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Orioles vs. Yankees,
9-14-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Baltimore
Orioles
#966 New York
Yankees

Thursday, September 14, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Baltimore Orioles

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Yankees

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Baltimore Orioles (71-74 SU, 68-77 RL, 70-71-4 O/U) vs. New York Yankees (79-66 SU, 78-67 RL, 74-68-3 O/U)

MLB: Thursday, September 14, 2017, Yankee Stadium, New York, New York, 7:05 pm ET

Lines: New York -190, Baltimore +178; Over/Under: 9

It’s the opening of a weekend set between AL East rivals that may help clear up the wild card picture in the Bronx. The Baltimore Orioles play the first game of their four game set against the New York Yankees Thursday night. Baltimore closed a three game series in Toronto Wednesday night looking to avoid a sweep. New York played the rubber game of their three game series with the Rays across town at Citi Field Wednesday afternoon, holding on for a 3-2 win. The Yankees took two of three in a rain-shortened four game set in Baltimore September 4-7 in the last series between the teams.

Baltimore Orioles Running Out of Time to Right the Ship

Baltimore had their chances but couldn’t close things out as they lost their sixth straight game. The Orioles dropped 4.5 games behind the Twins for the second wild card spot with the defeat. To make matters worse, there are five teams between them and Minnesota. Tim Beckham (run, RBI) had two hits for Baltimore, including his 21st homer of the year, in the loss. Mark Trumbo drove in the other run for the Orioles. Dylan Bundy recorded a no-decision after throwing six innings: he allowed one run on five hits with one walk and eight strikeouts. Zach Britton (2-1) took the loss after allowing two runs on three hits with a walk and a strikeout in two-thirds of an inning.

Wade Miley takes the ball for his 30th start of the year for the Orioles. He is 8-12 with a 4.96 ERA, a 1.661 WHIP plus a league high 84 walks against 132 strikeouts in 145.2 innings of work. Miley took the loss in his last start, which came Friday on the road against the Indians. He tossed 5.2 innings, allowing four runs on six hits with three walks and four strikeouts in an eventual 5-0 Orioles loss. He is 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, eight walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.2 innings in his last three starts. Miley faces the Yankees for the 10th time in his career in this contest: he is 0-3 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.589 WHIP over 50.1 innings of work. He has no record with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over five starts covering 28 innings at Yankee Stadium in his career.

New York Yankees Holding Steady

New York, as they did in winning the opening game of the series, rode one inning with a crooked number to victory. This time, it was a three run second frame that sent the Yankees to a win. New York climbed to within 3.5 games of the Red Sox in the AL East entering Wednesday night’s action. Brett Gardner (two RBI), Gary Sanchez, Starlin Castro (run) and Jacoby Ellsbury (run) each had two hits for New York. Jaime Garcia remained winless with the Yankees as he recorded a no-decision: he threw 4.2 innings, allowing one run on five hits with a walk and four strikeouts. Chad Green (5-0) got the win in relief with 1.1 scoreless frames. Aroldis Chapman got the final four outs to record his 18th save of the season.

Masahiro Tanaka makes his 28th start of the season for the Yankees in this contest. He is 11-11 with a 4.82 ERA, a 1.254 WHIP, 36 walks and 165 strikeouts over 158.2 innings this season. He missed time last month after dealing with right shoulder inflammation. Tanaka took the loss in his last start, which came on the road against the Rangers Friday night. He threw four innings, allowing seven runs on eight hits with no walks and seven strikeouts in an 11-5 Yankees loss. Tanaka is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, three walks and 20 strikeouts over 18 innings of work in his last three starts. He makes his eighth career start against the Orioles here: he is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.117 WHIP over 48.1 innings. Tanaka is 27-12 with a 3.37 ERA and a 1.022 WHIP over 57 career starts totaling 333.2 innings at Yankee Stadium

Trends:

Baltimore

  • Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 overall
  • Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass

New York

  • Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record

This could be the Orioles’ last stand as a negative outcome in this series would pretty much bury their wild card chances. Pitching has been the bane of Baltimore’s existence and they’re going to have to make some aggressive moves in the offseason to bolster their rotation if they hope to have success. New York has steadied itself after a rough stretch after the All Star break. Tanaka had won three straight before taking the loss in his last start. He gets back on track here as the Orioles continue to sink.

Pick: New York Yankees -190

Baltimore’s slump couldn’t have come at a worse time as they’ve sunk to the bottom of the seven team conglomeration chasing the second wild card spot. It was expected that they would have their issues with the Indians, especially on the road, but losing the first two games to the Blue Jays with a nearly non-existent offensive attack wasn’t in the cards. New York, instead of having to go to Tampa Bay, merely changed boroughs from the Bronx to Queens to face the Rays thanks to Hurricane Irma. That eliminated the travel that would have come from finishing that series, which can only aid the Yankees as well.

The over is 5-1 in the Orioles’ last six games on Thursday. New York has seen the over go 6-2-1 in their first home game after a road trip that covered at least seven days. The teams have combined to go over the total in each of their last six meetings in the Bronx and in 16 of their last 21 overall. That trend continues as Miley gives up too many baserunners that the Yankees eventually cash in to roll to victory.

Over 9

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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