win it and will win it rather easily.

Pick: Chicago

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Feb 15
NCAAB
#863 Troy 161
#864 Georgia Southern -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#865 Northern Kentucky 141.5
#866 Wright State -1.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#75 Edmonton 6
#76 Carolina -180
7:35pm
View Pick
#77 New Jersey 6
#78 Minnesota -265
8:35pm
View Pick
#79 Boston -200
#80 Anaheim 5.5
10:05pm
View Pick
Saturday, Feb 16
NCAAB
#601 Oklahoma
#602 TCU
12:00pm
View Pick
#613 Southern Illinois
#614 Indiana State
12:00pm
View Pick
#617 Auburn
#618 Vanderbilt
12:00pm
View Pick
#603 Maryland
#604 Michigan
12:00pm
View Pick
#609 Clemson
#610 Louisville
12:00pm
View Pick
#607 George Washington
#608 Duquesne
12:00pm
View Pick
#605 North Carolina
#606 Wake Forest
12:00pm
View Pick
#641 Fordham
#642 Rhode Island
2:00pm
View Pick
#645 Miami - OH
#646 Western Michigan
2:00pm
View Pick
#649 Rice
#650 FAU
2:00pm
View Pick
#651 Florida
#652 Alabama
2:00pm
View Pick
#647 Middle Tennessee State
#648 Marshall
2:00pm
View Pick
#655 UAB
#656 Western Kentucky
3:00pm
View Pick
#659 Valaparaiso
#660 Drake
3:00pm
View Pick
#663 Missouri
#664 Ole Miss
3:30pm
View Pick
#673 Penn State
#674 Purdue
4:00pm
View Pick
#679 West Virginia
#680 Kansas
4:00pm
View Pick
#677 BYU
#678 Loyola Marymount
4:00pm
View Pick
#675 Texas State
#676 Arkansas - Little Rock
4:00pm
View Pick
#671 Utah State
#672 Air Force
4:00pm
View Pick
#669 VCU
#670 Dayton
4:00pm
View Pick
#667 Iowa State
#668 Kansas State
4:00pm
View Pick
#665 Northeastern
#666 Charleston
4:00pm
View Pick
#611 NC State
#612 Duke
6:00pm
View Pick
#695 Memphis
#696 UCF
6:00pm
View Pick
#697 Temple
#698 USF
6:00pm
View Pick
#699 Illinois - Chicago
#700 Youngstown State
6:00pm
View Pick
#723 Oakland University
#724 Wisconsin-Milwaukee
7:00pm
View Pick
#721 Boise State
#722 San Diego State
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Fresno State
#720 New Mexico
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 IUPUI
#718 Cleveland State
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 William & Mary
#708 Elon
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 Hofstra
#706 UNCW
7:00pm
View Pick
#727 Washington
#728 Washington State
8:00pm
View Pick
#729 USC
#730 California
8:00pm
View Pick
#731 Tennessee
#732 Kentucky
8:00pm
View Pick
#733 Bradley
#734 Illinois State
8:00pm
View Pick
#735 DePaul
#736 Butler
8:00pm
View Pick
#737 Delaware
#738 James Madison
8:00pm
View Pick
#751 UCLA
#752 Stanford
10:00pm
View Pick
#759 Nevada
#760 Wyoming
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Montreal 6
#14 Tampa Bay -210
7:05pm
View Pick
#17 Columbus -120
#18 Chicago 6.5
8:35pm
View Pick