Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 New York Mets -135 vs.
#960 Colorado Rockies 13.5
Tuesday, September 17, 2019 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by Scott Reichel



#959 New York
#960 Colorado


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This Tuesday, there is a matchup between two National League teams. Specifically, the New York Mets and the Colorado Rockies will face off at about 8:40 PM. This is game two of a three-game series, which will take place at Coors Field.

Pitching Matchup: The Mets will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman (8-13, 3.35 ERA) and the Rockies will counter with Tim Melville(2-2, 5.16 ERA).

Mets Look To Stay Alive In NL Wild Card Race

The New York Mets have slim chances to make the postseason this year. However, it is still technically possible and can hypothetically occur if the Mets catch fire over the last two weeks of the regular season. Specifically, the Mets are five games back of the Cubs for the second NL Wild Card spot with just 12 games left in the regular season. However, the Mets have already lost the series opener which helped put them in such a terrible spot. With another five straight road games to play, the Mets will need to overcome their 34-42 road record this season.

The Mets have won five of their last eight games and they have won 15 of their last 30 games. Yesterday, the Mets scored four runs and lost to the Rockies on the road. Leading their attack was Brandon Nimmo who had a solo home run in the first inning. This loss was not surprising for the Mets as they have been awful in Coors Field recently. Historically, the Mets are 2-8 in the last ten meetings in Colorado.

Pitching for the Mets in this game will be Marcus Stroman and he has gone 8-13 with a 3.35 ERA in 29 starts this season, including a 5-4 record with 2.92 ERA in 12 starts on the road. Righties are hitting .219 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .301. He has also been okay since the All-Star Break as he has a 3-4 record with a 3.63 ERA.

The Mets have been okay on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.85 runs per game, while also recording the 12th-most home runs in the league with 1.46 home runs per game. On the mound, however, they have just been okay as they come into this game ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 4.32. However, the bullpen for the Mets ranks 27th in the league with a 5.14 ERA.

Colorado’s Bats Starting To Wake Up Again

The Colorado Rockies have been a bottom feeder in the National League for the last few months with little to no optimism occurring every since. The Rockies are known for their tremendous offensive firepower every year and 2019 has been the same story. However, like most years, the Rockies failed to remain competitive due to their terrible pitching which has plagued them over the entire season. Playing in high altitude does not help but it is interesting that the Rockies are still 40-36 at Coors Field this season despite that awful pitching staff. Luckily for the Rockies, this game is also at home so perhaps they can get another victory on Tuesday.

The Rockies have won five of their last six games and they have gone 13-17 in their last 30 games. Yesterday, the Rockies scored ten runs and beat the Mets at home. Leading their attack was Trevor Story who had a three-run home run in the fourth inning. This win was surprising as the Rockies have an awful 23-34 record against left-handed starters this season.

Pitching for the Rockies in this game will be Tim Melville and he has gone 2-2 with a 5.16 ERA in five starts this season, including an 0-2 record with a 9.00 ERA in three starts at home. Righties are hitting .211 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .333. He has also been awful in the Month of September as well as he is 1-1 with a 7.27 ERA.

The Rockies have been solid on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 9th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.19 runs per game, while also recording the 6th-most hits in the league with 9.27 hits per game. On the mound, however, they have been awful as they come into this game ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 5.65. Meanwhile, the bullpen for the Rockies ranks 28th in the league with a 5.18 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Simply put, the Mets should be extremely motivated for this game due to the playoff implications and have a significantly better starting pitcher in this game. Stroman has an impressive 2.92 ERA on the road while Melville has a 9.00 ERA at home so I can see the Mets getting out to an early lead in this game. I think this game should be pretty close throughout but I think the Mets will do just enough to get the victory.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Even though this game is in Coors Field, I think this total is too high and have to lean to the under. Stroman has a 1.42 ERA in the last seven days and the Mets have scored three runs or less in each of their last three games so I can see this game being a bit low-scoring for Colorado’s standards. Plus, the under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last five starts overall. As a result, I think this game will end somewhere in the realm of 6-4 so I will take the under.

Prediction: Under 13.5

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.