Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#927 San Francisco Giants 10.5 vs.
#928 Boston Red Sox -155
Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the continuation of an interleague set up in Beantown on the diamond. The San Francisco Giants are on the road for the middle game of a three-game set with the Boston Red Sox Wednesday night. San Francisco took two of three over the weekend from Miami at home, prevailing 2-1 in the finale Sunday afternoon. Boston swept a brief two-game interleague set against the Phillies on the road, prevailing 6-3 Sunday afternoon. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s series opener saw Logan Webb take the mound for the Giants against Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 7:10 pm ET.

San Francisco Giants Trying to Close Season Strong

San Francisco took the rubber game of their three-game set at home with the Marlins by winning a low scoring affair Sunday. The Giants scored only five runs in the series but took two of three: they entered Tuesday third in the NL West, 28.5 games behind the Dodgers: they trailed the second wild card spot by 10 games with 12 to play. Brandon Belt was the lone San Francisco player with two hits: Mauricio Dubon hit his third homer for the year while Mike Yastrzemski scored the winning run on a wild pitch in the eighth inning. Johnny Cueto didn’t factor in the decision as he threw five innings, allowing no runs on three hits with two walks and two strikeouts. Tyler Rogers (2-0) earned the win with a scoreless eighth while Will Smith worked the ninth for his 33rd save.

Jeff Samardzija makes his 31st start of the year for the Giants in this contest. He is 10-12 with a 3.72 ERA, a 1.116 WHIP, 44 walks and 133 strikeouts over 169.1 innings of work this season. Samardzija took the loss in his last start, which came Thursday at home against the Pirates. He threw six innings, allowing four runs on eight hits with one walk and two strikeouts in a game the Giants lost 4-2. Samardzija has a 1-2 record with a 6.62 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, two walks and seven strikeouts over 17.2 innings in his last three starts. He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, eight walks and 17 strikeouts over 20 innings in four career outings, three starts, against the Red Sox. Samardzija is 1-0 with a 7.00 ERA, a 1.556 WHIP, three walks and four strikeouts over nine innings in two career appearances, one start, at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Fighting to Keep Playoff Hopes Alive

Boston earned their third straight win as they swept the Phillies on the road over the weekend. The Red Sox entered Tuesday third in the AL East, 18 games behind the Yankees: they were nine games behind the second wild card with 13 games to play. Boston got two hits each from Christian Vazquez (two runs, five RBI) and Andrew Benintendi (two runs) in the contest. Vazquez homered twice, giving him 21 on the year. Rick Porcello (13-12) earned the win as he threw five innings: he allowed two runs on five hits with a walk and six strikeouts. Brandon Workman pitched the ninth and recorded his 14th save of the year.

Jhoulys Chacin is on the mound as he logs his 23rd appearance and 22nd start of the season overall: it’s his fourth appearance and third start for Boston. He comes in 3-10 with a 5.44 ERA, a 1.516 WHIP, 42 walks and 87 strikeouts over 94.1 innings of work on the year. Chacin didn’t factor in the decision in his last outing, which was a start on the road against the Blue Jays Thursday. He threw 2.2 scoreless innings, allowing no hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a game Boston went on to win 7-4. Chacin has no record with a 3.53 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP, three walks and 12 strikeouts over 7.2 innings in his last three starts. He is 9-7 with a 3.06 ERA, a 1.126 WHIP, 51 walks and 96 strikeouts over 132.1 innings in 23 career appearances, 22 starts, against the Giants. Chacin is 1-1 with a 4.97 ERA, a 1.816 WHIP, five walks and 12 strikeouts over 12.2 innings in four career appearances, three starts, at Fenway Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Red Sox are trying to hang on for dear life as they try to defend their World Series title but their hopes are dimming by the day. Going to Chacin in this contest is a sign of how beaten up the Boston rotation is at this point of the year. Samardzija has been consistent all season long and the Giants’ bats are much better on the road than they have been at Oracle Park. San Francisco, like Boston, is a long shot for the postseason at this point in time but they have the better starter on the mound here. Give the Giants the upper hand in this one.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants +150

Full-Game Total Pick

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San Francisco has been putrid offensively this season, entering the contest Tuesday 28th in the majors with 4.23 runs per game. On the plus side, the Giants are much better at the plate on the road compared to at Oracle Park, where they have put up a measly 3.39 runs per game while slashing .230/.292/.363 on the year. As the visiting team, San Francisco puts up 5.07 runs per game while slashing .249/.314/.429 on the year. Boston has been prolific offensively, ranking fourth with 5.58 runs per game this season. Can the Red Sox find a way to pick up a win here?

The under is 4-0-1 in the Giants’ last 5 on grass, 4-0-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-0-1 in their last five overall and 5-1 in Samardzija’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Boston has seen the under go 6-0 in their last six games on Wednesday, 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series, 9-1 in their last 10 on grass and 8-1 in their last nine at home. Chacin has pitched well against the Giants in his career and Samardzija has been solid this season. This one ends up under the total.

Prediction: Under 10
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.