Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#977 San Francisco Giants 10.5 vs.
#978 Boston Red Sox -195
Tuesday, September 17, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by David Hess



#977 San Francisco
#978 Boston


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Major League Baseball action on Tuesday evening and the National League West will square off with the American League East as the San Francisco Giants duke it out with the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

Pitching Matchup: Getting the nod for the Giants will be Logan Webb (1-2, 6.75 ERA) and he will be opposed by Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 5.81 ERA).

Giants Looking To Steal One On The Road

The San Francisco Giants will not be in the postseason this year, but they would still like to finish the season strong. They have a shot at a good showing in this series as the Giants have played better on the road than at home, while the Red Sox have struggled at home. The Giants are currently 39-36 on the road for the year and they have averaged 5.07 rpg in those games, which compares to them averaging just 3.39 rpg in going just 33-42 at home for the year. Can the gainst steal one in this game that means nothing to either team? we shall see. San Fran enters this game off a 2-1 home win over the Miami Marlins and Mauricio Dubon went deep with his 3rd homer of the year to lead the offense. It was a solo shot. Johnny Cueto had a strong start as he allowed no runs and just three hits in 5.0 innings of work, but was saddled with a no-decision. Tyler Rogers (2-0, 1.59 ERA) grabbed the win, while Will Smith notched his 33rd save of the year.

Logan Webb will toe the slab for the Giants and he has gone 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in five starts in this his first year in the league, including 1-1 with an 8.76 ERA in three starts on the road. He has made one interleague start and Webb allowed four ERs on six hits and two walks while striking out two in 4.2 innings of work on the road against the A’s. He got a no-decision in a game the Giants won 5-4. He was 2-4 with a 1.85 ERA in 12 games (10 starts) for four different teams in the minors this year.

The Giants have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 28th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.23 rpg, while also ranking 28th in hitting at .240 and 27th in homers with 158. On the mound, they have been above-average as they rank 14th in the league in ERA at 4.37, while also ranking 9th in WHIP at 1.30 and 23rd in K’s with 1241.

Red Sox Sweep The Phillies

Earlier in the year, the Boston Red Sox were swept in a two-game home series against the Phillies. This past weekend they repaid the favor by taking two games in Philadelphia. That isn’t much of a surprise as the Red Sox have gone 43-31 on the road for the year, compared to going 36-39 here at home. Last year, the Red Sox won it all and they went 57-24 here at home for the year, so a big reason why Boston will be sitting at home for the postseason is due to their horrible play at home. Boston will now look to build on their three-game winning streak overall as they hope to finish the season strong. On Sunday, they won by a score of 6-3 and leading their attack was Christian Vasquez, who was two-for-four with two homers and five RBIs. He has now gone deep 21 times on the year. Rick Porcello allowed just two ERs on five hits and a walk while striking out six in 5.0 innings of work to grab the win and move to 13-12 with a 5.77 ERA on the year.

The Red Sox will be sending out Nathan Eovaldi in this one and he has gone 1-0 with a 5.81 ERA in 20 games (nine starts) on the year, including 0-0 with a 6.86 ERA in 10 games (three starts) here at home. Eovaldi has gone 0-0 with a 5.95 ERA in his nine starts. In his career, he has gone 5-1 with a 4.39 ERA in 20 games (12 starts) here at Fenway Park and 3-9 with a 3.54 ERA in 28 games (23 starts) during Sept/ October. Eovaldi has gone 2-4 with a 10.87 ERA in six starts against the Giants in his career.

The Red Sox have been very good on offense so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.58 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .270 and 10th in homers with 228. On the mound, they have been below average as they rank 19th in the league in ERA at 4.63, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.37 and 3rd in K’s with 1483.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I feel that there is some value on the Giants in this one. The Red Sox have a better record on the road than at home, while the Giants have a better road record than a home record. That’s for starters. Now, I am aware that Logan Webb has not looked good at all in the early part of his career, especially on the road, but I am also fully away that Nathan Eovaldi has a 5.95 ERA in his nine starts this year and he is 2-4 with a pathetic 10.87 ERA in six career starts against the Giants. Neither team has anything to play, but the Red Sox are still the defending champs and they have a target on their backs. The Giants will hit a bullseye on that target.

Prediction: San Francisco +170

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


This is a no-brainer for me. The Giants have struggled on offense this year, but most of their struggles have been at home as they have averaged 5.07 rpg on the road. They will be facing a pitcher, who has struggled against them in his career with a 10.87 ERA in six starts. The Red Sox may not have played well at home overall, but they have averaged 5.71 rpg in their home games so far and Logan Webb has an 8.76 ERA on the road. These offenses should have a field day, especially since they are playing in a park that has yielded 10.66 rpg on the year, which is 4th in the league. The Over is

Prediction: Over 10.5

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.