Upcoming Free Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers,
9-14-2018 - Prediction & Preview

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#907 Pittsburgh
Pirates 8.5
#908 Milwaukee
Brewers -140

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pittsburgh Pirates
C. ARCHER

72 - 73

4
W's
7
L's
4.63
ERA
1.4
WHIP

Milwaukee Brewers
G. GONZALEZ

84 - 63

8
W's
11
L's
4.4
ERA
1.5
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will head on the road to Miller Park on Friday evening for the opening game of their National League battle against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Archer looks to finish season strong in Pirates uniform

The Pirates are scheduled to turn to newly-acquired right-hander Chris Archer, who has continued his up-and-down season on the mound since coming over to Pittsburgh. The 29-year-old right-hander is fresh off of his second straight quality start last time out against the Miami Marlins, limiting them to just three earned runs on five hits in six innings of work, but was left with a no-decision for his efforts in a 5-3 Pirates’ victory. Archer is 1-2 with a 5.24 ERA since joining the Pirates at the non-waiver trade deadline, but he’s allowed three earned runs or less in five of his seven starts with his new team. He owns a 4-7 overall record and a 4.56 ERA in 24 starts this year, but has pitched just 130 ⅓ innings this year, which would be his lowest total since his rookie season in 2013.

In his only start against the Brewers this season, Archer surrendered six earned runs on seven hits in just four innings of work. Surprisingly, Archer has only made one other start against Milwaukee over the past three seasons, tossing six innings of one-run ball against them in 2017. According to Baseball Savant, the current Brewers’ roster is batting a healthy .300 in 130 plate appearances against Archer heading into Friday’s matchup.

Gonzalez looks to build off of impressive Brewers’ debut

The Brewers are scheduled to send lefty Gio Gonzalez to the hill at Miller Park on Friday night after the former Nationals ace waited a week before his debut in Milwaukee. The freshly acquired left-hander limited the Giants to just one unearned run on three hits in 5 ⅔ innings of work in his first start with his new team. Gonzalez struggled in his last five starts with the Nats, allowing five earned runs or more on four of those occasions, while sporting a 1-4 record during that span. He comes in with an 8-11 overall record and a 4.40 ERA this season, but has posted a 2-5 record and a 5.80 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

In his only start versus the Pirates this season, the Brewers’ left-hander surrendered just two earned runs on six hits in six innings of work, but took a tough luck loss for his efforts. Gonzalez owns a 3.79 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates. According to Baseball Savant, the current Bucs roster is batting .277 in 90 plate appearances against the Brewers lefty coming into this game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Archer has showed flashes of returning to form this season, but hasn’t managed to put it all together for extended stretches. He has struck out 38 batters in 34 ⅓ innings of work since joining the Pirates, but he’s also been erratic at times. Meanwhile, Gonzalez has erased a fast start to the season that saw him post a 2.10 ERA through his first 11 starts. Take the Bucs on the road as they attempt to play spoiler in this late season NL clash.

Prediction: Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +125

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Gonzalez tossed a quality start versus the Pirates earlier this season and posted a 2-1 record and a 4.22 ERA in his previous four starts against the Pirates dating back to 2015. Archer was lit up in his previous start against the Brewers earlier this season and Gonzalez has been struggling on the mound for the better part of the last three months, so you have to like your chances with the over in this spot.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Starling Marte has been struggling during the month of September, hitting just .190 so far this month. However, he’s been hitting .256 with six home runs since the All-Star break and he has had a fair bit of success against Gonzalez coming into this game. He is batting .300 with two home runs off of the Brewers’ left heading into this matchup, so roll the dice and take him to hit the first home run of this game on the road at Miller Park on Friday night.

Prediction: Starling Marte to hit the first home run

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Neither of these starters as been very consistent as of late, but Archer gets my vote here. The Pirates’ right-hander has surrendered three earned runs or less in 13 of his last 15 starts dating back to the middle of May. Gonzalez hasn’t won back-to-back starts in over three months. Take the Pirates on the five-inning line in the opening game of this series in Milwaukee on Friday.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

These two teams have gone over the projected total in each of their past four meetings and three of their past four at Miller Park. The total is set fairly conservative at 8.5 here, but neither of these pitchers has been pitching as well as their name warrants. Archer and Gonzalez were once regarded as two of the best pitchers in baseball, but both have been very hittable this season. Take this game to go over the projected five-inning total in Milwaukee on Friday night.

Prediction: Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Gonzalez somehow sports a 0.96 ERA in the first inning this year, but a 6.33 mark in the second and a 4.33 ERA in the third frame. Meanwhile, Archer owns a 1.50 ERA in the opening frame, but a 7.88 ERA in the second and a 7.12 ERA in the third inning. Look for this game to stay under 1.5 first inning runs at Miller Park on Friday night.

