Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#969 Chicago White Sox 9.5 vs.
#970 Minnesota Twins -205
Tuesday, September 17, 2019 at 7:40pm EDT
Written by Ricky Dimon

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The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox will continue a three-game series when they clash at Target Field in Minnesota on Tuesday night.

Timmy time

The White Sox coughed up a five-run lead in Sunday’s 11-10 setback against Seattle, their 14th loss in 19 games. Despite that, they got three more hits from Yoan Moncada–who has gone 10-for-19 over his last four contests and has reached base in 13 straight. Tim Anderson leads the American League with a .332 batting average and has recorded a major league-high 66 hits since the beginning of August. First baseman Jose Abreu has gone 12-for-35 during his 10-game hitting streak and leads the AL with 117 RBIs. Rookie left fielder Eloy Jimenez has hit safely in seven straight games, going 11-for-28 with three homers and 11 RBIs.

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Right-hander Lucas Giolito (14-9, 3.41 ERA) is taking the mound for Chicago on Tuesday. Giolito has been the main bright spot on an otherwise disappointing White Sox squad and continues to be in fine form despite losing his last three decisions. The 25-year-old has delivered seven quality starts in his last nine appearances and on one other occasion during this stretch he missed that distinction by just one run (four allowed in 6.0 innings of work). One of Giolito’s best outings of the 2019 campaign came against none other than Minnesota on Aug. 21, when he fired a complete-game shutout while allowing only three hits and striking out 12 batters.

Update (9/16/19): Giolito is now out for the season with a mild lat strain. Ross Detwiler (2-5, 6.79 ERA) will now go for Chicago.

Going, going, gone

The Twins did what they had to do over the weekend and look to begin putting away the American League Central title as their final 13 games are against the bottom three teams in the division, including Chicago. They swept a doubleheader from second-place Cleveland this past Saturday before losing the series finale against the Indians 7-5. They lead the Triber by 4.5 games with two weeks left in the regular season. Minnesota has tied the major-league record with four players (Nelson Cruz, Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, and Mitch Garver) reaching the 30-homer mark and need one more from Miguel Sano to set the all-time record. Rookie utility man Luis Arraez has reached base in each of his last 14 contests, going 20-for-50 during this stretch.

“We’ve been playing great,” manager Rocco Baldelli assured. “It was a great series, it really was. It was a tremendous job by our guys to come in (Saturday). The resiliency, the effort we got from everyone, top to bottom, it was amazing.”

Left-hander Martin Perez (10-7, 4.89 ERA) will oppose Giolito on Tuesday. Perez has been up and down of late, with three quality starts in his eight most recent outings and a couple of others during this stretch that have been at least decent. The 28-year-old most recently faced Washington last Wednesday, when he logged 5.0 innings and surrendered five runs on six hits and three walks while recording three strikeouts in a 6-2 loss by Minnesota.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

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Chicago is not as good as Minnesota by any stretch of the imagination, but with Giolito on the mound the playing field is more level. In fact, with Giolito on the mound the scales may tip all the way in the visitors’ favor. He is sporting an awesome 2.83 ERA on the road this season compared to 4.06 at home. In 25.0 innings against Minnesota in 2019, Giolito has compiled a 3.24 ERA to go along with a pair of victories. Abreu and Jimenez should give their starter enough run support on Tuesday.

Prediction: Chicago White Sox

Full-Game Total Pick

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Giolito has been in fine form this whole season and he has been especially successful against Minnesota. Perez produced a quality start in his only previous appearance against Chicago this season. The under is 4-1 in Giolito’s last five starts and 4-0 in his last four starts against opponents with winning records. It is also 10-3 in the Twins’ last 13 overall, 5-1 in their last six at home, 9-2 in their last 11 against right-handed starters, and 6-2-1 in their last nine against starters with WHIPs under 1.15. Additionally, the under is 3-1-1 in Minnesota’s last five at Chicago. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Prior to joining the Winners & Whiners Staff, he worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.