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Orioles vs. Yankees,
9-17-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#915 Baltimore
Orioles
#916 New York
Yankees

Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Baltimore Orioles

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Yankees

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Baltimore Orioles (72-76 SU, 70-78 RL, 72-72-4 O/U) vs New York Yankees (81-66 SU, 80-67 RL, 76-68-3 O/U)

When: 1:05 PM EDT, Sunday, September 17, 2017

Where: Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York

Lines: New York -176/ Baltimore +166

Total: 10.5

Sunday afternoon MLB action and a pair of American League East foes will square off as the Baltimore Orioles duke it out with the New York Yankees in the final game of their four-game set from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. Pitching Probables: Ubaldo Jimenez (5-10, 6.75 ERA) gets the nod for the Orioles in this one and he will be opposed by Sonny Gray (9-10, 3.17 ERA).

Orioles Are Fading From Contention

The Baltimore Orioles had been hanging around in the wildcard race for much of the 2nd half of the season, but they may have run out of gas. The Orioles lost the first two games of this series and are now just 1-8 in their last nine games to fall to 5.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard slot in the American League. The Orioles have just 12 games left after this one, so it will be tough for them to make up the ground needed to get in. The Orioles have been a solid offensive team for much of the year, but that offense has really struggled of late as they have averaged just 2.11 rpg over their last nine games. The had been pitching well of late by the Yanks took care of that as they scored 21 runs in the first two games of this series. The O’s have gone just 28-46 on the road for the year and have averaged 4.49 rpg and have allowed 5.26 rpg in those games. Toeing the slab for the Orioles in this one will be Ubaldo Jimenez and he has gone 5-10 with a 6.75 ERA in 29 games (23 starts) on the year, including 0-2 with a 9.95 ERA in his last three starts and 3-7 with a 6.31 ERA in 16 games (12 starts) on the road. Jimenez has gone 23-16 with a 3.33 ERA in 57 games (54 starts) during Sept/ Oct and 31-43 with a 4.85 ERA in 105 games (100 starts) in the daytime, while against the Yankees he has gone 4-6 with a 6.57 ERA in 14 games (13 starts), including 3-4 with a 6.37 ERA in eight starts here at Yankee Stadium.

Baltimore has been average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 14th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.72 rpg, while also ranking 6th in hitting at .263 and 1st in homers with 224. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 4.86, while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.44.

Yankees Are Picking On Oriole Pitching

The New York Yankees are in very good shape as far as making the playoffs are concerned. They are atop the wildcard standings in the American League and have a 4.0 game lead over Minnesota, who is in 2nd place and a 6.0 game lead over the Halos, who are in 3rd place. The Yanks have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games and their offense has really been key to their recent run as they have averaged 6.92 rpg over their last 13 games and in the first two games of this series, they scored 21 runs. This offense is rolling right now and because of that offense, they could be a scary team in the postseason. Aaron Judge has been a bit hot of late with four homers and nine RBIs over his last five games. The Yankees have gone 42-27 at home and have averaged 5.57 rpg and have allowed 4.10 rpg in those games. The Yankees will be sending out Sonny Gray and he has gone 9-10 with a 3.17 ERA in 24 starts on the year, including 3-5 with a 2.66 ERA in eight starts as a member of the Yankees. Gray has gone 7-7 with a 3.81 ERA in 20 starts during Sept/ Oct and 22-11 with a 2.89 ERA in 44 career day starts, while against the Orioles he has gone 2-03 with a 4.39 ERA in five starts. He has gone 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA in four career starts in this park. 

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.31 rpg, while also ranking 9th in hitting at .261 and 4th in homers with 214. On the mound, they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.78, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.22.

Trends

Baltimore is:

  • 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • 0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record overall

New York is:

  • 10-2 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record

The Baltimore Orioles really need this game or it could be their knockout punch as far as getting into the postseason goes. The problem here is that they have struggled on the road and are at a big disadvantage on both the mound and at the play. The Yanks have averaged 6.92 rpg in their last 13 games, while the O’s have put up just 2.11 rpg over their last nine games. Big advantage on offense to the Yankees. The pitching goes to the Yankees as well as Jimenez comes in with a 9.95 ERA in his last three starts and is 3-7 with a 6.31 ERA on the road, while Gray is 1-2, but with a 2.51 ERA in his last three starts and he is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA in four career starts in this park. Take the Yankees to grab another easy win in this series.

Pick: New York -1.5

The New York Yankees have been very hot on offense of late, but the Orioles have averaged just 2.11 rpg over their last nine games. Ubaldo Jimenez has a 6.31 ERA on the road this year and his road starts have averaged 10.42 rpg. The Yankees should be able to tag him for a bunch of runs in this one. The Yankees are sending out Sonny Gray and he has [itched well this year, but the Orioles do have a decent offense that can score on him. The Yankees will do most of the scoring as I see at least seven or eight runs from them, while the Orioles should be able to put up at least four runs. Take the Over here, especially since the Over is 10-1 the last 11 meetings between these teams here in New York.

Pick: Over 10.5

Confidence: 2

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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