Prediction: Under 1.5 First Inning Runs

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Nov 14
NCAAF
#303 Buffalo 63.5
#304 Ohio U -2.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#305 Miami - OH 47
#306 Northern Illinois -6.5
8:00pm
View Pick
NBA
#701 Philadelphia 76ers -6
#702 Orlando Magic 220
7:05pm
View Pick
#703 Cleveland Cavaliers 219.5
#704 Washington Wizards -11.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#705 Chicago Bulls 210
#706 Boston Celtics -12.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#707 Detroit Pistons 222
#708 Toronto Raptors -9.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#709 Miami Heat -1.5
#710 Brooklyn Nets 218.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#711 New York Knicks 215.5
#712 Oklahoma City Thunder -9
8:05pm
View Pick
#713 New Orleans Pelicans 231.5
#714 Minnesota Timberwolves -1
8:05pm
View Pick
#715 Memphis Grizzlies 217.5
#716 Milwaukee Bucks -10
8:05pm
View Pick
#717 Utah Jazz -4
#718 Dallas Mavericks 215.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#719 San Antonio Spurs -5
#720 Phoenix Suns 211.5
9:05pm
View Pick
#721 Portland Trailblazers 227
#722 Los Angeles Lakers -2.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#723 Michigan 139
#724 Villanova -7
6:30pm
View Pick
#725 Toledo 147.5
#726 Wright State -3.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#727 Eastern Michigan
#728 Duke
7:00pm
View Pick
#729 IUPUI
#730 Boston College
7:00pm
View Pick
#731 UL Monroe
#732 Michigan State
7:00pm
View Pick
#733 La Salle
#734 Florida
7:00pm
View Pick
#735 Seton Hall 148
#736 Nebraska -7.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#737 UTSA 150
#738 Oklahoma State -11.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#739 Rice
#740 Houston
8:00pm
View Pick
#743 UTEP
#744 Arizona
8:00pm
View Pick
#741 Marquette 149
#742 Indiana -5.5
8:30pm
View Pick
NHL
#51 St. Louis -110
#52 Chicago -110
8:05pm
View Pick
#53 Washington 6.5
#54 Winnipeg -185
8:05pm
View Pick
#55 Boston -105
#56 Colorado -115
10:05pm
View Pick
#57 Anaheim 5.5
#58 Vegas -175
10:35pm
View Pick
Thursday, Nov 15
NFL
#307 Packers 49.5
#308 Seattle Seahawks -3
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#309 Toledo -13
#310 Kent State 60
6:00pm
View Pick
#311 Tulane 67.5
#312 Houston -10
8:00pm
View Pick
#313 FAU 61.5
#314 North Texas -3
9:30pm
View Pick
Friday, Nov 16
NCAAF
#315 Memphis -8
#316 SMU 73
9:00pm
View Pick
#317 Boise State -19.5
#318 New Mexico 62.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Nov 17
NCAAF
#321 Pittsburgh -6.5
#322 Wake Forest 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#381 TCU 53.5
#382 Baylor -2
12:00pm
View Pick
#387 Arkansas
#388 Mississippi St
12:00pm
View Pick
#415 Michigan State -2
#416 Nebraska 49
12:00pm
View Pick
#349 Ohio State -14
#350 Maryland 58
12:00pm
View Pick
#351 NC State -16.5
#352 Louisville 63.5
12:20pm
View Pick
#405 UL Monroe 64.5
#406 Arkansas State -7.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#391 Louisiana Tech -1.5
#392 Southern Miss 46.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#399 Boston College -1
#400 Florida State 49
3:30pm
View Pick
#411 Miami - FL -5.5
#412 Virginia Tech 51
3:30pm
View Pick
#419 USC -3
#420 UCLA 55
3:30pm
View Pick
#393 Bowling Green 50.5
#394 Akron -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 West Virginia -4.5
#390 Oklahoma State 71
3:30pm
View Pick
#325 Wisconsin 51
#326 Purdue -4.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#345 Missouri -6
#346 Tennessee 56.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#323 Iowa -14
#324 Illinois 59
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Virginia 55
#328 Georgia Tech -6.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#319 Indiana
#320 Michigan
4:00pm
View Pick
#361 Air Force 41
#362 Wyoming -2.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Oregon State
#404 Washington
4:30pm
View Pick
#385 UAB 47
#386 Texas A&M -17
7:00pm
View Pick
#401 Kansas
#402 Oklahoma
7:30pm
View Pick
#397 Ole Miss 66.5
#398 Vanderbilt -3
7:30pm
View Pick
#417 Iowa State 51
#418 Texas -2.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#375 Arizona State 63
#376 Oregon -3.5
10:30pm
View Pick
#377 Arizona 60.5
#378 Washington State -9.5
10:30pm
View Pick
#421 San Diego State 44.5
#422 Fresno State -12.5
10:30pm
View Pick
#423 UNLV 66.5
#424 Hawaii -6.5
11:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Nov 19
NFL
#473 Kansas City Chiefs 63.5
#474 Los Angeles Rams -2.5
8:15pm
View Pick