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Padres vs. Rockies,
9-17-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 San Diego
Padres
#910 Colorado
Rockies

Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 3:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Diego Padres (65-82 SU, 79-68 RL, 74-65-8 O/U) vs. Colorado Rockies (81-67 SU, 76-72 RL, 61-80-7 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, September 17, 2017, Coors Field, Denver, Colorado, 3:10 pm ET

Lines: Colorado -210, San Diego +194; Over/Under: 12

It’s a battle between a pair of NL West rivals in the Rocky Mountains. The San Diego Padres play the final game of their three game series with the Colorado Rockies Sunday afternoon. Colorado won the opening game of the series as they took a 6-1 triumph Friday night. The pitching matchup for the middle game of the series Saturday night saw Jordan Lyles pitch for the Padres against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland. First pitch in the contest was set for 8:40 pm ET.

San Diego Padres Try to Scale the Rockies

San Diego’s weak offense was in full display in the opening game of the series. Despite the thin air in the Rocky Mountains, the Padres mustered just a single run in the loss, which was their fourth straight defeat. Carlos Asuaje was the only San Diego player with two hits in the game while Wil Myers accounted for the lone run with his 28th homer of the season in the sixth inning. The Padres went 0 for 7 with runners in scoring position in the contest. Clayton Richard (7-14) took the loss on the mound as he allowed four runs on seven hits with three walks and three strikeouts over six innings of work.

Jhoulys Chacin makes his 30th start of the season for the Padres in this contest. He comes in 12-10 with a 4.06 ERA, a 1.287 WHIP, 65 walks and 137 strikeouts over 164 innings of action this season. Chacin recorded a no-decision in his last start, which came against the Diamondbacks on the road last Saturday. He pitched five innings, allowing four runs on seven hits with two walks and five strikeouts in an eventual 8-7 San Diego win. He is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, six walks and 16 strikeouts over 17 innings in his last three starts. Chacin lost his lone career start against the Rockies, which came June 3 at home. He allowed four runs (three earned) on six hits with three walks and seven strikeouts over six innings in a 10-1 Padres loss. Chacin is 23-23 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.362 WHIP over 68 appearances, 61 starts, covering 374.1 innings at Coors Field in his career.

Colorado Rockies Battling to Hold Wild Card Spot

Colorado bounced back from losing the final two games against Arizona by picking up the win in the opening game of this set. The Rockies entered Saturday with a 2.5 game lead over the Brewers for the second wild card spot in the National League. Nolan Arenado (run, RBI) was the only Colorado player with two hits in the game. Tyler Chatwood and DJ LeMahieu each drove in two runs while Ian Desmond had the other RBI for the Rockies. Chatwood (8-12) got the win on the mound as he allowed one run on four hits with one walk and three strikeouts over 5.2 innings of work.

Jon Gray is on track to make his 18th start of the year for the Rockies. He missed two and a half months earlier in the season with a stress fracture in his left foot. He is 8-4 with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.371 WHIP, 28 walks and 92 strikeouts over 93.1 innings of work. Gray picked up the win in his last outing, which came on the road against the Diamondbacks Tuesday night.  He threw seven innings, allowing two runs on seven hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts in a 4-2 Colorado win. Gray is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, five walks and 19 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. He is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA and a 0.959 WHIP over 49 innings in eight career starts against the Padres. Gray is 11-4 with a 4.65 ERA and a 1.313 WHIP over 25 starts covering 139.1 innings of work at Coors Field.

Trends:

San Diego

  • Padres are 15-43 in their last 58 Sunday games.
  • Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

Colorado

  • Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West
  • Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 overall
  • Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass

San Diego still has a long way to go in order to be considered a viable contender for the postseason. The Padres don’t score many runs and they don’t have a whole lot of depth in their pitching. Colorado has gotten on a bit of a roll of late as they try to maintain their hold on the second wild card spot with the Brewers and Cardinals lurking. The Rockies have Gray on the hill and he’s been good at Coors Field in his career. Look for Colorado to do enough offensively to send the Padres to defeat in this contest.

Pick: Colorado Rockies -210

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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