Miami will wrap up its three-game series at Washington on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins picked up a 3-0 win in Monday night’s series opener. Washington has lost four of its last five games. Both teams are out of the playoff race—this story was published prior to Tuesday night’s game.
Rogers looking to build on strong campaignMiami has some momentum heading towards the end of the season. It has won four of its last six games, taking two out of three from the Mets last week. The Marlins dropped two out of three at Atlanta over the weekend before bouncing back with Monday’s 3-0 win. They will host Pittsburgh this weekend before Washington comes back to town early next weekend. Miami is well out of the playoff race, sitting 14 games back of a Wild Card spot. The Marlins offense ranks No. 25 with a team batting average of .235.
Shortstop Miguel Rojas leads the way with 121 hits and a .269 average. Veteran first baseman Jesus Aguilar has 117 base knocks, including 22 home runs. He is currently on the 10-day injured list, though. Second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. has added 100 hits. They will be facing a Washington pitching staff that is No. 24 with a team ERA of 4.74. Left-handed pitcher Trevor Rogers is going to start for Miami. He allowed four runs across 4.1 innings against Atlanta in his last outing. Rogers has allowed six combined runs in his last two starts, which has caused his ERA to tick up to 2.73.
Washington looking for strong finishWashington continues to await the end of the season and a fresh start in 2022. The Nationals made some big moves at the July trade deadline, shipping away Trea Turner and Max Scherzer, among others. They have struggled since then, which was expected. Their series over the weekend really emphasized that point, as Pittsburgh took two out of three at PNC Park. They were unable to bounce back on Monday, dropping the 3-0 final. Washington’s offense ranks fourth in the MLB with a team batting average of .256, but it is not as threatening without Turner in the mix.
Left fielder Juan Soto leads the team with 137 hits, including 25 home runs. Turner is still second in hits, even though he has been out of the lineup for several months. First baseman Josh Bell has been the only other consistent performer since Turner’s departure, racking up 111 hits. He has hit a team-best 26 home runs. They are going to face a Miami pitching staff that is tenth in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.87. Left-hander Josh Rogers will take the mound for Washington. It will be his third time through the rotation after notching his first career quality start in his last start. Rogers allowed two runs across 6.2 innings against Pittsburgh. He only has an 8.9 percent swinging-strike rate through his two starts.
- 0-5 in its last five home games vs. a left-handed starter
- 1-6 in its last seven games vs. a team with a losing record
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The most important factor in handicapping a baseball game is the starting pitching matchup. Miami’s advantage in that category leads to some serious value on the Marlins. Trevor Rogers has been fantastic throughout the season, helping his team crack the top 10 in team ERA. He is facing a Washington lineup that is not threatening outside of Bell and Soto. On the other side, Josh Rogers is making his third-career start. He might be coming off a quality start, but that came against a bad Pittsburgh lineup. I have much more faith in the Marlins pitching situation, so they have plenty of value as slight underdogs.
Full-Game Total Pick
The under is a solid play between these teams, especially with this pitching matchup. Trevor Rogers is the biggest factor in my spread pick and he is the biggest factor in the total pick. I have a ton of faith in the young ace to come through against a mediocre lineup that is still being overvalued due to Turner’s presence earlier in the year. The under has cashed in Miami’s last four games against a left-handed starter. Rogers has not gone over in his last four starts overall. This should be a low-scoring contest.