After a rare series win on the road, the Colorado Rockies hope to keep the good times rolling in their road trip at Truist Park this week against the Atlanta Braves. Wednesday’s game features a second run-in with Braves starting pitcher Huascar Ynoa, who will have his work cut out for him in limiting the periodically explosive Rockies offense. Meanwhile, Colorado is going back to surging right-handed pitcher Antonio Senzatela in hopes of handing the Braves another loss.
Can the Rockies keep winning on the road?The Rockies’ win over the Philadelphia Phillies marked only the third time this season they’ve managed to win a series on the road. No, this isn’t me blowing smoke and acting as if the second-worst road team in the league is going to suddenly morph into a good road team overnight.
But with a little confidence, they could make things interesting against the Braves in their first trip of the season to Truist Park.
Antonio Senzatela (4.11 ERA) gets the nod to start at pitcher for a Rockies team allowing an average of 4.92 runs per game. We’ll see if he can avoid the big hits with the Braves hammering the second-highest home run average in the league. He gave up a solo home run in his last run-in with this Braves lineup at Coors Field earlier in the month in a game where he was awarded a decision win. It marked his second decision nod in a row after knocking off the Los Angeles Dodgers in his previous outing.
So Senzatela has been on a bit of a roll as of late.
Whether he can keep it going against the NL East-leading Braves in their home building remains to be seen. The one thing that has hurt the Rockies on the road has been their struggles at the plate. It clearly wasn’t a problem against the Phillies in a series where they averaged 5.25 runs per game, including an incredible 11-run Game 2 performance. That’s the team that needs to show up on Wednesday.
The Rockies could still be without right-fielder Sam Hilliard, who has been dealing with an elbow injury. Third baseman Connor Joe is also still on the 10-day injured list.
Ynoa gets a do-overThere has to be a winner and a loser, and unfortunately for Braves starting pitcher Huascar Ynoa (3.22 ERA), he was on the losing end in that last head-to-head meeting with Antonio Senzatela. He yielded five hits and four runs to the Rockies in a 4-3 loss.
The bats for the Rockies have been pretty much non-existent on the road this season with the team slashing .215/.288/.344. There’s hope they’ll revert back into the same struggling team on the road, but that didn’t look like the case in their previous series with the Phillies. If that team makes an appearance on Wednesday, it could be all downhill for Ynoa in this game.
He has been handed a loss in three of his last four games, but he also isn’t facing cakewalk opponents. Along with facing the Rockies on the road, the other losses came against the San Francisco Giants and New York Yankees.
We’ll see how the Braves fare offensively in the rematch with Senzatela as well. They can’t afford to leave their young pitcher hanging in this matchup if things go south. At the very least, they should be able to put runs on the board considering how dominant offensively they’ve been at Truist Park this season. With the Phillies still nipping at their heels in the NL East divisional title picture, there really are no excuses for the Braves in this game.
The top supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
- Rockies are 26-62 in their last 88 road games against a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 21-52 in their last 73 road games.
- Rockies are 18-48 in their last 66 games as a road underdog.
- Rockies are 11-40 in their last 51 road games against a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing record.
- Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Braves are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a favorite.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Antonio Senzatela is really pitching well right now, and it isn’t something you can just chalk up to playing at Coors Field, either. He led the Rockies in handing the Los Angeles Dodgers a 5-0 shutout loss at Dodger Stadium at the end of August. So he’s positioned well to go on the road and hand the Braves another loss at Truist Park.
In the last 30 days, Senzatela is throwing a 2.18 ERA with a 2-0 record on the mound. And in his last two starts against both the Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, he held those offensive lineups to a .190 batting average. It’s about time he got some respect for his recent run.
The 26-year-old righty is putting in work.
I’d wager it’s enough to topple the Braves with the Rockies’ bats suddenly coming to life on the road. I’m not sure how long this offensive run will last for them, but they better ride that boat while there’s still wind in the sails.
Huascar Ynoa got his pitches crushed in his last meeting with the Rockies. The confidence from that game will carry over, and the Rockies will do it again on Wednesday. I’m taking Colorado in this one.
Full-Game Total Pick
The Rockies showed a little more defensive fight against the Phillies in their previous series meeting. While the Braves are clearly a more dangerous offensive team, I’m expecting Antonio Senzatela to act as the great neutralizer in this game. He’s playing some of the best baseball he has all season right now, and it’ll be a problem for a Braves offense that had some struggles hitting his pitches in the last head-to-head meeting with the righty. For a team with one of the worst ERAs in the league, the Rockies’ pitching rotation is averaging a 3.81 ERA in their last three road games. That’s good news for Senzatela and the bullpen in this one. Give me the under on Wednesday.