Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#963 Los Angeles Angels 10 vs.
#964 New York Yankees -295
Tuesday, September 17, 2019 at 6:35pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#963 Los Angeles
#964 New York
68-82
98-53
-
-
-
-
0
0

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

A pair of American League teams with different situations in the final two weeks of the season kick off a set in the Bronx. The Los Angeles Angels are on the road for the opening game of a three-game series with the New York Yankees Tuesday night. Los Angeles prevailed 6-4 in the finale of a three-game home set with the Rays to avoid a sweep Sunday afternoon. New York dropped the rubber game of their three-game set on the road with the Blue Jays, losing 6-4 Sunday. The Yankees took three of four meetings in the first series between the teams this season, which took place in the City of Angels April 22-25.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Playing Out the String

Los Angeles managed to earn the win in the finale of their three-game set with Tampa Bay to snap a six-game losing skid. The Angels have been eliminated from playoff contention: they entered Monday fourth in the AL West, 29.5 games behind the Astros. Kevan Smith finished with three hits while Andrelton Simmons (two runs) and Albert Pujols (run, four RBI) each had two in the contest. Patrick Sandoval didn’t factor in the decision as he threw four innings, allowing a run on two hits with a walk and four strikeouts. Noe Ramirez (5-3) earned the win with two scoreless innings of relief: he allowed no hits with no walks and one strikeout. Hansel Robles threw the final 1.1 innings, allowing no runs or hits with a walk and two strikeouts, for his 21st save.

Jose Suarez gets the call for his 17th appearance and 15th start of the season for the Angels in this contest. He comes in 2-6 with a 6.94 ERA, a 1.64 WHIP, 29 walks and 61 strikeouts over 71.1 innings of work this season. Suarez took the loss in his last start, which came last Tuesday at home against the Indians. He threw three innings, allowing six runs on four hits with two walks and one strikeout in an 8-0 Angels loss. Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.24 ERA, a 1.58 WHIP, five walks and six strikeouts over 12.2 innings in his last three starts. He pitches against the Yankees for the first time in his career in this contest. As a result, in his 17th major league appearance and 15th career start, Suarez pitches at Yankee Stadium for the first time here.

New York Yankees Preparing for Postseason

New York dropped two of three to the Blue Jays over the weekend as they had a bit of a letdown against a team going nowhere. The Yankees entered Monday nine games ahead of the Rays in the AL East, leaving them with a magic number of three: they are tied with Houston for the top record in the American League. New York finished with six hits in the game with no player having more than one: Aaron Judge hit his 23rd homer of the year in the loss. Chad Green didn’t factor in the decision as he threw one inning, allowing no runs on one hit with no walks and two strikeouts. Nestor Cortes Jr. (5-1) took the loss as he allowed three runs on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts over 1.1 innings of relief.

Luis Severino gets the ball as he makes his first start of the season for the Yankees after battling through rotator cuff issues and a grade 2 lat strain that has cost him the entire year. He was a solid 19-8 with a 3.39 ERA, a 1.145 WHIP, 46 walks and 220 strikeouts over 191.1 innings in 32 starts last season. This marks Severino’s first outing in the majors since October 8, 2018 against the Red Sox in Game 3 of the AL Division Series. He allowed six runs on seven hits with two walks and two strikeouts over three innings in that game as the Yankees were drubbed 16-1. Severino logs his fifth career start against the Angels in this contest. He is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA, a 1.263 WHIP, seven walks and 18 strikeouts over 19 innings in those outings. Severino is 22-13 with a 3.68 ERA, a 1.131 WHIP, 71 walks and 287 strikeouts over 254.2 innings in 46 career appearances, 42 starts, at Yankee Stadium this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Severino has to prove that he’s ready to pitch in the majors to earn a spot on the postseason roster. Facing an Angels lineup that is without Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Justin Upton, along with Tommy La Stella, gives him a fairly soft landing spot to make his season debut. Meanwhile, Suarez has struggled in the majors and has given up 20 long balls in his 71.1 innings of work: that’s better than 2.5 homers allowed per nine innings. Facing the Yankees with their power-stacked lineup is a bad matchup for the Halos. The Bronx Bombers get the upper hand in this one for their 99th win of the season.

Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Los Angeles is minus the heart of their lineup without Ohtani and Trout to provide a punch. That leaves the Angels in a tough spot as beyond Kole Calhoun and Pujols, there isn’t a lot of power to rely on offensively. Los Angeles is 13th in the majors in runs per game with 4.87 and 15th with 211 home runs but Trout, Ohtani and Upton combined for 75 of those: throw in La Stella and the total of missing long balls goes to 91. That’s nearly 43 percent of the Angels’ power total. New York is dealing with injuries but they did get some arms back with Dellin Betances and Jordan Montgomery returning Sunday. With Severino back, the Yankees are getting healthy for the postseason: can their former ace deliver a solid outing in his season debut?

The under is 5-1 in the Angels’ last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-1 in their last five on Tuesday, 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. New York has seen the under go 5-1 in their last six at home, 5-1 in their last six against AL West teams and 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Thanks to the Angels’ lineup missing so many pieces, this one ends up under the number.

Prediction: 9.5

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

It’s unclear what the plan is for Severino as far as whether he’ll be on a pitch count or anything like that. The Yankees have plenty of bats in their lineup that can do damage in the blink of an eye. New York leads the majors with 5.87 runs per game, rank third with a .270 team average and is second in OPS (.834) and home runs (286) this season. The Yankees are facing a guy in Suarez who has had a penchant for giving up the long ball this season. New York should take advantage and have the upper hand after five innings.

Prediction: New York Yankees -269

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Los Angeles has struggled this season and Suarez has been roughed up on a regular basis. He has an ERA just under seven on the season and has given up at least one home run in 14 of 16 contests this year. Facing the Yankees with their power game is going to be an uphill climb and his best bet may be trying to limit the damage to solo shots. Severino is going to be a bit rusty, throwing just one inning with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre before being recalled. This one likely ends up under the number as it’s hard to see the Angels doing much offensively.

Prediction: Under 5.5
Loading...

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.