New York Mets (63-84; 83-52-12 O/U) vs. Atlanta Braves (67-79; 75-66-6 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:35pm EST
Line: Atlanta -175/New York +165
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets will wrap up a three game divisional series Sunday afternoon from SunTrust Park. The Mets will give the nod to 24-year old right-hander Robert Gsellman, and 26-year old right-hander Julio Teheran will take the mound for the Braves. The Mets own a 7-6 lead in the season series.
Gsellman Targets Third Win vs Braves this Season
Robert Gsellman will get the nod for the 23rd time of the season, aiming for win number seven. Gsellman didn’t have his best stuff last time out, conceding four runs in four innings to the Cubs and was charged with the loss. The young right-hander is having a rough season, sitting at 6-7 with a poor 5.58 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in 101.2 innings logged. He has had some trouble against the Braves this year, allowing 11 runs in 16.2 innings, and now stands at 2-2 with a 5.33 ERA in 27 career innings against the division rivals. Freddie Freeman is 4 for 10 against Gsellman, while Matt Kemp is 6 for 12 with three RBI’s, and Nick Markakis is 3 for 14. Jose Reyes is the hottest Mets hitter right now, recording 10 RBI’s along with two home runs over his last eight games. The 14-year veteran shortstop has been inconsistent this season, and is now hitting .239 with 13 home runs and 52 RBI’s. Reyes has been productive against Atlanta this season, driving in 10 runs.
The Mets are now scoring an average of 4.62 runs per game, ranking them 17th overall, and are hitting .251 as a team. The New York pitching is carrying a poor 5.01 team ERA, placing them 28th in the Major Leagues.
Teheran Seeks Fifth Consecutive Victory
Julio Teheran is back on the hill for the 30th time of the year, looking to continue where he left off in his previous outing. Teheran came through with a gem last time out, hurling seven scoreless innings to the Nationals and collected another win to bring his record to 11-11. The Braves’ ace has pitched well as of late but still possesses a subpar 4.57 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 169.1 innings of work. Teheran has fared well against the Mets this season, posted a 3.33 ERA with a 1-1 record spread across four starts, and now stands at 8-4 with a stifling 2.56 ERA in 19 career starts. Johan Camargo is looking good at the plate, driving in five runs along with seven hits over his last four games. The 23-year old rookie is off to a promising start to his career, sporting a .304 average with four home runs and 24 RBI’s in 70 games played. Camargo is 2 for 9 with one RBI against the Mets this season.
The Braves are swinging the bats well, and are now averaging 4.64 runs per game, ranking them 16th overall, feature a .266 team batting average. The Atlanta pitching is carrying a subpar 4.77 team ERA, positioning them 25th in the Major Leagues.
The New York Mets are:
- under is 5-0 in their last 5 games in Atlanta.
- under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Braves overall.
The Atlanta Braves are:
- under is 7-1-1 in Teheran’s last 9 home starts.
- under is 3-0-1 in Teheran’s last 4 home starts overall.
- under is 26-10-2 in their last 38 games against a team with a losing record.
I am going with the under in this matchup. Teheran is pitching well as of late, sporting a stifling 2.31 ERA over his last six starts, plus he features a 2.69 ERA in 19 career starts against the Mets, so I am confident he can come through with a strong outing. Furthermore, Gsellman hurled 6.2 shutout innings against the Braves in the latest meeting, and the under has been a common trend between these two teams as of late.