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Mariners vs. Astros,
9-17-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#923 Seattle
Mariners
#924 Houston
Astros

Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 2:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Houston Astros

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Seattle Mariners (74-75 SU, 71-73-5 O/U) v. Houston Astros (90-58 SU, 75-64-9 O/U) at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas

Sunday, September 18th, 2017 at 2:10 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Andrew Moore (R) 1-3, 5.36 ERA, 1.11 WHIP (SEA) v. Justin Verlander (R) 12-8, 3.58 ERA, 1.23 WHIP (HOU)

Money Line: Seattle Mariners +196 | Houston Astros -220

Over/Under: 9.0

The Houston Astros are hosting the Seattle Mariners on Sunday afternoon in this AL West showdown. The Astros have been one of the best teams in the major leagues. They have a 14 game lead over the second-place Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. The Astros are just one win away from clinching the division. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 3.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the American League Wild Card standings. Will the Astros clinch the division with a win over the Mariners on Sunday?

M’s fall again in Houston

The Seattle Mariners lost their second consecutive game, falling 8-6 to the Astros in Houston. The M’s fell behind early, and they couldn’t find a way to keep pace with Houston’s potent offense. Seattle’s lineup has been pretty average in 2017. They’ve scored the 15th most runs (694) in the majors. Nelson Cruz has been Seattle’s most productive hitter. He leads the Mariners in home runs (33) and RBIs (110) this season.

Andrew Moore will get the nod for the Mariners on Sunday. Moore hasn’t had a great season. However, he was pretty impressive in his last start, a no-decision against the Texas Rangers in Arlington. Moore only allowed 1 hit, 1 walk, and 1 run in six innings of action. He was a victim of poor run support, so he didn’t get a win. Moore will look to bounce back as he takes on a dangerous Astros lineup on Sunday.

Astros win third straight

The Houston Astros are getting closer and closer to clinching the AL West. They won their third consecutive game on Saturday, beating the Mariners 8-6. Houston’s lineup has powered the Astros to 90 wins. They’ve scored 800 runs this season, which is the most in the majors. The Astros also lead the majors in batting average (.281), on-base percentage (.345), and slugging percentage (.477).

Justin Verlander will be Houston’s starter in Sunday’s showdown with the Seattle Mariners. Verlander has looked good with his new team. He’s 2-0 as a member of the Houston Astros. Verlander’s last win came against the Angels in Anaheim. He pitched 8 scoreless innings. The right-handed veteran only gave up 1 hit and 1 walk. Verlander also had 9 strikeouts in the win. He’ll try to remain undefeated as an Astro as he takes on the Mariners in this one.

Trends

The Seattle Mariners are:

  • 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • 1-5 in their last 6 Sunday games.
  • 1-5 in Moore’s last 6 starts.
  • 0-4 in Moore’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Houston Astros are:

  • 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
  • 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.

Justin Verlander has been phenomenal over his past five games. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs to an opposing team during that stretch. Additionally, Verlander hasn’t lost a game in over a month. The Mariners have been awful against the Astros this season. They’re 0-5 in their last 5 meetings with the Astros. I think Verlander will dominate Seattle’s lineup in this one. I like the Houston Astros to clinch the AL West with a win on Sunday.

Pick: Houston Astros -220

Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.

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