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Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels,
9-14-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#923 Seattle
Mariners 9
#924 Los Angeles
Angels -140

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 10:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
R. ELIAS

80 - 66

0
W's
1
L's
9.45
ERA
2.4
WHIP

Los Angeles Angels
M. SHOEMAKER

73 - 74

2
W's
0
L's
3.45
ERA
1.21
WHIP

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Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

When and Where: Friday, Sept. 14, Angel Stadium, Anaheim, Calif., 10:07 p.m. EDT.

Matt Shoemaker continues to build a foundation for his 2019 season as the Los Angeles Angels continue their four-game series versus the Seattle Mariners on Friday night.

Staff ace James Paxton was supposed to start this game, but manager Scott Servais scratched the 11-game winner Wednesday when he came down with an illness. Paxton did not accompany the team to Los Angeles.

The Mariners are using this game as a bullpen day, with Roenas Elias (2-1, 3.50 ERA) getting the spot start. He has done so twice already this year and also pitched five innings in relief Aug. 29.

The left-hander has not pitched since a one-out relief appearance Sept. 4.

Shoemaker looks to build on first win in over five months for Halos

Shoemaker (2-0, 3.45 ERA) is making his third start since fully recovering from a strained forearm that was one of multiple injuries that have sidelined him most of the last two seasons.

The right-hander will likely be on a pitch count once more as he has thrown five innings in each of the previous two starts while logging 62 and 74 pitches, respectively. Shoemaker picked up his first win since his season debut March 31 on Saturday in Chicago as he got through five innings permitting three runs and seven hits in a 12-3 rout of the White Sox.

“I felt OK. I think that’s the best way to put it, OK,” Shoemaker told the club’s official website. “I enjoy the cool weather, but being in cool weather from being in hot, hot, hot, hot, hot [in Texas], you just have to find a way to stay loose in between innings. Fatigue-wise, I felt pretty good, it was just a matter of staying loose.”

Shoemaker is making his first home start since June 14, 2017, and facing the Mariners for the first time since May 2 of last season. He is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA in 12 lifetime starts versus the Mariners, including a 2-3 record and 4.46 ERA in seven starts at Angel Stadium.

Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, and Kyle Seager each have hit two homers against Shoemaker, with Cano owning the best average of the trio against the righty at .320 (8 for 25)

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

With it being Shoemaker’s first start at home in over 15 months, look for the right-hander to come out with a little something extra as he continues to build a foundation for 2019. Manager Mike Scioscia has not definitely said Shoemaker is on a pitch count, but given the pattern of building arm strength for his first two outings, the right-hander will likely get somewhere between 80 and 90 pitches in this outing.

Prediction: Pick: Angels -120

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

After Thursday night’s 8-2 win by Seattle, the teams have combined to reach double figures in runs in five of the previous seven games in Los Angeles and in nine of 16 games overall this season.

Prediction: Pick: OVER 9 runs (-105)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Between the Mariners opting for the bullpen day and the low expectations for Shoemaker after he gave up three runs in five innings last time out, the teams should produce a steady stream of runs and hits. Also trending in the over’s favor is the teams combining for 29 or higher in four of the last five meetings.

Prediction: Pick: OVER 27.5 Runs+Hits+Errors

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

This is more of a pick against the Mariners and their bullpen day in contrast to expecting a big outing from Shoemaker, which is why the money line has been selected as opposed to the Angels giving one-half run at -110.

Prediction: Pick: Angels -145

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Elias has not pitched four innings in either of his spot starts, giving up two in one outing and five in the other one. Shoemaker still does not have enough of a track record to think he will be able to overcome Seattle’s bullpen if it struggles.

Prediction: Pick: OVER 5 runs (-110)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

One or both of these teams have scored a first-inning run in five of the last seven games played at Anaheim, and with the Mariners giving a spot start to Elias and an amped-up Shoemaker, it is worth a flyer to take a scoreline other than 0-0 after the first.

Prediction: Pick: YES to 1st-inning run (-115)

Chris Altruda (@AlTruda73)

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.

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