Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 New York Mets -145 vs.
#904 Colorado Rockies 13
Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Colorado Rockies and the New York Mets will conclude a three-game series Wednesday afternoon from Coors Field. The Mets will give the starting nod to 27-year old right-hander Noah Syndergaard, and the Rockies will counter with 26-year old right-hander Jeff Hoffman. The season series is tied two games apiece.

Syndergaard Looks to Rebound After Two Subpar Outings

Noah Syndergaard will get the nod for the 30th time of the season, looking to get back on track after two uncharacteristic outings. Syndergaard allowed four runs in five innings against the Dodgers in his previous start, leading to a loss to bring his record to 10-8. The 6-foot-6 right-hander has looked great in three out of his last four starts, and he currently holds a mediocre 4.15 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 180 innings logged. Syndergaard fired seven shutout innings in the lone meeting against the Rockies this season, and he features a 2-0 record and a stifling 2.42 ERA in four career starts against Colorado. Charlie Blackmon is 2 for 11 against Syndergaard, while Trevor Story is 0 for 5, and Nolan Arenado is 2 for 7.

Mets’ leadoff hitter Jeff McNeil has cooled off recently, notching just two hits in his last four games entering Tuesday. The 27-year old left fielder is having a brilliant rookie season, recording a .319 average with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s. McNeil is 3 for 13 with two RBI’s against the Rockies this season.

The Mets are running out of time, and their playoff hopes are all but done, standing five games back with only 12 games remaining. They haven’t been playing bad, however, the others in front of them continue to win.

The Mets are currently averaging 4.85 runs, ranking them 15th in the big leagues. The New York pitching staff is carrying a sharp 4.35 team ERA, placing them 12th in the Majors. The Mets own a 34-42 road record.

Jeff Hoffman Snaps Three Game Slide

Jeff Hoffman will get the call for the 13th time of the year, hunting for his second straight victory. Hoffman squandered four runs in 5.1 innings against the Padres in his latest effort, and he came away with the win. The fourth-year right-hander has been a little bit better this month, however, overall he is having a disastrous season, posting an awful 7.03 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP accompanied with a 2-6 record in 56.1 innings of action. Hoffman was roughed up in his meeting against the Mets this season by serving up six runs in 4.2 innings, and he has now squandered 17 runs in 17.2 career innings against New York. Pete Alonso is 0 for 3 against Hoffman, while Michael Conforto is 2 for 7, and Amed Rosario is 1 for 6.

Daniel Murphy is swinging a hot bat, collecting seven hits along with four RBI’s in his last four games. The 10-year veteran first baseman is having a decent year, hitting .284 with 13 home runs and 77 RBI’s on the year. Murphy is only 3 for 16 with one RBI against the Mets this season.

The Rockies have some momentum as they have won six out of their last seven games entering Tuesday which included a sweep over the Padres after struggling most of the second half. Colorado’s pitching continues to struggle and they usually have to score multiple runs to win games.

The Rockies are scoring an average of 5.21 runs on the year, good for ninth in the big leagues. The Colorado pitching staff continues to scuffle, logging a poor 5.69 ERA, pegging them down at 29th overall. The Rockies are 40-36 on their home field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am going with the Mets in this one. The Mets need all the wins they can get as their playoff hopes dwindle. I expect Mets’ starter Noah Syndergaard to get back on track considering he features a dazzling 2.42 ERA in his four career starts against the Rockies.

Furthermore, Rockies’ starter Jeff Hoffman is a pitcher the Mets should exploit. The right-hander hasn’t been able to shut anyone down, and he has surrendered 16 runs in his last four outings spread across 18 innings. Hoffman also isn’t receiving a ton of run support as the Rockies have only scored a combined 13 runs in his last four starts.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a high-scoring game. I like the over with Jeff Hoffman starting for Colorado. Hoffman has especially struggled at hitter-friendly Coors Field where he holds an ugly 7.24 ERA on the season. The Mets definitely have capable hitters that should get to him, plus the over is 7-3 in Hoffman’s last 10 starts against a team with a winning record.

In addition, while I am very confident backing Noah Syndergaard, he hasn’t been quite as effective recently, allowing four runs in two straight starts, and the over is now 3-0-1 in his last four starts overall.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Mets team total offered on PointsBet is a recommended option. The Mets already crushed Hoffman for six runs in the lone meeting this season, and the right-hander has squandered 17 runs in 17.2 career innings against New York. Hoffman continues to have issues so I expect another big performance from the Mets’ bats.

Prediction: Mets Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am opting with the over on the Mets three-inning team total. The Mets are dangerous early as they have accumulated 259 runs through innings 1-3, marking their highest-scoring stretch. Hoffman holds a terrible 7.50 ERA in the first inning followed by a 9.00 ERA in the second.

Prediction: Mets Team Total Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.